Prediction Edge
Republican
Adam Bauman

Adam Bauman

Overview

Current roleU.S. Border Patrol agent

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationTexas

Show more

BackgroundU.S. Border Patrol agent

Notable personal detailsAdam Bauman is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Texas’ 16th Congressional District (El Paso area) in the 2026 election cycle. His campaign materials describe him as a former U.S. Border Patrol agent who served on BORTAC, and as a U.S. Navy Special Warfare Combatant Crewman veteran. He has also been described in election profiles as a business owner.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate advocates lowering local property taxes and prioritizing policies to support local and small businesses. The campaign emphasizes reducing burdens on taxpayers and limiting federal subsidies for healthcare while preserving Social Security benefits without raising the retirement age.

Healthcare

Supports reducing health insurance premiums and making coverage more affordable through market-based solutions and cost reduction efforts rather than federal subsidies. Opposes federal subsidization of insurance costs and emphasizes finding solutions that avoid additional federal spending. Prioritizes affordability without expanding large federal programs.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports securing the U.S.–Mexico border and strengthening Customs and Border Protection to prevent criminals and narcotics from crossing into El Paso. Emphasizes his Border Patrol/BORTAC background as experience informing his commitment to border enforcement. Does not propose a pathway-to-citizenship or expansion of asylum protections on the campaign site.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Adam Bauman identifies as pro-life and said the federal government “should not interfere with the lives of people unless it comes to pro-life,” indicating he prioritizes pro-life policy. His campaign website does not provide a detailed abortion or reproductive-rights policy on its issues pages.

Latest Insights

TX-16 Republican nominee?

14d

Fresh public reporting indicates Bauman won the Republican runoff, confirming the near-fully priced market and ending most remaining nomination risk.

100%

TX-16 Republican nominee?

15d

Fresh public reporting and results now indicate Bauman has won the Republican runoff, converting the market from a contest into a near-lock outcome and leaving little room for further repricing unless there is a late dispute or correction.

100%

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 11, 2026

Adam Bauman is being mentioned in the context of a broader shift in the 2026 House landscape, as Republicans have lost ground in several key districts. The update suggests the race for control of the House is becoming more competitive, with Democrats seeing a better path to retaking it. No specific new action or statement from Bauman is included in the provided summaries.

adambaumanforcongress.com+36

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising