Prediction Edge
Democrat
Adam Hamilton

Adam Hamilton

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Kansas

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Adam Hamilton is trading at 22% to win the Kansas Senate winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleUnited Methodist minister

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age62 years old (Jul 12, 1964)

GenderMale

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LocationKansas

BackgroundUnited Methodist minister

EducationOral Roberts University (B.A.)

Notable personal detailsAdam Hamilton is an American United Methodist minister, author, and Democratic candidate for the U.S. Senate in Kansas in 2026. He is the founding and senior pastor of the United Methodist Church of the Resurrection in the Kansas City area, which grew into the largest United Methodist congregation in the United States. Hamilton has authored more than 30 books and has been active in national faith and civic life, including preaching at the 2013 National Prayer Service.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Immigration & Border

Adam Hamilton has not articulated detailed immigration or border policy positions during his initial campaign rollout; he has referenced religious teachings about treating foreigners with compassion but did not lay out concrete policy proposals. Available reporting describes a listening tour and says he did not speak at length on issues including immigration.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate has expressed conflicting positions: he said he voted in 2022 against a Kansas constitutional amendment that would have enabled tougher abortion restrictions or a ban, and said lawmakers should not be the primary ethicists or spiritual guides for women, while in other contexts he has described himself as “pro-life with a heavy heart.”

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Public Safety & Guns

Supports stronger gun-safety measures such as universal/background checks and stricter gun regulations while emphasizing training and sensible limits rather than blanket bans. Advocates policies aimed at reducing gun violence and public safety risks.

Latest Candidate Updates

Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.

Kansas Senate winner?

5d

Adam Hamilton has raised $4,169,077.81 this cycle, but Roger Marshall holds the lead in the latest odds for the Kansas Senate race.

22%

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 15, 2026

Adam Hamilton won the Democratic nomination for the Kansas U.S. Senate race, according to AP, and will face Republican incumbent Roger Marshall in the general election. He entered the race as a centrist Democrat and pitched his campaign around decency, social safety nets, and separation of church and state. His candidacy has drawn attention because it gives Democrats a high-profile challenger in a state where they have not won a U.S. Senate seat in decades.

hamiltonforkansas.com+56

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Public Policy Polling
50%40%30%20%10%0%
45%
Adam Hamilton
A. Hamilton
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Public Policy PollingAug 8, 2026
45.0%
GBAOJul 16, 2026
30.0%
Change ResearchJun 15, 2026
18.0%
Tavern ResearchJan 28, 2026
46.0%
Tavern ResearchJan 28, 2026
51.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

8
Kansas Democratic Senate nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$4.2M
$3.1M
$2.1M
$1.0M
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$4.2M
$1.7M
$2.4M
$128.3K

Source: FEC