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Which party will win the U.S. House?

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$26.6MNOV 7, 20262 candidates

DPDemocratic Party85%

RPRepublican Party16%

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Latest Update

Recent coverage points to a slight Democratic polling edge in the 2026 midterms, with analysts saying House control could be in play. California is being singled out as a state that could help decide the majority. Trump’s ad push and primary wins by his backed candidates show Republicans still have momentum in some contests. The polling edge for Democrats may modestly improve their House chances. Trump’s active role could help GOP turnout, but the overall signal is still mixed.

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

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$7.8MNOV 7, 20262 candidates

RPRepublican Party51%

DPDemocratic Party49%

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Latest Update

The biggest development is John Cornyn’s loss of the Texas GOP Senate nomination, a notable shakeup in a key race. Democrats are still being described as competitive across several battlegrounds, while Georgia’s Mike Collins is facing fresh scrutiny and Trump-backed Darline Graham won in South Carolina. Cornyn’s primary loss adds uncertainty for Republicans in Texas, while broader polling coverage still points to a competitive Senate map.

Texas Senate winner?

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$10.1MNOV 7, 20262 candidates

Ken Paxton51%

James Talarico51%

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Latest Update

Talarico is under fire after a victim’s family said his campaign misrepresented contact with them. He had used the case to attack Ken Paxton. Paxton remains the Republican nominee after his runoff win over John Cornyn. The backlash could slightly hurt Talarico’s standing if it sticks, but the effect is unclear from the reports. The race still appears centered on Paxton vs. Talarico.

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

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$30.4MNOV 4, 20262 candidates

Karen Bass65%

Nithya Raman35%

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Latest Update

Karen Bass and Nithya Raman are still locked in a competitive runoff for Los Angeles mayor. The certified primary result had Bass first and Raman second, and recent debate coverage says both faced criticism from voters. The latest reports suggest a tight race with no clear momentum shift. The market still looks competitive, with Bass holding the lead but not a decisive one. The debate backlash adds uncertainty rather than clearly helping either candidate.

2028 Republican presidential nominee

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$61.5MNOV 7, 202836 candidates

JD Vance44%

Marco Rubio19%

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Latest Update

JD Vance’s role in the Iran peace talks is putting him more squarely in the 2028 GOP conversation. Reuters also says Marco Rubio is seen as another possible contender. Vance has not announced a run and may wait until after the midterms to decide. The news modestly boosts Vance’s visibility as a possible 2028 contender, but it also adds uncertainty because the Iran talks could cut either way politically. Rubio remains in the mix, so the field is still open.