Prediction Edge
High Impact17d
James Gallagher

James Gallagher

86%

James Gallagher is now leading the CA-01 primary with 86% and a 66.0-point margin.

Republican
James Gallagher

James Gallagher

Overview

Current roleFormer Commissioner

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age45 years old (Mar 7, 1981)

GenderMale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundPolitician

Notable personal detailsJames Gallagher is a Republican politician who has served in the California State Assembly representing District 3 (Butte, Glenn, Placer, Sutter, Tehama, and Yuba counties). He previously served as Minority Leader of the California State Assembly (Assembly Republican Leader) from 2022 to 2025. In 2026, he filed to run for U.S. House in California’s 1st Congressional District.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lower taxes, fewer regulations, and protections for existing taxpayer limits (including Proposition 13); has advocated suspending the gas tax, cutting utility rates, and opposing new state or local tax increases. Backed a Taxpayer Protection Act that would require voter approval for state and local taxes and has filed legal/legislative actions to defend taxpayer protections. Policy priorities emphasize tax relief for families and small businesses and reducing government-imposed costs.

Healthcare

Supports tightening and auditing California’s Medicaid program (Medi‑Cal), opposes expansion of benefits to undocumented immigrants, and has pushed fiscal accountability measures and enrollment limits to curb program costs.

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Immigration & Border

Supports tougher border security and stronger enforcement while opposing public-benefit expansions for undocumented immigrants. Has criticized state policies that extend Medi‑Cal or housing subsidies to undocumented immigrants and has called the southern border a crisis requiring stronger action to address fentanyl and human trafficking.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate opposes broad, unrestricted access to abortion and has voted against multiple California bills expanding abortion protections or access. He is rated poorly by reproductive-rights advocacy groups and has publicly expressed concern about removing gestational limits on abortion.

Climate & Energy

Supports prioritizing affordability and energy infrastructure over aggressive renewable mandates, advocates using biomass and forest fuels removal to reduce wildfire risk, and opposes California fuel and low‑carbon regulations that he says raise costs for consumers.

Public Safety & Guns

James Gallagher has a voting record opposing many California gun-control bills and has received high ratings from pro-gun organizations. He frames his positions in defense of lawful gun ownership and has been graded highly by gun-rights groups.

Latest Insights

CA-01 primary: first place

17dHigh Impact

James Gallagher is now leading the CA-01 primary with 86% and a 66.0-point margin.

86%

CA-01 primary: first place

7d

James Gallagher's odds are now 97%, above the previous high of 86%.

97%11%

CA-01 primary: first place

8d

Gallagher's odds are now 96%, above the previous high of 85%.

96%11%

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 9, 2026

James Gallagher won a California special election to fill the rest of the late Rep. Doug LaMalfa’s term, giving Republicans another House vote. He also led in the primary for California’s newly drawn 1st District, where he is set to face Mike McGuire in the general election. Separately, Gallagher sponsored a wildfire restitution bill that passed the California Assembly unanimously and moved to the state Senate.

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Polls

David Binder Research
40%30%20%10%0%
30%
James Gallagher
J. Gallagher
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
David Binder ResearchFeb 28, 2026
30.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$1.0M
$785.4K
$523.6K
$261.8K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.0M
$479.6K
$567.7K
$33.4K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements