Fresh odds moves, new highs and lows, trends, lead changes, polling, fundraising, endorsements, and news across active elections.
LA-04 Republican nominee?
This is a fresh low for Mike Johnson in the Louisiana 4th District Republican nominee race, breaking the prior low of 97%.
LA-04 Republican nominee?
This is a fresh low for Mike Johnson in the Louisiana 4th District Republican nominee race, breaking the prior low of 97%.
Deposit $20, get a $50 bonus with Polymarket.
Deposit $20, get a $50 bonus with Polymarket.
Claim nowLA-04 Republican nominee?
This is a fresh low for Mike Johnson in the Louisiana 4th District Republican nominee race, breaking the prior low of 97%.
This is a fresh low for Mike Johnson in the Louisiana 4th District Republican nominee race, breaking the prior low of 97%.
Iowa Secretary of Agriculture winner?
Chris Jones is now at 73%, up 3.0 points after trailing earlier.
Chris Jones is now at 73%, up 3.0 points after trailing earlier.
DE-AL Republican nominee?
John J. Whalen III remains the clear Republican favorite in Delaware’s at-large primary, and fresh public reporting confirms the field is still Whalen, Earl Cooper, and Joe Arminio ahead of today’s primary, making the 82% price a live benchmark for traders.
John J. Whalen III remains the clear Republican favorite in Delaware’s at-large primary, and fresh public reporting confirms the field is still Whalen, Earl Cooper, and Joe Arminio ahead of today’s primary, making the 82% price a live benchmark for traders.
Los Angeles County Sheriff winner?
Robert G. Luna's odds are now 89%, above the previous high of 86%.
Robert G. Luna's odds are now 89%, above the previous high of 86%.
Minnesota State Senate winner?
That’s below the previous low of 22% for Republican Party in the Minnesota State Senate winner race.
That’s below the previous low of 22% for Republican Party in the Minnesota State Senate winner race.
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
The latest court ruling keeps mail voting rules intact for the midterms while a Trump-linked super PAC is simultaneously pouring money into competitive Senate races, a combination that should keep control-of-Senate pricing volatile.
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
The latest court ruling keeps mail voting rules intact for the midterms while a Trump-linked super PAC is simultaneously pouring money into competitive Senate races, a combination that should keep control-of-Senate pricing volatile.
New York City mayoral election winner?
Jessica Tisch's odds are up 36.0 points and are now at 13% over a 3-day streak.
Jessica Tisch's odds are up 36.0 points and are now at 13% over a 3-day streak.
Texas Railroad Commissioner winner
New reporting shows Texas Republicans publicly rebuking Bo French after his xenophobic posts, adding a fresh downside catalyst for his runoff against Jon Rosenthal.
Alaska State House winner?
Democratic Party's odds are now 13%, past the previous low of 18%.
Democratic Party's odds are now 13%, past the previous low of 18%.
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Democratic Party's odds are now 52%, topping the previous high of 49%.
Democratic Party's odds are now 52%, topping the previous high of 49%.
CA-04 House winner?
Jones is up to 29% while Thompson fell to 66%, a notable one-day repricing in a race reporters say is Thompson’s toughest challenge in years and a well-funded intraparty contest.
Jones is up to 29% while Thompson fell to 66%, a notable one-day repricing in a race reporters say is Thompson’s toughest challenge in years and a well-funded intraparty contest.
TX-23 House winner?
Fresh CNN coverage of Herrera’s vulgar and misogynistic remarks keeps a specific negative storyline on the GOP nominee in TX-23, a market that has already repriced toward the Democrat this week.
Fresh CNN coverage of Herrera’s vulgar and misogynistic remarks keeps a specific negative storyline on the GOP nominee in TX-23, a market that has already repriced toward the Democrat this week.
NC-01 House winner?
Laurie Buckhout's odds in "NC-01 House winner?" fell below the prior low of 39%, setting a new 60-day low.
Laurie Buckhout's odds in "NC-01 House winner?" fell below the prior low of 39%, setting a new 60-day low.
Chicago Mayor winner?
That’s above the previous high of 11% for Brandon Johnson in the "Chicago Mayor winner?" race.
That’s above the previous high of 11% for Brandon Johnson in the "Chicago Mayor winner?" race.
Iowa Senate winner? (2028)
That’s below the previous low of 38% for the Iowa Senate winner? (2028) race.
That’s below the previous low of 38% for the Iowa Senate winner? (2028) race.
WA-03 House winner?
John Braun's odds fell below the previous low of 11%, setting a new floor for "WA-03 House winner?"
John Braun's odds fell below the previous low of 11%, setting a new floor for "WA-03 House winner?"
CA-04 House winner?
Mike Thompson's odds are now 66%, past the previous low of 90%.
Mike Thompson's odds are now 66%, past the previous low of 90%.
TX-23 House winner?
Brandon Herrera's odds are down 7.0 points and are now at 75% over a 3-day streak.
Brandon Herrera's odds are down 7.0 points and are now at 75% over a 3-day streak.
2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?
Jon Ossoff is now at 15% and leads by 3.0 points in the South Carolina Democratic primary winner race.
Jon Ossoff is now at 15% and leads by 3.0 points in the South Carolina Democratic primary winner race.
Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)
Summer Lee is now at 45% and leads by 25.0 points after trailing earlier.
Summer Lee is now at 45% and leads by 25.0 points after trailing earlier.
Wisconsin State Senate winner?
Democratic Party's odds are now 71%, past the previous low of 75%.
Democratic Party's odds are now 71%, past the previous low of 75%.
Texas Railroad Commissioner winner
Jon Rosenthal's odds are now 52%, above the previous high of 38%.
Jon Rosenthal's odds are now 52%, above the previous high of 38%.
AL-02 House winner?
Shomari Figures's odds in "AL-02 House winner?" are now 32%, topping the previous high of 29%.
Shomari Figures's odds in "AL-02 House winner?" are now 32%, topping the previous high of 29%.
New York City mayoral election winner?
Zohran Mamdani's odds are now 68%, above the previous high of 64%.
Zohran Mamdani's odds are now 68%, above the previous high of 64%.
Summer Lee's odds are now 92%, below the previous low of 96%.
Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)
Summer Lee's odds reached 45%, topping the previous high of 40% in this Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee race.
Summer Lee's odds reached 45%, topping the previous high of 40% in this Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee race.
Delaware Republican Senate nominee?
John Shulli's odds fell below the previous low of 50%, setting a new floor for "Delaware Republican Senate nominee?"
John Shulli's odds fell below the previous low of 50%, setting a new floor for "Delaware Republican Senate nominee?"
MO-07 House winner?
Eric W. Burlison's odds fell below their previous low of 98%, setting a new floor for "MO-07 House winner?"
Eric W. Burlison's odds fell below their previous low of 98%, setting a new floor for "MO-07 House winner?"
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Fresh coverage from the Dallas Republican midterm convention again puts JD Vance and Marco Rubio at the front of the post-Trump succession conversation, keeping both contracts tradable even without a formal campaign move.
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Fresh coverage from the Dallas Republican midterm convention again puts JD Vance and Marco Rubio at the front of the post-Trump succession conversation, keeping both contracts tradable even without a formal campaign move.
Delaware Republican Senate nominee?
Shulli rose to 23% and Katz slipped to 84%, a notable one-day repricing ahead of Delaware’s Sept. 15 primary that traders may want to watch for follow-through.
Shulli rose to 23% and Katz slipped to 84%, a notable one-day repricing ahead of Delaware’s Sept. 15 primary that traders may want to watch for follow-through.
IA-01 House winner?
Mariannette Miller-Meeks's odds are down 6.0 points and are now 27% over a 3-day streak.
Mariannette Miller-Meeks's odds are down 6.0 points and are now 27% over a 3-day streak.
OH-09 House winner?
Derek Merrin's odds are down 9.0 points and are now at 29% over a 3-day streak.
Derek Merrin's odds are down 9.0 points and are now at 29% over a 3-day streak.
Louisiana Senate winner?
Jamie Davis's odds are up 5.8 points and are now at 10% over a 3-day streak.
Jamie Davis's odds are up 5.8 points and are now at 10% over a 3-day streak.
Kansas Senate winner?
Adam Hamilton has raised $4,169,077.81 this cycle, but Roger Marshall holds the lead in the latest odds for the Kansas Senate race.
Adam Hamilton has raised $4,169,077.81 this cycle, but Roger Marshall holds the lead in the latest odds for the Kansas Senate race.
Kansas Attorney General winner?
Kris Kobach is now leading with 60% odds, up 22.0 points after trailing earlier.
Kris Kobach is now leading with 60% odds, up 22.0 points after trailing earlier.
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Fresh coverage from the Dallas GOP convention reinforces JD Vance as the leading 2028 Republican succession candidate, with Marco Rubio still in the frame but publicly ruling out a run in one report.
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Fresh coverage from the Dallas GOP convention reinforces JD Vance as the leading 2028 Republican succession candidate, with Marco Rubio still in the frame but publicly ruling out a run in one report.
Nevada Lieutenant Governor winner?
Sandra Jauregui is now leading with 61% odds, ahead by 26.0 points.
Sandra Jauregui is now leading with 61% odds, ahead by 26.0 points.
Georgia Agriculture Commissioner winner?
Tyler Harper is now at 76%, with a 54.0-point lead after trailing earlier.
Tyler Harper is now at 76%, with a 54.0-point lead after trailing earlier.
FL-25 House winner?
Jared Moskowitz’s Democratic win odds fell from 80% to 71% in the last hour on heavy volume, putting this redrawn seat back in a tighter trading band after several days near 79%-80%.
Jared Moskowitz’s Democratic win odds fell from 80% to 71% in the last hour on heavy volume, putting this redrawn seat back in a tighter trading band after several days near 79%-80%.
2028 Republican VP nominee
AP and other reporting from the Dallas GOP convention says JD Vance’s speech reinforced his status as an early frontrunner for the post-Trump race, which keeps the 2028 GOP VP/leadership market on watch for repricing.
VA-01 House winner?
Shannon Leigh Taylor's odds are down 6.0 points and are now at 41% in "VA-01 House winner?"
Shannon Leigh Taylor's odds are down 6.0 points and are now at 41% in "VA-01 House winner?"
DE-AL Republican nominee?
Earl Cooper's odds are down 38.0 points and are now at 24% over a 3-day streak.
Earl Cooper's odds are down 38.0 points and are now at 24% over a 3-day streak.
DE-AL Republican nominee?
John J. Whalen III's odds are up 32.0 points and are now at 78% over a 3-day streak.
John J. Whalen III's odds are up 32.0 points and are now at 78% over a 3-day streak.
PA-07 House winner?
Bob Brooks's odds are down 15.0 points and are now at 70% over a 4-day streak.
Bob Brooks's odds are down 15.0 points and are now at 70% over a 4-day streak.
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Fresh national coverage of Mike Rogers’ convention speech and related anti-El-Sayed attack reporting is keeping Michigan Senate in focus, with Abdul El-Sayed still holding the market edge at 63%.
Fresh national coverage of Mike Rogers’ convention speech and related anti-El-Sayed attack reporting is keeping Michigan Senate in focus, with Abdul El-Sayed still holding the market edge at 63%.
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Fresh reporting from the Dallas Republican convention put JD Vance and Marco Rubio at the center of the post-Trump conversation, making the market’s GOP succession watchlist more tradable even without a formal endorsement or campaign move.
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Fresh reporting from the Dallas Republican convention put JD Vance and Marco Rubio at the center of the post-Trump conversation, making the market’s GOP succession watchlist more tradable even without a formal endorsement or campaign move.
NY-03 House winner?
LiPetri remains the clear Republican favorite in NY-03, with the contract now priced at 76% after a dramatic repricing, and fresh reporting says he is tied to Trump’s GOP midterm convention while Suozzi is actively campaigning for reelection.
LiPetri remains the clear Republican favorite in NY-03, with the contract now priced at 76% after a dramatic repricing, and fresh reporting says he is tied to Trump’s GOP midterm convention while Suozzi is actively campaigning for reelection.
MO-02 House winner?
Missouri’s 2nd District Republican win odds jumped back to 66% after fresh court reporting kept the 2022-vs-2025 map battle unresolved, making the seat’s November shape and pricing still highly tradable.
Missouri’s 2nd District Republican win odds jumped back to 66% after fresh court reporting kept the 2022-vs-2025 map battle unresolved, making the seat’s November shape and pricing still highly tradable.
Delaware Republican Senate nominee?
Michael Katz is now at 92%, with an 82.2-point lead after trailing earlier.
Michael Katz is now at 92%, with an 82.2-point lead after trailing earlier.
CA-07 House winner?
Doris Matsui's odds are up 10.0 points and now stand at 51% in "CA-07 House winner?" over a 3-day streak.
Doris Matsui's odds are up 10.0 points and now stand at 51% in "CA-07 House winner?" over a 3-day streak.
TX-15 House winner?
Monica De La Cruz's odds are down 7.0 points and are now at 42% over a 3-day streak.
Monica De La Cruz's odds are down 7.0 points and are now at 42% over a 3-day streak.
Ohio Secretary of State winner?
Robert Sprague's odds are down 18.0 points and are now 62% in "Ohio Secretary of State winner?"
Robert Sprague's odds are down 18.0 points and are now 62% in "Ohio Secretary of State winner?"
DE-AL Republican nominee?
John J. Whalen III is now leading with 52% and is ahead of the prior leader by 14.0 points.
John J. Whalen III is now leading with 52% and is ahead of the prior leader by 14.0 points.
RI-02 House winner?
Victor Mellor has raised $3,018,774.72 this cycle, while Seth Magaziner leads the latest odds for RI-02 House winner.
Victor Mellor has raised $3,018,774.72 this cycle, while Seth Magaziner leads the latest odds for RI-02 House winner.
MO-02 House winner?
Fresh AP reporting says Missouri’s congressional map battle is still unresolved, leaving the November MO-02 electorate and district lines uncertain as the market has already repriced toward Fred Wellman.
Fresh AP reporting says Missouri’s congressional map battle is still unresolved, leaving the November MO-02 electorate and district lines uncertain as the market has already repriced toward Fred Wellman.
Providence Mayor winner?
AP and local reporting show David Morales unseated incumbent Brett Smiley in the Democratic primary, confirming the market’s post-vote repricing to a near-certain Morales win and shifting attention to the general election.
AP and local reporting show David Morales unseated incumbent Brett Smiley in the Democratic primary, confirming the market’s post-vote repricing to a near-certain Morales win and shifting attention to the general election.
MO-02 House winner?
Fred Wellman is now leading "MO-02 House winner?" with 54% odds and a 7.0-point edge.
Fred Wellman is now leading "MO-02 House winner?" with 54% odds and a 7.0-point edge.
Minnesota Secretary of State winner?
Tad Jude is now the front-runner for Minnesota Secretary of State at 15%, after passing the prior leader.
Rhode Island Governor winner?
Helena Foulkes has beaten Gov. Dan McKee in the Democratic primary, a major leadership change in a strongly Democratic state that should keep the general-election market firmly focused on the Democratic nominee.
Helena Foulkes has beaten Gov. Dan McKee in the Democratic primary, a major leadership change in a strongly Democratic state that should keep the general-election market firmly focused on the Democratic nominee.
Los Angeles County Sheriff winner?
Robert G. Luna is now leading with 86% odds and has a 71.0-point margin.
Robert G. Luna is now leading with 86% odds and has a 71.0-point margin.
Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)
Fresh reporting shows John Fetterman’s party tensions are still escalating, while Chris Deluzio is openly keeping a 2028 Senate challenge on the table, reinforcing the shadow-primary trade in Pennsylvania.
Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)
Fresh reporting shows John Fetterman’s party tensions are still escalating, while Chris Deluzio is openly keeping a 2028 Senate challenge on the table, reinforcing the shadow-primary trade in Pennsylvania.
NJ-02 House winner?
Zack Mullock's odds are down 12.0 points and are now 14% in "NJ-02 House winner?" over a 3-day streak.
Zack Mullock's odds are down 12.0 points and are now 14% in "NJ-02 House winner?" over a 3-day streak.
MO-05 House winner?
Emanuel Cleaver's odds are down 27.0 points and are now at 56% over a 3-day streak.
Emanuel Cleaver's odds are down 27.0 points and are now at 56% over a 3-day streak.
Nebraska Senate winner?
Pete Ricketts's odds are up 9.0 points and are now 73% in "Nebraska Senate winner?" over a 3-day streak.
Pete Ricketts's odds are up 9.0 points and are now 73% in "Nebraska Senate winner?" over a 3-day streak.
TX-23 House winner?
Katy Padilla Stout is now at 33% in "TX-23 House winner?" after gaining 7.0 points over the last 3 days.
Katy Padilla Stout is now at 33% in "TX-23 House winner?" after gaining 7.0 points over the last 3 days.
MO-05 House winner?
Rick Brattin's odds are up 28.0 points and are now at 46% in "MO-05 House winner?" over a 3-day streak.
Rick Brattin's odds are up 28.0 points and are now at 46% in "MO-05 House winner?" over a 3-day streak.
NY-19 House winner?
Peter K Oberacker's odds are down 19.5 points and are now at 6% over a 3-day streak.
Peter K Oberacker's odds are down 19.5 points and are now at 6% over a 3-day streak.
NY-21 House winner?
Blake Gendebien's odds are down 7.0 points and are now at 22% over a 3-day streak.
Blake Gendebien's odds are down 7.0 points and are now at 22% over a 3-day streak.
Alaska Senate winner? (Person)
Dan Sullivan has raised $9,136,966.96 this cycle, while Mary Peltola holds the lead in the latest odds for Alaska Senate winner? (Person).
Dan Sullivan has raised $9,136,966.96 this cycle, while Mary Peltola holds the lead in the latest odds for Alaska Senate winner? (Person).
Providence Mayor winner?
Smiley’s odds jumped sharply intraday while fresh Providence coverage says the race remains highly competitive, making this a meaningful repricing signal for traders watching the primary.
Smiley’s odds jumped sharply intraday while fresh Providence coverage says the race remains highly competitive, making this a meaningful repricing signal for traders watching the primary.
MO-05 House winner?
Emanuel Cleaver’s win probability rebounded to 68% while Rick Brattin fell to 35% after fresh reporting on the Supreme Court’s rejection of Missouri’s revised congressional map, a move that restores the older district lines for November and materially changes the race setup.
Emanuel Cleaver’s win probability rebounded to 68% while Rick Brattin fell to 35% after fresh reporting on the Supreme Court’s rejection of Missouri’s revised congressional map, a move that restores the older district lines for November and materially changes the race setup.
MN-01 House winner?
Johnson’s Democratic win price recovered from 15% to 15% in the last hour, keeping the race’s volatility elevated and signaling traders should watch whether the earlier repricing sticks.
Johnson’s Democratic win price recovered from 15% to 15% in the last hour, keeping the race’s volatility elevated and signaling traders should watch whether the earlier repricing sticks.
Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)
New reporting says Pennsylvania Democrats are openly weighing 2028 primary challenges to John Fetterman, reinforcing the market’s earlier repricing against him and keeping the shadow-primary trade in focus.
New reporting says Pennsylvania Democrats are openly weighing 2028 primary challenges to John Fetterman, reinforcing the market’s earlier repricing against him and keeping the shadow-primary trade in focus.
IA-01 House winner?
Christina Bohannan fell from 32% to 32% while Mariannette Miller-Meeks rose from 32% to 32%, a meaningful one-day swing in a toss-up House race that traders should monitor for follow-through.
Christina Bohannan fell from 32% to 32% while Mariannette Miller-Meeks rose from 32% to 32%, a meaningful one-day swing in a toss-up House race that traders should monitor for follow-through.
NJ-07 House winner?
Bennett’s win price remains elevated at 72% after a sharp repricing this week, while Kean’s side sits at 29%, keeping NJ-07 on trader watch as a competitive seat with fresh coverage still focused on Kean’s absence and return.
Bennett’s win price remains elevated at 72% after a sharp repricing this week, while Kean’s side sits at 29%, keeping NJ-07 on trader watch as a competitive seat with fresh coverage still focused on Kean’s absence and return.
NJ-07 House winner?
Democrat Rebecca Bennett’s House win price jumped sharply in the last hour while Tom Kean Jr.’s fell, lifting Bennett to the clear market favorite in NJ-07. The move is trader-relevant because it meaningfully reprices a toss-up seat after fresh coverage has kept Kean’s absence and return in view.
Democrat Rebecca Bennett’s House win price jumped sharply in the last hour while Tom Kean Jr.’s fell, lifting Bennett to the clear market favorite in NJ-07. The move is trader-relevant because it meaningfully reprices a toss-up seat after fresh coverage has kept Kean’s absence and return in view.
FL-14 House winner?
Fresh reporting that Trump endorsed Mike Beltran lines up with a sharp one-hour move in Florida-14, but the market still has Kathy Castor favored, making this a useful repricing signal rather than a leadership change.
Fresh reporting that Trump endorsed Mike Beltran lines up with a sharp one-hour move in Florida-14, but the market still has Kathy Castor favored, making this a useful repricing signal rather than a leadership change.
Providence Mayor winner?
Morales’s win odds moved up to 70% with elevated 24-hour volume, keeping him the clear market leader as fresh Providence coverage continues to spotlight the race.
Morales’s win odds moved up to 70% with elevated 24-hour volume, keeping him the clear market leader as fresh Providence coverage continues to spotlight the race.
Ohio Governor winner?
Fresh AP reporting on the Canfield Fair incident keeps Amy Acton front and center in the Ohio governor race and could sustain volatility in the Democratic governorship contract.
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Republicans have dropped to 16% to win the House, a sharp one-day repricing that leaves Democrats firmly favored and keeps House-control traders focused on the GOP’s tougher path.
Republicans have dropped to 16% to win the House, a sharp one-day repricing that leaves Democrats firmly favored and keeps House-control traders focused on the GOP’s tougher path.
2028 House winner
Fresh AP reporting on Maryland and Missouri redistricting fights coincides with a sharp House-control repricing, keeping traders focused on map risk tilting the 2028 House market toward Democrats.
Fresh AP reporting on Maryland and Missouri redistricting fights coincides with a sharp House-control repricing, keeping traders focused on map risk tilting the 2028 House market toward Democrats.
IN-01 House winner?
Barb Regnitz’s Republican win probability in Indiana’s 1st has fallen from 17% to 1% in the last day, even as fresh reporting says Republicans are still eyeing the district in a possible Indiana redistricting push.
Barb Regnitz’s Republican win probability in Indiana’s 1st has fallen from 17% to 1% in the last day, even as fresh reporting says Republicans are still eyeing the district in a possible Indiana redistricting push.
Who will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election?
Scott Timko is now at 98% and leads by 93.0 points in the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election.
Scott Timko is now at 98% and leads by 93.0 points in the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election.
Ohio Supreme Court: Brunner seat winner?
Colleen O'Donnell is now at 59%, up 12.0 points and ahead of the prior leader in the Ohio Supreme Court race for the Brunner seat.
Colleen O'Donnell is now at 59%, up 12.0 points and ahead of the prior leader in the Ohio Supreme Court race for the Brunner seat.
NY-17 House winner?
Fresh AP coverage keeps Mike Lawler’s NY-17 seat in the national spotlight while underscoring Cait Conley’s competitive profile, making the race worth a closer trading watch even without a clean new leader change.
Fresh AP coverage keeps Mike Lawler’s NY-17 seat in the national spotlight while underscoring Cait Conley’s competitive profile, making the race worth a closer trading watch even without a clean new leader change.
Texas Senate winner?
A Trump-aligned super PAC is putting $10 million behind Paxton in Texas, a fresh spending burst that could pressure the tight Senate market and reinforce Republican momentum.
A Trump-aligned super PAC is putting $10 million behind Paxton in Texas, a fresh spending burst that could pressure the tight Senate market and reinforce Republican momentum.
Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner?
Josh McLaurin is now the front-runner for Georgia lieutenant governor with 51% odds, ahead by 3.0 points.
Josh McLaurin is now the front-runner for Georgia lieutenant governor with 51% odds, ahead by 3.0 points.
Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?
Guckian’s chance jumped from 0% to 9% in the last hour after fresh Rhode Island coverage highlighted the GOP primary field, making him a live watch for traders despite Pelino still leading the market.
Guckian’s chance jumped from 0% to 9% in the last hour after fresh Rhode Island coverage highlighted the GOP primary field, making him a live watch for traders despite Pelino still leading the market.
PA-07 House winner?
A state court again removed Green Party candidate Andrew Tupone from the Lehigh Valley ballot, reinforcing the spoiler-risk reduction for Bob Brooks in a race where third-party votes had been a live trader concern.
A state court again removed Green Party candidate Andrew Tupone from the Lehigh Valley ballot, reinforcing the spoiler-risk reduction for Bob Brooks in a race where third-party votes had been a live trader concern.
PA-01 House winner?
A fresh GQR/House Majority PAC poll shows Bob Harvie statistically tied with Brian Fitzpatrick, lining up with a sharp one-hour swing that pushed Fitzpatrick from 48% to 54% on the market side and puts the race back on traders' radar.
A fresh GQR/House Majority PAC poll shows Bob Harvie statistically tied with Brian Fitzpatrick, lining up with a sharp one-hour swing that pushed Fitzpatrick from 48% to 54% on the market side and puts the race back on traders' radar.
2028 House winner
Fresh AP reporting on Maryland and Missouri redistricting fights lands alongside a sharp move to 79% for Democrats in the 2028 House market, keeping House-control traders focused on map risk and the widening Democratic lead.
2028 House winner
Fresh AP reporting on Maryland and Missouri redistricting fights lands alongside a sharp move to 79% for Democrats in the 2028 House market, keeping House-control traders focused on map risk and the widening Democratic lead.
VA-01 House winner?
Rob Wittman is now at 52%, with a 4.0-point lead after trailing earlier.
Rob Wittman is now at 52%, with a 4.0-point lead after trailing earlier.
Texas State Senate winner?
MAGA Inc. is spending $10 million on ads for Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate race, a fresh and concrete sign Republicans are stepping in to defend a contest they view as unexpectedly tight.
MAGA Inc. is spending $10 million on ads for Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate race, a fresh and concrete sign Republicans are stepping in to defend a contest they view as unexpectedly tight.
2028 Democratic VP nominee
Elissa Slotkin is now at 13% and leads by 4.1 points in the 2028 Democratic VP nominee race.
Elissa Slotkin is now at 13% and leads by 4.1 points in the 2028 Democratic VP nominee race.
VA-02 House winner?
Jen A. Kiggans has raised $5,954,338 this cycle, but Elaine Luria holds the lead in the latest odds for "VA-02 House winner?"
Jen A. Kiggans has raised $5,954,338 this cycle, but Elaine Luria holds the lead in the latest odds for "VA-02 House winner?"
OH-09 House winner?
Derek Merrin’s House-race win probability dropped from 49% an hour ago to 41%, leaving the market sharply less bullish on a GOP pickup in this toss-up seat.
Derek Merrin’s House-race win probability dropped from 49% an hour ago to 41%, leaving the market sharply less bullish on a GOP pickup in this toss-up seat.
CA-07 House winner?
Doris Matsui has raised $3,192,087 this cycle, while Mai Vang holds the lead in the latest odds for "CA-07 House winner?"
Doris Matsui has raised $3,192,087 this cycle, while Mai Vang holds the lead in the latest odds for "CA-07 House winner?"
MI-07 House winner?
Tom Barrett has raised $6,306,827.61 this cycle, but William Lawrence holds the lead in the latest odds for "MI-07 House winner?"
Tom Barrett has raised $6,306,827.61 this cycle, but William Lawrence holds the lead in the latest odds for "MI-07 House winner?"
MO-05 House winner?
Emanuel Cleaver is now at 92% and leads by 61.0 points in Missouri's 5th District House race.
Emanuel Cleaver is now at 92% and leads by 61.0 points in Missouri's 5th District House race.
Ohio Attorney General winner?
John Kulewicz is now leading with 97.8% odds and a 19.8-point margin over the prior leader.
John Kulewicz is now leading with 97.8% odds and a 19.8-point margin over the prior leader.
Texas Lieutenant Governor winner?
Vikki Goodwin is now ahead with 74% odds, after the lead shifted from a GOP candidate.
Vikki Goodwin is now ahead with 74% odds, after the lead shifted from a GOP candidate.
PA-07 House winner?
Ryan E. Mackenzie has raised $4,357,405 this cycle, but Bob Brooks holds the lead in the latest odds for "PA-07 House winner?"
Ryan E. Mackenzie has raised $4,357,405 this cycle, but Bob Brooks holds the lead in the latest odds for "PA-07 House winner?"
Alaska Governor winner? (Party)
Republican governorship odds in Alaska hit 38%, a fresh low after renewed ballot-settlement reporting kept the GOP field unsettled and extended the recent repricing lower.
Republican governorship odds in Alaska hit 38%, a fresh low after renewed ballot-settlement reporting kept the GOP field unsettled and extended the recent repricing lower.
Providence Mayor winner?
David Morales is now the leader in the Providence mayor race and sits at 57%, with a 13.0-point lead.
David Morales is now the leader in the Providence mayor race and sits at 57%, with a 13.0-point lead.
GA-14 House winner?
Shawn Harris has raised $8,098,513.75 this cycle, but Clayton Fuller holds the lead in the latest odds for the GA-14 House race.
Shawn Harris has raised $8,098,513.75 this cycle, but Clayton Fuller holds the lead in the latest odds for the GA-14 House race.
Ohio Senate winner?
Jon Husted has raised $14,360,027.53 this cycle, but Sherrod Brown holds the lead in the latest odds for Ohio Senate winner.
Jon Husted has raised $14,360,027.53 this cycle, but Sherrod Brown holds the lead in the latest odds for Ohio Senate winner.
TX-15 House winner?
Monica De La Cruz has raised $5,273,959.93 this cycle, but Bobby Pulido holds the lead in the latest odds.
Monica De La Cruz has raised $5,273,959.93 this cycle, but Bobby Pulido holds the lead in the latest odds.
CA-06 House winner?
Kevin Kiley has raised $2,988,805 this cycle, but Richard Pan holds the lead in the latest odds for "CA-06 House winner?"
Kevin Kiley has raised $2,988,805 this cycle, but Richard Pan holds the lead in the latest odds for "CA-06 House winner?"
IN-05 House winner?
Donald Trump backed Victoria Spartz in the IN-05 House winner race, and she is currently at 88%.
Donald Trump backed Victoria Spartz in the IN-05 House winner race, and she is currently at 88%.
South Carolina Senate winner?
Annie Andrews has raised $10,804,040 this cycle, but Darline Graham leads the latest odds for the South Carolina Senate race.
Annie Andrews has raised $10,804,040 this cycle, but Darline Graham leads the latest odds for the South Carolina Senate race.
Maine Senate winner?
Susan Collins has raised $16,169,827.43 this cycle, but Troy Jackson holds the lead in the latest odds for "Maine Senate winner?"
Susan Collins has raised $16,169,827.43 this cycle, but Troy Jackson holds the lead in the latest odds for "Maine Senate winner?"
CO-04 House winner?
Eileen Laubacher has raised $10,349,940 this cycle, but Lauren Boebert holds the lead in the latest odds for "CO-04 House winner?"
Eileen Laubacher has raised $10,349,940 this cycle, but Lauren Boebert holds the lead in the latest odds for "CO-04 House winner?"
NY-17 House winner?
Mike Lawler has raised $6,731,833 this cycle, but Cait Conley holds the lead in the latest odds for "NY-17 House winner?"
Mike Lawler has raised $6,731,833 this cycle, but Cait Conley holds the lead in the latest odds for "NY-17 House winner?"
CA-22 House winner?
David Valadao has raised $4,927,601.63 this cycle, while Randy Villegas leads the latest odds for CA-22 House winner.
David Valadao has raised $4,927,601.63 this cycle, while Randy Villegas leads the latest odds for CA-22 House winner.
Alabama Governor winner?
Doug Jones has raised $31,053,566 this cycle, while Tommy Tuberville holds the lead in the "Alabama Governor winner?" odds.
Doug Jones has raised $31,053,566 this cycle, while Tommy Tuberville holds the lead in the "Alabama Governor winner?" odds.
VA-01 House winner?
Rob Wittman has raised $4,053,141.52 this cycle, but Shannon Leigh Taylor holds the lead in the latest odds for "VA-01 House winner?"
Rob Wittman has raised $4,053,141.52 this cycle, but Shannon Leigh Taylor holds the lead in the latest odds for "VA-01 House winner?"
FL-07 House winner?
Ryan Elijah now has Donald Trump’s endorsement in the FL-07 House winner race, and his current odds are 69%.
Ryan Elijah now has Donald Trump’s endorsement in the FL-07 House winner race, and his current odds are 69%.
WV-02 House winner?
Donald Trump backed Riley Moore for the WV-02 House race, and Moore is currently at 96%.
Donald Trump backed Riley Moore for the WV-02 House race, and Moore is currently at 96%.
PA-01 House winner?
Brian Fitzpatrick has raised $6,734,931 this cycle, but Bob Harvie holds the lead in the latest odds for PA-01 House winner.
Brian Fitzpatrick has raised $6,734,931 this cycle, but Bob Harvie holds the lead in the latest odds for PA-01 House winner.
MO-02 House winner?
Ann Wagner has raised $3,528,094.52 this cycle, while Fred Wellman holds the lead in the latest odds for "MO-02 House winner?"
Ann Wagner has raised $3,528,094.52 this cycle, while Fred Wellman holds the lead in the latest odds for "MO-02 House winner?"
FL-18 House winner?
Donald Trump backed Scott Franklin, who is currently at 90.3% odds in "FL-18 House winner?"
Donald Trump backed Scott Franklin, who is currently at 90.3% odds in "FL-18 House winner?"
OK-02 House winner?
Josh Brecheen now has Donald Trump’s endorsement in "OK-02 House winner?", and his odds are at 96%.
Josh Brecheen now has Donald Trump’s endorsement in "OK-02 House winner?", and his odds are at 96%.
MO-05 House winner?
Donald Trump backed Rick Brattin for the Missouri 5th Congressional District House race, and Brattin is currently at 87%.
Donald Trump backed Rick Brattin for the Missouri 5th Congressional District House race, and Brattin is currently at 87%.
TX-25 House winner?
Donald Trump backed Roger Williams in "TX-25 House winner?", and Williams is currently at 92%.
Donald Trump backed Roger Williams in "TX-25 House winner?", and Williams is currently at 92%.
TN-04 House winner?
Scott DesJarlais is backed by Donald Trump and is currently at 94.8% in "TN-04 House winner?"
Scott DesJarlais is backed by Donald Trump and is currently at 94.8% in "TN-04 House winner?"
Michigan Governor winner?
Donald Trump backed John James in the Michigan governor race, and John James is currently at 13%.
Donald Trump backed John James in the Michigan governor race, and John James is currently at 13%.
Kansas Senate winner?
Donald Trump backed Roger Marshall in the Kansas Senate race, and Marshall is currently at 81%.
Donald Trump backed Roger Marshall in the Kansas Senate race, and Marshall is currently at 81%.
LA-02 Democratic nominee?
AFL-CIO is a notable endorsement for Troy Carter in "LA-02 Democratic nominee?"
AFL-CIO is a notable endorsement for Troy Carter in "LA-02 Democratic nominee?"
New York Attorney General winner?
Donald Trump backed Saritha Komatireddy, who is currently at 6% in "New York Attorney General winner?"
Donald Trump backed Saritha Komatireddy, who is currently at 6% in "New York Attorney General winner?"
NY-21 House winner?
The latest poll has Blake Gendebien at 43%, but Anthony Constantino is still ahead in the odds for NY-21 House winner.
The latest poll has Blake Gendebien at 43%, but Anthony Constantino is still ahead in the odds for NY-21 House winner.
