$859.03
JUN 3, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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source: Kalshi
New Jersey primary voting is underway, but the latest coverage does not report a NJ-04 nominee yet. Turnout in nearby North Jersey counties has been relatively low, which could make the primary electorate harder to read. One other House race result in the state has already been called, with Adam Hamawy winning NJ-12. The low-turnout reports suggest a smaller, less predictable primary electorate, which can increase uncertainty. There is no direct NJ-04 result here, so the market impact is limited for now.
There are big races for U.S. Senate and U.S. House on the ballot.
Voter turnout was around 10% to 15% in North Jersey counties for the June 2 primary election. See the results.
Pundits and politicos have tried to draw conclusions from recent elections. But history advises caution.
Barney Frank spent his final weeks warning Democrats they'd lost working-class voters by mistaking the fringe for the base.
Progressives are fired up, but some districts are still backing centrist Democrats in primaries ahead of the November midterms.
As Democrats gear up for the 2026 midterms, the party's messaging remains fragmented.
Barney Frank, the quick-witted Massachusetts congressman and liberal lion who helped overhaul Wall Street regulations after the 2008 financial crisis and made history as one of the first openly gay members of Congress, died Wednesday, his sister confirmed to NBC Boston
R. PeaceRachel Peace
J. BlakeJohn BlakeSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
