$1.5M
MAY 19, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Jun 16, 2026, 10:23 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 100% | 30.7% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Rick Jackson has won the Georgia Republican gubernatorial runoff and secured the GOP nomination. He defeated Burt Jones by a narrow but clear margin and will face Keisha Lance Bottoms in November. Earlier reports described the runoff as close and heavily influenced by major endorsements. Jackson’s runoff win resolves the nomination race and should reduce uncertainty in this market. The main effect is to confirm Jackson as the Republican nominee.
Democrats hold their widest generic ballot lead of the year as a potential blue wave builds. Kansas Senate race, Texas governor race, and 17 House races shift toward Democrats.
Kamala Harris is diving into the midterms, campaigning with Democrats like Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan.
Rick Jackson is skipping the Atlanta Press Club debates, leaving Keisha Lance Bottoms to face an empty podium.
A Republican governor candidate doesn’t want anyone renting near his mansion, our must-read newsletter The Swamp reveals.
Abdul El-Sayed won Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary over Rep. Haley Stevens, establishing a Midwest beachhead for the progressive left.
Many news outlets have portrayed the upset win of billionaire and political outsider Rick Jackson in the Republican runoff for Georgia governor Tuesday as a blow or setback to President Donald Trump. After all, Trump endorsed the front-runner in the initial primary, Lt. Gov. Burt Jones.
President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social reacting to Georgia's primary runoff election. Which Republicans won? Who did he endorse?
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Feb 17, 2026 and May 27, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
