Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
47.8%
46.2%
J. Husted
S. Brown
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$283.0K
NOV 7, 2026
Candidate standings
Live market pricing for the leading candidates in this election.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$283.0K
24h volume
$678
source: Kalshi
Ohio’s 2026 Senate special election is being described as very close, with recent polling within the margin of error; one poll of union households shows Husted ahead 48% to 42%. Republicans are also planning a major outside spending push, with the Senate Leadership Fund targeting $79 million to defend Husted. Democrats are also highlighted as competitive, including on early fundraising. The close polling keeps the market uncertain, with no clear favorite implied by the news. Planned GOP outside spending could support Republican odds, but the overall picture remains a tight race.
The unpopular war with Iran and stubborn affordability issues have given Democrats cause to be more hopeful about their chances of flipping key seats — and maybe even winning control of the Senate.
Editor Chris Quinn hosts our daily half-hour news podcast, with editorial board member Lisa Garvin, impact editor Leila Atassi and content director Laura Johnston.
A poll circulated this week suggests Democrats are within striking distance in both the Ohio Senate and open governor’s race.
A more limited landscape for Democratic gains and an unshakable MAGA base both put limits on Republican midterm losses despite all the problems facing that party and an unpopular president.
Democrats including James Talarico, Jon Ossoff, Roy Cooper, Mary Peltola, and Sherrod Brown posted strong early Senate fundraising across key 2026 races.
The battlefield is narrowing and the timeline is tightening in a congressional redistricting contest among states seeking a partisan advantage ahead of the November midterm elections.
A mix of voter frustration over the cost of living and political fallout from the ongoing conflict in the Middle East has put Democrats within striking distance of a potential Senate comeback, though significant hurdles remain.
Three Democratic candidates with backgrounds in law, healthcare and business are competing to challenge U.S. Rep. Dave Joyce in Northeast Ohio's 14th district.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
