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AUG 7, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Trump’s backing remained a major factor in Republican primaries, with AP coverage highlighting his influence across several contests. In Kentucky, Thomas Massie lost his GOP nomination bid, while Trump also endorsed Ed Gallrein in the 6th District race. Alabama’s 6th District primary remains unsettled because redistricting changes could void some votes. The Massie result shows Trump-backed challengers can win, which may matter for GOP primary markets. The Alabama redistricting dispute adds uncertainty where ballots may be affected.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.
President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, purging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill. Massie has been a particularly difficult thorn in Trump’s side. He pushed for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files, opposed the war with Iran and voted against Trump’s signature tax legislation last year. He lost Tuesday to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein following the most expensive U.S. House primary in history. He had tried to convince Republicans that they could support both himself and Trump at the same time, a proposition that has been tried unsuccessfully in other races around the country.
Alabama voters will choose nominees for U.S. Senate, governor and a full slate of state and local offices.
Alabama voters will choose nominees for U.S. Senate, governor and a full slate of state and local offices.
J. GarrettJohnny Garrett
V. HillearyVan HillearySource: FEC
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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
