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High Impact13d

Aisha Wahab

96%

Aisha Wahab is now at 96% and leads by 88.0 points after trailing earlier.

ActivePrimary ElectionDemocratic

Who will win the 2026 California District 14 US House Primary?

Jun 6, 2026, 3:59am UTC, 3 days agoLast updated: Jun 9, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC

CA-14 primary: first place

$6.9K

JUN 6, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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Discovery Insights Elections Candidates Calendar Watchlist

Search elections and candidates

Discovery Insights Elections Candidates Calendar Watchlist

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$6.9K

24h volume

A. Wahab99%

R. Singh8%

M. Hernandez4%

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source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

November

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California 2026 general election

Latest Insights

CA-14 primary: first place

13dHigh Impact

Aisha Wahab is now at 96% and leads by 88.0 points after trailing earlier.

96%

CA-14 primary: first place

20d

Aisha Wahab's odds reached 89%, topping the previous high of 76%.

89%13%

News

AINews Summary

Aisha Wahab is leading the early count in California’s 14th Congressional District special-election primary. She has been ahead in multiple early returns, with Melissa Hernandez running second. The seat was vacated by Eric Swalwell, and the special election is set for June 16. Early returns favor Wahab and may strengthen her position in the market. But the vote is still incomplete, so uncertainty remains high.

Articles

NNNBC News7 days ago

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.

TMThe Mercury News7 days ago

Rep. Lateefah Simon leads in early returns in reelection for District 12 Congressional seat

Rep. Lateefah Simon dominant after early returns in her first reelection campaign for California Congressional District 12

KKABC-TV7 days ago

State Sen. Aisha Wahab takes early lead in race to replace ex-Congressman Eric Swalwell

California State Sen. Aisha Wahab takes an early lead in the race to replace ex-congressman Eric Swalwell in CA's 14th Congressional District.

NNJ.com2 months ago

So is Mikie Sherrill running for president? | Mikie’s World

Breaking down the rumors of Gov. Mikie Sherrill's potential roles on the national stage.

TMThe Mercury News7 days ago

Wahab takes early lead in vote for Eric Swalwell’s replacement

Early returns showed Sen. Aisha Wahab leading with 36.18% of the vote

TAThe Associated Press8 days ago

California primary provides first test of redrawn US House map

California’s congressional primaries on Tuesday are a preliminary test of Democrats’ best chance at countering Republican redistricting gains elsewhere this year.

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit8 days ago

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in California's state primary

Two candidates for California governor will emerge from a massive field of 61 hopefuls in a state primary on Tuesday, when voters will also select U.S. House nominees using a new map they approved in a 2025 ballot measure.

SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat8 days ago

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in California’s state primary

NNNBC News28 days ago

Live updates: Trump to arrive in China for Xi summit; Nebraska congressional primary too close to call

Get live updates and the latest news as Trump arrives in China for his summit with Xi Jinping and the Nebraska 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary remains too close to call.

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

May 27, 2026

$500K

$375K

$250K

$125K

M. Hernandez

M. Ortega

W. Huang

C. Elam

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

M. HernandezMelissa Hernandez

$498.8KContrib: $498.8K

$59.4KSpent: $439.5K

$25.9KLast period: $58.3K

PRE-SPECIAL · May 27, 2026

M. OrtegaMatt Ortega

$33.6KContrib: $31.1K

$5.4KSpent: $28.2K

$1.7KLast period: $5.0K

PRE-PRIMARY · May 13, 2026

W. HuangWendy Huang

$31.5KContrib: $8.2K

$7.5KSpent: $24.0K

$1.6KLast period: $8.2K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

C. ElamCarin Elam

$30.9KContrib: $5.9K

$1.4KSpent: $29.7K

$1.7KLast period: $1.4K

PRE-PRIMARY · May 13, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Polls
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Who will win the 2026 California District 14 US House Primary?

CA-14 primary: first place

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

CA-14 primary: first place

CA-14 primary: first place

News

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Rep. Lateefah Simon leads in early returns in reelection for District 12 Congressional seat

State Sen. Aisha Wahab takes early lead in race to replace ex-Congressman Eric Swalwell

So is Mikie Sherrill running for president? | Mikie’s World

Wahab takes early lead in vote for Eric Swalwell’s replacement

California primary provides first test of redrawn US House map

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in California's state primary

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in California’s state primary

Live updates: Trump to arrive in China for Xi summit; Nebraska congressional primary too close to call

Fundraising

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Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

CA-14 primary: first place

CA-14 primary: first place

News

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Rep. Lateefah Simon leads in early returns in reelection for District 12 Congressional seat

State Sen. Aisha Wahab takes early lead in race to replace ex-Congressman Eric Swalwell

So is Mikie Sherrill running for president? | Mikie’s World

Wahab takes early lead in vote for Eric Swalwell’s replacement

California primary provides first test of redrawn US House map

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in California's state primary

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in California’s state primary

Live updates: Trump to arrive in China for Xi summit; Nebraska congressional primary too close to call

Fundraising

Related races

CA-14 special election winner

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

California Governor winner?

California Governor primary: 1st place