Fresh odds moves, new highs and lows, trends, lead changes, polling, fundraising, endorsements, and news across active elections.
Georgia Republican Secretary of State nominee?
Donald Trump backed Vernon Jones, who is at 14% in "Georgia Republican Secretary of State nominee?"
Georgia Republican Secretary of State nominee?
Donald Trump backed Vernon Jones, who is at 14% in "Georgia Republican Secretary of State nominee?"
2028 Republican presidential nominee
Ron DeSantis is at 4.6% for the 2028 Republican presidential nominee, and the endorsement comes from Donald Trump.
2028 Republican presidential nominee
Ron DeSantis is at 4.6% for the 2028 Republican presidential nominee, and the endorsement comes from Donald Trump.
Alabama Republican Senate nominee?
Hudson is up 8.9 points in the latest poll, but Barry Moore leads the odds for the Alabama Republican Senate nomination.
Alabama Republican Senate nominee?
Hudson is up 8.9 points in the latest poll, but Barry Moore leads the odds for the Alabama Republican Senate nomination.
NY-12 Democratic nominee?
The latest poll has Alex Bores ahead by 9.1 points, but Micah Lasher is still leading the odds for the NY-12 Democratic nominee race.
NY-12 Democratic nominee?
The latest poll has Alex Bores ahead by 9.1 points, but Micah Lasher is still leading the odds for the NY-12 Democratic nominee race.
Michigan Republican Governor nominee?
Johnson is up 16.0 points in the latest poll, but John James leads the odds by 6 points.
Michigan Republican Governor nominee?
Johnson is up 16.0 points in the latest poll, but John James leads the odds by 6 points.
AZ-01 Republican nominee?
The latest poll has Joseph Chaplik ahead by 0.2 points, but Jay Feely is leading the odds for the Arizona-01 Republican nomination.
AZ-01 Republican nominee?
The latest poll has Joseph Chaplik ahead by 0.2 points, but Jay Feely is leading the odds for the Arizona-01 Republican nomination.
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Claim nowGeorgia Republican Secretary of State nominee?
Donald Trump backed Vernon Jones, who is at 14% in "Georgia Republican Secretary of State nominee?"
Donald Trump backed Vernon Jones, who is at 14% in "Georgia Republican Secretary of State nominee?"
2028 Republican presidential nominee
Ron DeSantis is at 4.6% for the 2028 Republican presidential nominee, and the endorsement comes from Donald Trump.
Ron DeSantis is at 4.6% for the 2028 Republican presidential nominee, and the endorsement comes from Donald Trump.
Alabama Republican Senate nominee?
Hudson is up 8.9 points in the latest poll, but Barry Moore leads the odds for the Alabama Republican Senate nomination.
Hudson is up 8.9 points in the latest poll, but Barry Moore leads the odds for the Alabama Republican Senate nomination.
NY-12 Democratic nominee?
The latest poll has Alex Bores ahead by 9.1 points, but Micah Lasher is still leading the odds for the NY-12 Democratic nominee race.
The latest poll has Alex Bores ahead by 9.1 points, but Micah Lasher is still leading the odds for the NY-12 Democratic nominee race.
Michigan Republican Governor nominee?
Johnson is up 16.0 points in the latest poll, but John James leads the odds by 6 points.
Johnson is up 16.0 points in the latest poll, but John James leads the odds by 6 points.
AZ-01 Republican nominee?
The latest poll has Joseph Chaplik ahead by 0.2 points, but Jay Feely is leading the odds for the Arizona-01 Republican nomination.
The latest poll has Joseph Chaplik ahead by 0.2 points, but Jay Feely is leading the odds for the Arizona-01 Republican nomination.
NY-13 Democratic nominee?
A fresh NY-13 poll and ongoing race coverage have pushed Darializa Avila Chevalier back up to 59%, making the June 23 Democratic primary more volatile for traders.
A fresh NY-13 poll and ongoing race coverage have pushed Darializa Avila Chevalier back up to 59%, making the June 23 Democratic primary more volatile for traders.
South Carolina Republican Governor nominee?
Wilson’s nominee price is now 70% after Ralph Norman’s endorsement, extending the same pro-Wilson repricing into the final week before the June 23 runoff.
Wilson’s nominee price is now 70% after Ralph Norman’s endorsement, extending the same pro-Wilson repricing into the final week before the June 23 runoff.
DC Democratic House delegate nominee?
Brooke Pinto's odds fell below the previous low of 15%, setting a fresh floor for "DC Democratic House delegate nominee?"
Brooke Pinto's odds fell below the previous low of 15%, setting a fresh floor for "DC Democratic House delegate nominee?"
Oklahoma Republican Attorney General nominee?
Echols’s contract surged to 92% while new June 8–10 candidate coverage confirms the June 16 primary matchup, making the move highly relevant for traders watching the final stretch.
Echols’s contract surged to 92% while new June 8–10 candidate coverage confirms the June 16 primary matchup, making the move highly relevant for traders watching the final stretch.
AZ-05 Republican nominee?
Keenan’s odds slipped to 49% after recent coverage of Mark Lamb’s campaign scrutiny and continued contested-primary reporting, keeping this open-seat race highly tradable.
Keenan’s odds slipped to 49% after recent coverage of Mark Lamb’s campaign scrutiny and continued contested-primary reporting, keeping this open-seat race highly tradable.
Georgia Republican Governor nominee?
Jones’s runoff price jumped back to 71% as fresh AP and CBS reporting again framed the race as a close, Trump-linked finish ahead of voting, keeping the market highly tradable.
Jones’s runoff price jumped back to 71% as fresh AP and CBS reporting again framed the race as a close, Trump-linked finish ahead of voting, keeping the market highly tradable.
Michigan Republican Governor nominee?
Perry Johnson's odds are now 17%, below the previous low of 35%.
Perry Johnson's odds are now 17%, below the previous low of 35%.
FL-02 Republican nominee?
Jim Norton’s odds are at 58%, above the previous high of 35% for the Florida 2nd District Republican nominee race.
Jim Norton’s odds are at 58%, above the previous high of 35% for the Florida 2nd District Republican nominee race.
FL-25 Republican nominee?
Scott Singer's odds in "FL-25 Republican nominee?" are now 66%, above the prior high of 26%.
Scott Singer's odds in "FL-25 Republican nominee?" are now 66%, above the prior high of 26%.
South Carolina Republican Governor nominee?
Donald Trump backed Pamela Evette for the South Carolina Republican governor nomination, and she is currently at 24%.
Donald Trump backed Pamela Evette for the South Carolina Republican governor nomination, and she is currently at 24%.
Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?
Rodriguez’s nomination price rose from 31% to 31% while fresh convention coverage keeps the Wisconsin primary field in focus, making her contract a more active front-runner trade.
Rodriguez’s nomination price rose from 31% to 31% while fresh convention coverage keeps the Wisconsin primary field in focus, making her contract a more active front-runner trade.
CA-13 primary: first place
Donald Trump backed Kevin Lincoln, who is at 14% in the CA-13 primary: first place race.
Donald Trump backed Kevin Lincoln, who is at 14% in the CA-13 primary: first place race.
FL-07 Republican nominee?
Donald Trump backed Cory Mills in the FL-07 Republican nominee race, and Mills is currently at 85%.
Donald Trump backed Cory Mills in the FL-07 Republican nominee race, and Mills is currently at 85%.
Alabama Republican Senate nominee?
Donald Trump backed Barry Moore, who is at 79% in "Alabama Republican Senate nominee?"
Donald Trump backed Barry Moore, who is at 79% in "Alabama Republican Senate nominee?"
Alaska Senate winner? (Party)
A new AP report says Alaska officials ruled the Republican challenger named Dan Sullivan ineligible for the August primary ballot, which could remove a voter-confusion storyline and slightly reduce uncertainty in the GOP primary field.
A new AP report says Alaska officials ruled the Republican challenger named Dan Sullivan ineligible for the August primary ballot, which could remove a voter-confusion storyline and slightly reduce uncertainty in the GOP primary field.
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Fresh reporting that Gavin Newsom says the Trump DOJ is investigating him and his wife puts a potential 2028 contender back in the political spotlight and could change how traders handicap his path versus other Democrats.
Fresh reporting that Gavin Newsom says the Trump DOJ is investigating him and his wife puts a potential 2028 contender back in the political spotlight and could change how traders handicap his path versus other Democrats.
Maine Republican Governor nominee?
Ben Midgley's odds are down 9.4 points and are now 4% over a 3-day streak.
Ben Midgley's odds are down 9.4 points and are now 4% over a 3-day streak.
Kansas Democratic Governor nominee?
Cindy Holscher is now at 54% and leads by 29.0 points in the Kansas Democratic Governor nominee race.
Cindy Holscher is now at 54% and leads by 29.0 points in the Kansas Democratic Governor nominee race.
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Gavin Newsom’s 2028 nominee odds moved up to 24% after fresh reporting that he says the Trump DOJ is investigating him and his wife, adding a concrete new catalyst to an already active market.
Gavin Newsom’s 2028 nominee odds moved up to 24% after fresh reporting that he says the Trump DOJ is investigating him and his wife, adding a concrete new catalyst to an already active market.
Kansas Democratic Governor nominee?
Ethan Corson's 25% odds are below the previous low of 52% in the Kansas Democratic Governor nominee race.
Ethan Corson's 25% odds are below the previous low of 52% in the Kansas Democratic Governor nominee race.
CA-22 House winner?
That’s below the previous low of 32% for Republican Party in "CA-22 House winner?"
That’s below the previous low of 32% for Republican Party in "CA-22 House winner?"
Oklahoma Democratic Senate nominee?
Priest’s contract jumped from 49% to 73% in the last hour ahead of the June 16 primary, and fresh public coverage confirms he remains a leading contender in the race.
Priest’s contract jumped from 49% to 73% in the last hour ahead of the June 16 primary, and fresh public coverage confirms he remains a leading contender in the race.
Alaska Senate winner? (Person)
A top Alaska election official finalized the challenge against Dan Sullivan’s namesake candidacy, removing the ballot-confusion issue that had been hanging over the race and likely tightening the focus back onto the main Sullivan-Peltola matchup.
A top Alaska election official finalized the challenge against Dan Sullivan’s namesake candidacy, removing the ballot-confusion issue that had been hanging over the race and likely tightening the focus back onto the main Sullivan-Peltola matchup.
New Hampshire Governor winner?
Fresh filing-day coverage confirms the race is now fully underway, but the market still prices Republicans as strong favorites, so traders should watch whether Democratic challenger momentum translates into any repricing.
New Hampshire Governor winner?
Fresh filing-day coverage confirms the race is now fully underway, but the market still prices Republicans as strong favorites, so traders should watch whether Democratic challenger momentum translates into any repricing.
FL-19 Republican nominee?
Catalina Lauf is now at 47% and leads by 15.0 points in the FL-19 Republican nominee race.
Catalina Lauf is now at 47% and leads by 15.0 points in the FL-19 Republican nominee race.
Oklahoma Republican Attorney General nominee?
Jon Echols's odds reached 92%, topping the previous high of 77% over the last 28 days.
Jon Echols's odds reached 92%, topping the previous high of 77% over the last 28 days.
FL-19 Republican nominee?
Madison Cawthorn's odds reached 32%, breaking the previous high of 16%.
Madison Cawthorn's odds reached 32%, breaking the previous high of 16%.
FL-02 Democratic nominee?
Brice Barnes's odds are now 57%, topping the previous high of 39%.
Brice Barnes's odds are now 57%, topping the previous high of 39%.
AZ-01 Republican nominee?
Joseph Chaplik is now leading with 78% odds, ahead by 9.0 points.
Joseph Chaplik is now leading with 78% odds, ahead by 9.0 points.
Maine Republican Governor nominee?
Charles’s nomination price snapped back to 97% as AP and Maine reporting say ranked-choice tabulation is underway and he remains the clear Republican frontrunner, keeping the trade near ceiling.
Charles’s nomination price snapped back to 97% as AP and Maine reporting say ranked-choice tabulation is underway and he remains the clear Republican frontrunner, keeping the trade near ceiling.
Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
Mazzei remains the clear market favorite in the Oklahoma GOP governor primary, and the market is still repricing him near certainty ahead of the June 16 vote, which keeps the contract highly tradable into election day.
Mazzei remains the clear market favorite in the Oklahoma GOP governor primary, and the market is still repricing him near certainty ahead of the June 16 vote, which keeps the contract highly tradable into election day.
CO-01 Democratic nominee?
Kiros’s odds jumped from 63% to 71% in the past hour, putting her at a fresh high and making the June 30 primary market materially more actionable.
Kiros’s odds jumped from 63% to 71% in the past hour, putting her at a fresh high and making the June 30 primary market materially more actionable.
CO-01 Democratic nominee?
Melat Kiros's odds are now 71%, topping the prior high of 50%.
Melat Kiros's odds are now 71%, topping the prior high of 50%.
AZ-01 Republican nominee?
Joseph Chaplik's odds reached 78%, topping the previous high of 26%.
Joseph Chaplik's odds reached 78%, topping the previous high of 26%.
Michigan Republican Governor nominee?
Cox’s contract is still pinned near 37% after its sharp surge, keeping him in the top tier and forcing traders to reassess the Michigan Republican field.
Georgia Governor winner?
Republicans in the Georgia governor market ticked up to 51% intraday ahead of the June 16 runoff, keeping the race close but giving traders a fresh read on momentum into the final stretch.
Republicans in the Georgia governor market ticked up to 51% intraday ahead of the June 16 runoff, keeping the race close but giving traders a fresh read on momentum into the final stretch.
LA-01 Republican nominee?
Steve Scalise's odds fell to 18%, breaking the previous low of 96% over the last 17 days.
Steve Scalise's odds fell to 18%, breaking the previous low of 96% over the last 17 days.
Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?
Francesca Hong is now the front-runner for the Wisconsin Democratic governor nomination at 49%, with a 19.0-point lead.
Francesca Hong is now the front-runner for the Wisconsin Democratic governor nomination at 49%, with a 19.0-point lead.
FL-03 Democratic nominee?
Tom Wells's odds are above their previous high of 34%, setting a new peak for the FL-03 Democratic nominee race.
Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?
Mandela Barnes has raised $42,336,589 this cycle, while Francesca Hong holds the lead in the latest odds for the Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee race.
Mandela Barnes has raised $42,336,589 this cycle, while Francesca Hong holds the lead in the latest odds for the Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee race.
Georgia Republican Governor nominee?
Kemp’s late endorsement gives Jones a fresh establishment boost just ahead of the June 16 runoff, a potentially tradable signal in a market that has already been volatile.
Kemp’s late endorsement gives Jones a fresh establishment boost just ahead of the June 16 runoff, a potentially tradable signal in a market that has already been volatile.
Georgia Senate winner?
Trump’s endorsement gives Collins a fresh advantage in the June 16 runoff, keeping the Georgia GOP nominee fight highly tradable ahead of the general-election market.
Trump’s endorsement gives Collins a fresh advantage in the June 16 runoff, keeping the Georgia GOP nominee fight highly tradable ahead of the general-election market.
2028 Republican VP nominee
Rubio’s 2028 GOP VP contract fell from 28% to 23% in the last hour, keeping the Vance-Rubio succession trade active and leaving the market still in rapid repricing mode.
Rubio’s 2028 GOP VP contract fell from 28% to 23% in the last hour, keeping the Vance-Rubio succession trade active and leaving the market still in rapid repricing mode.
Georgia Senate winner?
Trump’s late endorsement gives Collins a major boost against Kemp-backed Derek Dooley and could shift the Republican nominee fight before Tuesday’s runoff.
Trump’s late endorsement gives Collins a major boost against Kemp-backed Derek Dooley and could shift the Republican nominee fight before Tuesday’s runoff.
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
Byron Donalds's odds are up 5.1 points and are now 94% over a 3-day streak.
Byron Donalds's odds are up 5.1 points and are now 94% over a 3-day streak.
FL-19 Democratic nominee?
Howard Sapp is now at 68% and leads by 63.0 points in the FL-19 Democratic nominee race.
Howard Sapp is now at 68% and leads by 63.0 points in the FL-19 Democratic nominee race.
FL-26 Democratic nominee?
Nicole Locklin is now leading with 70% odds in the FL-26 Democratic nominee race, ahead of the prior leader by 69.0 points.
Nicole Locklin is now leading with 70% odds in the FL-26 Democratic nominee race, ahead of the prior leader by 69.0 points.
Florida Democratic Governor nominee?
Jerry Demings has raised $81,084,464 this cycle, but David Jolly holds the lead in the latest odds for "Florida Democratic Governor nominee?"
Jerry Demings has raised $81,084,464 this cycle, but David Jolly holds the lead in the latest odds for "Florida Democratic Governor nominee?"
FL-07 Republican nominee?
Mike Johnson has raised $17,548,949.57 this cycle, while Cory Mills holds the lead in the latest odds for "FL-07 Republican nominee?"
Mike Johnson has raised $17,548,949.57 this cycle, while Cory Mills holds the lead in the latest odds for "FL-07 Republican nominee?"
FL-26 Democratic nominee?
Florida Democrats say qualifying closed with Nicole Locklin on the ballot in CD-26, confirming the field even as Yurina Gil’s contract remains heavily repriced lower; that makes the race less about speculation and more about comparing the candidates’ actual election paths.
Florida Democrats say qualifying closed with Nicole Locklin on the ballot in CD-26, confirming the field even as Yurina Gil’s contract remains heavily repriced lower; that makes the race less about speculation and more about comparing the candidates’ actual election paths.
LA-05 Republican nominee?
Blake Miguez has raised $6,176,129.74 this cycle, but Michael Echols leads the latest odds for the Louisiana-05 Republican nomination.
Blake Miguez has raised $6,176,129.74 this cycle, but Michael Echols leads the latest odds for the Louisiana-05 Republican nomination.
Who will win the 2026 DC Democratic Mayoral Primary?
A fresh campaign-finance ruling against Janeese Lewis George adds a late negative catalyst in a race where she still leads the market, giving traders a concrete reason to watch for any final-week repricing.
A fresh campaign-finance ruling against Janeese Lewis George adds a late negative catalyst in a race where she still leads the market, giving traders a concrete reason to watch for any final-week repricing.
Georgia Governor winner?
Fresh reporting says Trump is still a key force in the Georgia GOP governor runoff, and the Republican party market has firmed to about 50% with a recent 1h move higher, keeping the June 16 contest tradable.
Fresh reporting says Trump is still a key force in the Georgia GOP governor runoff, and the Republican party market has firmed to about 50% with a recent 1h move higher, keeping the June 16 contest tradable.
Los Angeles City Council District 1 winner
Eunisses Hernandez's odds are now 94%, above the previous high of 71%.
Eunisses Hernandez's odds are now 94%, above the previous high of 71%.
UT-03 Republican nominee?
Celeste Maloy’s UT-03 nomination odds rose from 78% a day ago to 88% as fresh local coverage put her in the middle of new AI/data-center campaign attention ahead of the June 23 primary.
Celeste Maloy’s UT-03 nomination odds rose from 78% a day ago to 88% as fresh local coverage put her in the middle of new AI/data-center campaign attention ahead of the June 23 primary.
South Carolina Republican Governor nominee?
Wil Alan Wilson is now at 51% and leads by 9.0 points in the South Carolina Republican governor nomination race.
Wil Alan Wilson is now at 51% and leads by 9.0 points in the South Carolina Republican governor nomination race.
FL-02 Republican nominee?
Jim Norton is now at 72% and leads by 22.0 points in the Florida-02 Republican nominee race.
Jim Norton is now at 72% and leads by 22.0 points in the Florida-02 Republican nominee race.
LA-06 Republican nominee?
Monique Appeaning is now the leader in the LA-06 Republican nominee race with 10% odds, ahead of the prior leader by 9.9 points.
Monique Appeaning is now the leader in the LA-06 Republican nominee race with 10% odds, ahead of the prior leader by 9.9 points.
New Hampshire Democratic Governor nominee?
Cinde Warmington's odds are up 15.0 points and are now at 90% over a 3-day streak.
Cinde Warmington's odds are up 15.0 points and are now at 90% over a 3-day streak.
FL-23 Republican nominee?
Joe Kaufman is now the front-runner for the FL-23 Republican nominee spot at 18%, with a 9.0-point lead.
Joe Kaufman is now the front-runner for the FL-23 Republican nominee spot at 18%, with a 9.0-point lead.
FL-08 Democratic nominee?
Dellinger’s chances collapsed from 1% to 1% over 24 hours, while Florida Democratic Party materials and local reporting now frame Jennifer Jenkins as the qualifying-closing nominee in FL-08, reinforcing the market move.
Dellinger’s chances collapsed from 1% to 1% over 24 hours, while Florida Democratic Party materials and local reporting now frame Jennifer Jenkins as the qualifying-closing nominee in FL-08, reinforcing the market move.
Colorado Democratic Governor nominee?
A fresh report says the Bennet travel complaint will not reach a hearing until after the primary, extending a live legal overhang in an already sharply repriced Bennet-Weiser market.
A fresh report says the Bennet travel complaint will not reach a hearing until after the primary, extending a live legal overhang in an already sharply repriced Bennet-Weiser market.
CA-01 primary: first place
Mike McGuire’s first-place contract has surged from 78% to 94% in the past hour, extending a sharp repricing after fresh reporting confirmed his advance in the June 2 primary and kept the November matchup in focus.
Mike McGuire’s first-place contract has surged from 78% to 94% in the past hour, extending a sharp repricing after fresh reporting confirmed his advance in the June 2 primary and kept the November matchup in focus.
NY-13 Democratic nominee?
Espaillat’s yes price fell to 41% while early voting begins in NY-13, keeping the primary tightly repriced ahead of the June 23 vote.
Espaillat’s yes price fell to 41% while early voting begins in NY-13, keeping the primary tightly repriced ahead of the June 23 vote.
CA-01 primary: first place
Mike McGuire's odds are now 94%, above the previous high of 81%.
Mike McGuire's odds are now 94%, above the previous high of 81%.
Michigan Republican Governor nominee?
Perry Johnson is now at 55% and leads by 11.0 points in the Michigan Republican governor nomination race.
Perry Johnson is now at 55% and leads by 11.0 points in the Michigan Republican governor nomination race.
New York Democratic Governor nominee?
Ritchie Torres has raised $6,684,978 this cycle, but Kathy Hochul leads the latest odds for the New York Democratic Governor nominee race.
Ritchie Torres has raised $6,684,978 this cycle, but Kathy Hochul leads the latest odds for the New York Democratic Governor nominee race.
DC Democratic House delegate nominee?
Robert White's odds reached 93%, topping the previous high of 73% over the last 60 days.
Robert White's odds reached 93%, topping the previous high of 73% over the last 60 days.
FL-19 Republican nominee?
Jim Schwartzel's odds are now 90%, above the previous high of 75%.
Jim Schwartzel's odds are now 90%, above the previous high of 75%.
MD-05 Democratic nominee?
Quincy Bareebe has raised $5,917,298 this cycle, but Adrian Boafo holds the lead in the latest odds for the MD-05 Democratic nominee race.
Quincy Bareebe has raised $5,917,298 this cycle, but Adrian Boafo holds the lead in the latest odds for the MD-05 Democratic nominee race.
MD-06 Democratic nominee?
David Trone has raised $26,196,555.56 this cycle, but April McClain Delaney holds the lead in the latest odds for "MD-06 Democratic nominee?"
David Trone has raised $26,196,555.56 this cycle, but April McClain Delaney holds the lead in the latest odds for "MD-06 Democratic nominee?"
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027)
Fresh reporting shows Susana Mendoza is actively campaigning for mayor while Rahm Emanuel speculation remains in the mix, reinforcing a broader, more competitive 2027 Chicago field that traders should keep on watch.
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027)
Fresh reporting shows Susana Mendoza is actively campaigning for mayor while Rahm Emanuel speculation remains in the mix, reinforcing a broader, more competitive 2027 Chicago field that traders should keep on watch.
NY-10 Democratic nominee?
Dan Goldman has raised $7,809,406.79 this cycle, but Brad Lander holds the lead in the latest odds for "NY-10 Democratic nominee?"
Dan Goldman has raised $7,809,406.79 this cycle, but Brad Lander holds the lead in the latest odds for "NY-10 Democratic nominee?"
Colorado Democratic Governor nominee?
Colorado reporting says Bennet’s campaign-finance hearing will still come after the June 30 primary, keeping a live legal overhang in a market that has already repriced sharply toward Weiser.
Colorado reporting says Bennet’s campaign-finance hearing will still come after the June 30 primary, keeping a live legal overhang in a market that has already repriced sharply toward Weiser.
OK-01 Republican nominee?
A new FFRF/IRS complaint over campaign activity tied to Jackson Lahmeyer’s church gives traders a fresh OK-01 headline just days before the June 16 primary, alongside an already heavily repriced Lahmeyer-Tedford market.
A new FFRF/IRS complaint over campaign activity tied to Jackson Lahmeyer’s church gives traders a fresh OK-01 headline just days before the June 16 primary, alongside an already heavily repriced Lahmeyer-Tedford market.
FL-02 Republican nominee?
Austin Rogers's odds are now 61%, above the previous high of 23%.
Austin Rogers's odds are now 61%, above the previous high of 23%.
FL-02 Republican nominee?
Keith Gross has raised $5,680,863 this cycle, but Austin Rogers holds the lead in the latest odds for "FL-02 Republican nominee?"
Keith Gross has raised $5,680,863 this cycle, but Austin Rogers holds the lead in the latest odds for "FL-02 Republican nominee?"
NY-13 House winner?
Fresh reporting, a new NY1 debate announcement, and a Semafor poll showing Avila Chevalier ahead 39-35 make the NY-13 primary worth trader attention ahead of early voting.
Fresh reporting, a new NY1 debate announcement, and a Semafor poll showing Avila Chevalier ahead 39-35 make the NY-13 primary worth trader attention ahead of early voting.
VA-09 House winner?
That’s below the previous low of 91% for Republican Party in this VA-09 House winner race.
That’s below the previous low of 91% for Republican Party in this VA-09 House winner race.
South Carolina Republican Governor nominee?
Pamela Evette's odds are down 23.0 points and are now at 55% over a 3-day streak.
Pamela Evette's odds are down 23.0 points and are now at 55% over a 3-day streak.
Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?
Lisa Demuth is now at 28% in "Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?" after a 9.0-point drop over 3 days.
Lisa Demuth is now at 28% in "Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?" after a 9.0-point drop over 3 days.
CA-06 primary: first place
Kevin Kiley's odds are up 32.0 points and are now at 92% in the CA-06 primary: first place race.
Kevin Kiley's odds are up 32.0 points and are now at 92% in the CA-06 primary: first place race.
Maine Republican Governor nominee?
Robert Charles's odds are down 14.4 points and are now 84% in "Maine Republican Governor nominee?" over a 3-day streak.
Robert Charles's odds are down 14.4 points and are now 84% in "Maine Republican Governor nominee?" over a 3-day streak.
FL-20 Democratic nominee?
New reporting says the four Black Democratic contenders are still trying to unify behind one candidate, reinforcing the vote-splitting risk that has already pressured Wasserman Schultz’s primary odds.
FL-20 Democratic nominee?
New reporting says the four Black Democratic contenders are still trying to unify behind one candidate, reinforcing the vote-splitting risk that has already pressured Wasserman Schultz’s primary odds.
NY-13 Democratic nominee?
New reporting says the Hispanic Caucus PAC is spending more than $2.5 million to help Adriano Espaillat, while Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement of Darializa Avila Chevalier keeps NY-13’s June 23 primary in active trader focus.
New reporting says the Hispanic Caucus PAC is spending more than $2.5 million to help Adriano Espaillat, while Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement of Darializa Avila Chevalier keeps NY-13’s June 23 primary in active trader focus.
FL-20 Democratic nominee?
Fresh reporting says four Black Democratic candidates are still discussing consolidation before qualifying ends, a development that could keep the vote-splitting risk alive and pressure Wasserman Schultz’s primary odds.
Fresh reporting says four Black Democratic candidates are still discussing consolidation before qualifying ends, a development that could keep the vote-splitting risk alive and pressure Wasserman Schultz’s primary odds.
CA-01 primary: first place
Mike McGuire is now at 88% and leads by 65.0 points in the CA-01 primary: first place.
Mike McGuire is now at 88% and leads by 65.0 points in the CA-01 primary: first place.
ME-02 Democratic nominee?
Jordan Wood has raised $5,707,696 this cycle, while Matthew Dunlap holds the lead in the latest odds for "ME-02 Democratic nominee?"
Jordan Wood has raised $5,707,696 this cycle, while Matthew Dunlap holds the lead in the latest odds for "ME-02 Democratic nominee?"
AZ-05 Republican nominee?
Mark Lamb's odds are up 26.0 points and are now at 53% in "AZ-05 Republican nominee?" over a 3-day streak.
Maine Democratic Governor nominee?
Shenna Bellows's odds are up 22.0 points and are now at 24% in "Maine Democratic Governor nominee?" over a 3-day streak.
Shenna Bellows's odds are up 22.0 points and are now at 24% in "Maine Democratic Governor nominee?" over a 3-day streak.
California Lieutenant Governor winner?
Fresh public reporting confirms the lieutenant governor race is set for a Ma-Romero November matchup, giving traders a concrete resolution point after the count churn.
Fresh public reporting confirms the lieutenant governor race is set for a Ma-Romero November matchup, giving traders a concrete resolution point after the count churn.
NY-13 Democratic nominee?
A new Data for Progress poll conducted June 3-9 shows Darializa Avila Chevalier ahead of Adriano Espaillat 39-35, and the race is drawing fresh coverage and debate attention ahead of the June 23 primary.
A new Data for Progress poll conducted June 3-9 shows Darializa Avila Chevalier ahead of Adriano Espaillat 39-35, and the race is drawing fresh coverage and debate attention ahead of the June 23 primary.
South Carolina Republican Attorney General nominee?
Stephen Goldfinch is now the front-runner for the South Carolina Republican Attorney General nomination at 73%, ahead of the prior leader by 46.0 points.
Stephen Goldfinch is now the front-runner for the South Carolina Republican Attorney General nomination at 73%, ahead of the prior leader by 46.0 points.
SC-01 Republican nominee?
Fresh coverage confirms Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith are headed to the June 23 Republican runoff, and the market is now pricing Honeycutt at 53% vs. Smith at 45%, keeping the nomination race highly tradable.
SC-01 Republican nominee?
Fresh coverage confirms Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith are headed to the June 23 Republican runoff, and the market is now pricing Honeycutt at 53% vs. Smith at 45%, keeping the nomination race highly tradable.
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Maine Democrats chose Graham Platner, keeping a key Senate-control pickup opportunity alive and preserving a high-stakes battleground that traders should watch for any Collins/Platner repricing.
Maine Democrats chose Graham Platner, keeping a key Senate-control pickup opportunity alive and preserving a high-stakes battleground that traders should watch for any Collins/Platner repricing.
NY-17 Democratic nominee?
Cait Conley's odds are up 35 points and now stand at 65% over a 3-day streak.
Cait Conley's odds are up 35 points and now stand at 65% over a 3-day streak.
CA-27 primary: first place
Jason Gibbs is now leading the CA-27 primary with 90% odds, up 78.0 points from the prior leader.
Jason Gibbs is now leading the CA-27 primary with 90% odds, up 78.0 points from the prior leader.
NY-17 Democratic nominee?
Beth Davidson's odds are down 28.0 points and are now at 41% over a 3-day streak.
Beth Davidson's odds are down 28.0 points and are now at 41% over a 3-day streak.
Louisiana Republican Senate nominee?
John Fleming has raised $11,250,353.83 this cycle, but Julia Letlow holds the lead in the latest odds for the Louisiana Republican Senate nominee race.
John Fleming has raised $11,250,353.83 this cycle, but Julia Letlow holds the lead in the latest odds for the Louisiana Republican Senate nominee race.
Georgia Republican Senate nominee?
Derek Dooley has raised $4,175,480.91 this cycle, but Mike Collins holds the lead in the latest odds for the Georgia Republican Senate nominee race.
Derek Dooley has raised $4,175,480.91 this cycle, but Mike Collins holds the lead in the latest odds for the Georgia Republican Senate nominee race.
NY-17 Democratic nominee?
Peter Chatzky has raised $11,640,655.60 this cycle, but Cait Conley holds the lead in the latest odds for "NY-17 Democratic nominee?"
Peter Chatzky has raised $11,640,655.60 this cycle, but Cait Conley holds the lead in the latest odds for "NY-17 Democratic nominee?"
FL-05 Republican nominee?
John Rutherford is now leading with 90% odds and has an 87-point margin over the prior leader.
John Rutherford is now leading with 90% odds and has an 87-point margin over the prior leader.
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Ossoff has raised $60,439,612.91 this cycle, but Marco Rubio holds the lead in the latest odds for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner.
Ossoff has raised $60,439,612.91 this cycle, but Marco Rubio holds the lead in the latest odds for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner.
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Jon Ossoff has raised $60,439,612.91 this cycle, while Gavin Newsom leads the odds for the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee.
Jon Ossoff has raised $60,439,612.91 this cycle, while Gavin Newsom leads the odds for the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee.
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
Fishback is ahead by 27.7 points in the latest poll, but Byron Donalds leads the odds for the Florida Republican governor nomination.
Fishback is ahead by 27.7 points in the latest poll, but Byron Donalds leads the odds for the Florida Republican governor nomination.
NY-13 Democratic nominee?
Espaillat is ahead by 33.0 points in the latest poll, but Darializa Avila Chevalier holds the lead in odds by 11 points.
Espaillat is ahead by 33.0 points in the latest poll, but Darializa Avila Chevalier holds the lead in odds by 11 points.
California Governor winner?
Xavier Becerra's odds are up 13.0 points and are now at 86% in "California Governor winner?"
Xavier Becerra's odds are up 13.0 points and are now at 86% in "California Governor winner?"
CA-27 primary: first place
George Whitesides's odds are up 28 points and now stand at 44% over a 3-day streak.
George Whitesides's odds are up 28 points and now stand at 44% over a 3-day streak.
OK-05 Democratic nominee?
Jena Nelson is now at 85% and leads by 56.0 points after trailing earlier.
Jena Nelson is now at 85% and leads by 56.0 points after trailing earlier.
Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?
Kendall Qualls is now at 58% and leads by 24.0 points in the Minnesota Republican governor nomination race.
Kendall Qualls is now at 58% and leads by 24.0 points in the Minnesota Republican governor nomination race.
NY-14 Republican nominee?
Diamant Hysenaj is now at 60%, with a 46.0-point lead after trailing earlier.
Diamant Hysenaj is now at 60%, with a 46.0-point lead after trailing earlier.
CO-08 Democratic nominee?
Manny Rutinel's odds are down 13.0 points and are now 66% in "CO-08 Democratic nominee?" over a 3-day streak.
Manny Rutinel's odds are down 13.0 points and are now 66% in "CO-08 Democratic nominee?" over a 3-day streak.
NY-05 Republican nominee?
George Marsh is now at 96% in "NY-05 Republican nominee?" after rising 96.0 points over the last 3 days.
George Marsh is now at 96% in "NY-05 Republican nominee?" after rising 96.0 points over the last 3 days.
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Nithya Raman's odds are up 26.7 points and are now at 31% in "Los Angeles Mayor winner?"
Nithya Raman's odds are up 26.7 points and are now at 31% in "Los Angeles Mayor winner?"
FL-19 Republican nominee?
Jim Oberweis has raised $4,360,995.58 this cycle, while Jim Schwartzel holds the odds lead for the Florida-19 Republican nomination.
Jim Oberweis has raised $4,360,995.58 this cycle, while Jim Schwartzel holds the odds lead for the Florida-19 Republican nomination.
Michigan Republican Governor nominee?
Perry Johnson has raised $29,704,589 this cycle, while John James holds the lead in the latest odds for the Michigan Republican governor nomination.
Perry Johnson has raised $29,704,589 this cycle, while John James holds the lead in the latest odds for the Michigan Republican governor nomination.
California Governor primary: 1st place
Steve Hilton's odds are down 15.8 points and are now 3% in the California Governor primary: 1st place.
Steve Hilton's odds are down 15.8 points and are now 3% in the California Governor primary: 1st place.
Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?
Kendall Qualls's odds are down 46.0 points and are now at 30% over a 3-day streak.
Kendall Qualls's odds are down 46.0 points and are now at 30% over a 3-day streak.
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Spencer Pratt's odds are down 20.8 points over a 3-day streak and are now 9%. A recent news item says he is currently in 2nd place in early returns for the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election.
Spencer Pratt's odds are down 20.8 points over a 3-day streak and are now 9%. A recent news item says he is currently in 2nd place in early returns for the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election.
CA-27 primary: first place
George Whitesides has raised $3,536,153.91 this cycle, but Jason Gibbs is ahead in the latest odds for the CA-27 primary.
George Whitesides has raised $3,536,153.91 this cycle, but Jason Gibbs is ahead in the latest odds for the CA-27 primary.
ME-02 Democratic nominee?
Wood leads the latest poll by 5.0 points, but Matthew Dunlap is ahead in the odds for the Democratic nomination.
Wood leads the latest poll by 5.0 points, but Matthew Dunlap is ahead in the odds for the Democratic nomination.
Maine Democratic Governor nominee?
The latest poll has Hannah Pingree ahead by 26.0 points, but her odds are still at 17%.
The latest poll has Hannah Pingree ahead by 26.0 points, but her odds are still at 17%.
California Governor primary: 1st place
The poll has Steve Hilton ahead by 9.0 points, while Xavier Becerra is ahead in the odds for California Governor.
The poll has Steve Hilton ahead by 9.0 points, while Xavier Becerra is ahead in the odds for California Governor.
South Carolina Republican Governor nominee?
The latest poll has Nancy Mace ahead by 15.0 points, but Pamela Evette is the odds leader for the South Carolina Republican governor nomination.
The latest poll has Nancy Mace ahead by 15.0 points, but Pamela Evette is the odds leader for the South Carolina Republican governor nomination.
DC Democratic House delegate nominee?
Kelly Mikel Williams has raised $3,962,768 this cycle, but Robert White holds the odds lead for the DC Democratic House delegate nominee race.
Kelly Mikel Williams has raised $3,962,768 this cycle, but Robert White holds the odds lead for the DC Democratic House delegate nominee race.
CA-24 primary: first place
Carbajal has raised $1,471,885 this cycle, while Sarah Bacon holds the lead in the latest odds for CA-24.
Carbajal has raised $1,471,885 this cycle, while Sarah Bacon holds the lead in the latest odds for CA-24.
MD-05 Democratic nominee?
The latest poll has Rushern Baker III ahead by 5.0 points, but Adrian Boafo is still the odds leader.
The latest poll has Rushern Baker III ahead by 5.0 points, but Adrian Boafo is still the odds leader.
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
The latest poll has Haley Stevens ahead by 12.0 points, but Abdul El-Sayed is the odds leader and Stevens is at 28%.
The latest poll has Haley Stevens ahead by 12.0 points, but Abdul El-Sayed is the odds leader and Stevens is at 28%.
MA-06 Democratic nominee?
Nguyen is up 19.0 points in the latest poll, but Dan Koh is ahead in the odds for the MA-06 Democratic nominee race.
Nguyen is up 19.0 points in the latest poll, but Dan Koh is ahead in the odds for the MA-06 Democratic nominee race.
Georgia Republican Governor nominee?
Donald Trump backed Burt Jones for Georgia Republican governor nominee, and Jones is currently at 73%.
Donald Trump backed Burt Jones for Georgia Republican governor nominee, and Jones is currently at 73%.
KS-02 Republican nominee?
Donald Trump backed Derek Schmidt in the KS-02 Republican nominee race, and Schmidt is currently at 93%.
Donald Trump backed Derek Schmidt in the KS-02 Republican nominee race, and Schmidt is currently at 93%.
TN-06 Republican nominee?
Donald Trump backed Van Hilleary in the TN-06 Republican nominee race, and Hilleary is currently at 44%.
Donald Trump backed Van Hilleary in the TN-06 Republican nominee race, and Hilleary is currently at 44%.
FL-13 Republican nominee?
Donald Trump backed Anna Paulina Luna, and her odds are at 94% for "FL-13 Republican nominee?"
Donald Trump backed Anna Paulina Luna, and her odds are at 94% for "FL-13 Republican nominee?"
Alabama Republican Senate nominee?
Donald Trump backed Jared Hudson in the Alabama Republican Senate nominee race, and Hudson is currently at 5%.
Donald Trump backed Jared Hudson in the Alabama Republican Senate nominee race, and Hudson is currently at 5%.
WI-06 Republican nominee?
Glenn Grothman is the Republican in "WI-06 Republican nominee?" and now has Donald Trump’s backing, with current odds at 97%.
Glenn Grothman is the Republican in "WI-06 Republican nominee?" and now has Donald Trump’s backing, with current odds at 97%.
WI-01 Republican nominee?
Donald Trump backed Bryan Steil for "WI-01 Republican nominee?" and Steil is currently at 94%.
Donald Trump backed Bryan Steil for "WI-01 Republican nominee?" and Steil is currently at 94%.
Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?
Donald Trump backed Bryan Steil for "Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?", and Steil is currently at 4%.
Donald Trump backed Bryan Steil for "Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?", and Steil is currently at 4%.
South Carolina Republican Governor nominee?
Donald Trump backed Ralph Norman for the South Carolina Republican Governor nominee race, and Norman is currently at 8%.
Donald Trump backed Ralph Norman for the South Carolina Republican Governor nominee race, and Norman is currently at 8%.
Los Angeles mayoral election: first round winner
Trump’s backing gives Spencer Pratt a fresh boost in the Los Angeles mayoral election: first round winner, where he is at 17%.
Trump’s backing gives Spencer Pratt a fresh boost in the Los Angeles mayoral election: first round winner, where he is at 17%.
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Ron DeSantis is at 3% in "2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?", and the endorsement comes from Donald Trump.
Ron DeSantis is at 3% in "2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?", and the endorsement comes from Donald Trump.
Georgia Republican Senate nominee?
Donald Trump backed Mike Collins for the Georgia Republican Senate nominee race, and Collins is at 82%.
Donald Trump backed Mike Collins for the Georgia Republican Senate nominee race, and Collins is at 82%.
Florida Republican Senate nominee?
Donald Trump backed Ron DeSantis for "Florida Republican Senate nominee?", and DeSantis is at 7%.
Donald Trump backed Ron DeSantis for "Florida Republican Senate nominee?", and DeSantis is at 7%.
MI-13 Democratic nominee?
Bernie Sanders is a notable backer for Donavan McKinney in "MI-13 Democratic nominee?"
Bernie Sanders is a notable backer for Donavan McKinney in "MI-13 Democratic nominee?"
Kansas Democratic Senate nominee?
Planned Parenthood Action Fund is a notable outside backer for Sharice Davids in "Kansas Democratic Senate nominee?"
Planned Parenthood Action Fund is a notable outside backer for Sharice Davids in "Kansas Democratic Senate nominee?"
CT-01 Democratic nominee?
The latest poll has John Larson ahead by 26.0 points, but Luke Bronin is leading the odds for the Connecticut-01 Democratic nomination.
The latest poll has John Larson ahead by 26.0 points, but Luke Bronin is leading the odds for the Connecticut-01 Democratic nomination.
South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?
Rhoden is ahead by 4.0 points in the latest poll, but Toby Doeden leads the odds for the South Dakota Republican governor nomination.
Rhoden is ahead by 4.0 points in the latest poll, but Toby Doeden leads the odds for the South Dakota Republican governor nomination.
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Bernie Sanders is a high-profile backer for Mallory McMorrow in the Michigan Senate race, and her current odds are 24%.
Bernie Sanders is a high-profile backer for Mallory McMorrow in the Michigan Senate race, and her current odds are 24%.
