Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Adam Gray

Adam Gray

Incumbent Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Adam Gray is trading at 90% to win the CA-13 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age48 years old (Sep 23, 1977)

GenderMale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationB.A., Political Science, University of California, Santa Barbara (2000)

Notable personal detailsAdam Channing Gray is a U.S. Representative from California, serving the state’s 13th congressional district since January 3, 2025. He previously served in the California State Assembly (2012–2022) representing the Merced-area region and founded the California Problem Solvers Caucus. Gray is a University of California, Santa Barbara graduate and has worked as a business owner and as faculty at the University of California, Merced.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports preserving and extending tax credits that lower health-care costs and advocates for federal investments in infrastructure and programs that benefit his district. Positions indicate preference for targeted government spending and maintaining tax-based subsidies rather than advocating broad tax cuts.

Healthcare

Supports strengthening and expanding access to existing government programs including restoring Medicaid funding and extending ACA premium tax credits; advocates investments to sustain rural hospitals and increase medical workforce capacity in the Central Valley. Does not endorse single‑payer proposals in sourced materials.

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Immigration & Border

Supports comprehensive immigration reform that creates legal pathways and legal protections for undocumented immigrants while also addressing visa backlogs and strengthening the southern border. Has backed agricultural-worker legalization measures and cosponsored bipartisan reform legislation that includes a pathway to legal status for qualifying immigrants.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Adam Gray supports protecting abortion and reproductive rights at the federal level and has called for Congress to guarantee the right to access abortion and contraception nationwide. His campaign is endorsed by reproductive-rights organizations including Reproductive Freedom for All, Planned Parenthood Action Fund, and Equality California.

Climate & Energy

Adam Gray supports expanding clean and renewable energy and has sponsored bipartisan legislation to secure reliable clean energy while also prioritizing water and agricultural infrastructure for his Central Valley district. His record emphasizes pragmatic investments in clean energy and water resources rather than endorsing Green New Deal–style wholesale fossil fuel phaseouts.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate has sponsored legislation that provided a pathway for otherwise law‑abiding gun owners to register firearms obtained outside licensed dealers and has received endorsements from pro‑gun organizations. His record indicates support for policies that protect gun owners' interests while serving in state office.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 29, 2026

Adam Gray is in the news because his California 13th Congressional District race is shaping up to be a close 2026 House contest. He advanced from the June primary and is expected to face Republican Kevin Lincoln, while earlier reports also pointed to a likely matchup with Trump-endorsed John Duarte as the district remains highly competitive. Gray also drew attention after a local Young Republicans chapter endorsed him, prompting disciplinary proceedings from the state Young Republicans organization. In May, he was among the Democrats who voted for the House farm and food security bill.

history.house.gov+55

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$6.4M
$4.8M
$3.2M
$1.6M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$2.4M
$54.4K
$2.3M
$97.3K

Cycle 2024

$6.4M
$192.0K
$6.3M
$262.2K

Cycle 2026

$4.2M
$2.1M
$2.3M
$128.4K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements