Prediction Edge
Republican
Adam Bauman

Adam Bauman

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Texas

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Adam Bauman is trading at 100% to win the TX-16 Republican nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleRetired U.S. Border Patrol agent

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

LocationTexas

BackgroundRetired U.S. Border Patrol agent

Show more

Notable personal detailsAdam Bauman is a Republican candidate for U.S. House in Texas’s 16th Congressional District (El Paso area). He is a retired U.S. Border Patrol agent and has described prior service with the Border Patrol Tactical Unit (BORTAC). He is also a U.S. Navy veteran and runs a canine drug detection business.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate advocates lowering local property taxes and prioritizing policies to support local and small businesses. The campaign emphasizes reducing burdens on taxpayers and limiting federal subsidies for healthcare while preserving Social Security benefits without raising the retirement age.

Healthcare

Supports reducing health insurance premiums and making coverage more affordable through market-based solutions and cost reduction efforts rather than federal subsidies. Opposes federal subsidization of insurance costs and emphasizes finding solutions that avoid additional federal spending. Prioritizes affordability without expanding large federal programs.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports securing the U.S.–Mexico border and strengthening Customs and Border Protection to prevent criminals and narcotics from crossing into El Paso. Emphasizes his Border Patrol/BORTAC background as experience informing his commitment to border enforcement. Does not propose a pathway-to-citizenship or expansion of asylum protections on the campaign site.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Adam Bauman identifies as pro-life and said the federal government “should not interfere with the lives of people unless it comes to pro-life,” indicating he prioritizes pro-life policy. His campaign website does not provide a detailed abortion or reproductive-rights policy on its issues pages.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 14, 2026

Adam Bauman is being mentioned in the context of a broader shift in the 2026 House race, as Republicans have lost ground in several key districts. The latest update says some seats that were once seen as safe are now more competitive, which could help Democrats’ chances of retaking the House. No specific new action or statement from Bauman is included in the provided summaries.

adambaumanforcongress.com+43

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising