Prediction Edge
Republican
Aaron Bean

Aaron Bean

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Aaron Bean is trading at 86% to win the FL-04 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age59 years old (Jan 25, 1967)

GenderMale

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LocationFlorida

BackgroundPolitician

EducationJacksonville University — B.S. (1989)

Notable personal detailsAaron Paul Bean is a Republican politician serving as the U.S. representative for Florida's 4th congressional district, first elected in 2022 and serving since January 3, 2023. He previously served as a Fernandina Beach city commissioner and mayor, then represented parts of Northeast Florida in the Florida House (2000–2008) and Florida Senate (2012–2022), including as Senate President Pro Tempore. He is a Jacksonville University graduate and has worked in business, including as an auctioneer and bank president.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports pro-growth, lower-tax policies for businesses and individuals and favors maintaining or extending business-friendly tax provisions. Emphasizes regulatory relief and tax incentives to help small businesses and economic growth.

Healthcare

Aaron Bean opposed expanding Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act and proposed a state-run alternative (Florida Health Choices/Health Choice Plus) that would use state funds and private plans instead of accepting federal Medicaid expansion funds. He has overseen health and human services appropriations in the Florida Senate and later served in Congress where he has introduced legislation related to Medicare fraud and cost transparency.

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Immigration & Border

Aaron Bean has sponsored and supported state-level legislation that strengthens immigration enforcement (including prohibiting sanctuary policies and promoting E-Verify) and has publicly called for securing the southern border and tougher federal enforcement. His record emphasizes increased enforcement and cooperation with federal immigration authorities rather than expanded legalization or broad asylum protections.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate opposes the 2024 Florida constitutional abortion-rights amendment (Amendment 4) and publicly indicated a “No” vote. He is identified by pro-life/anti-abortion organizations and media reports as opposing expansion of abortion access in Florida.

Climate & Energy

The candidate has a voting and legislative record opposing major federal clean-energy incentives and supporting measures that favor fossil-fuel interests and rollback of environmental regulations. He voted against expanding residential clean-energy tax credits and has cosponsored or voted for legislation that supports coal and restricts climate-related federal actions. Overall his record shows opposition to aggressive federal climate policies and support for fossil-fuel–friendly measures.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports strong Second Amendment protections and opposes broad new gun restrictions while backing measures intended to protect self-defense (including co-sponsorship of Stand Your Ground). Has received endorsements from pro-gun organizations and has spoken against removing firearms from law-abiding citizens as a school-safety measure.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 16, 2026

Aaron Bean is in the news because Donald Trump publicly endorsed him as part of a slate of Florida Republican candidates ahead of the 2026 primary elections. The coverage is mainly a roundup of those endorsements and the upcoming primary contests, rather than a report on Bean’s own campaign developments.

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Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.2M
$1.6M
$1.1M
$540.8K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.2M
$92.9K
$1.1M
$46.1K

Cycle 2024

$1.7M
$474.7K
$1.4M
$56.5K

Cycle 2026

$2.2M
$1.6M
$1.0M
$52.9K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements