Prediction Edge
Republican
Adam Perez Arquette

Adam Perez Arquette

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Kentucky

Live Odds — KY-06 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$17.3KMAY 20, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current rolePolitical candidate

PartyRepublican

LocationKentucky

BackgroundPolitical candidate

Notable personal detailsAdam Perez Arquette is a Republican who filed as a candidate for the U.S. House in Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He formed a principal campaign committee, “ADAM PEREZ ARQUETTE FOR CONGRESS,” registered with the FEC on October 28, 2025. During the 2026 primary campaign, he announced he was withdrawing from the race and endorsing fellow Republican candidate Ralph Alvarado.

SourcesShow

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Adam Perez Arquette is being mentioned in coverage of Kentucky’s 2026 primary elections, which are shaping up to be highly competitive for an open U.S. Senate seat and several House and state legislative races. The reporting says the Republican primaries are likely to decide the eventual winners in November. No other specific developments about Arquette are provided in the available summary.

fec.gov+26

Latest Polls

KY-06 Republican nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Adam Perez Arquette currently averages 0.7%, ranking 5th in this race, 1.3 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 0.7%Position: 5thMargin: -1.3 ptsLatest poll: 1.0% (May 4 - 7)Polls included: 3

Average recalculated from polls through May 4 - 7.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
30.3%
13%
Adam Perez Arquette
A. Arquette
Ralph Alvarado
R. Alvarado
Ryan Dotson
R. Dotson
Greg Plucinski
G. Plucinski
Steve Shannon
S. Shannon
Date (Start - End)SpreadArquetteAlvaradoDotsonPlucinskiShannon
Polling Average
Alvarado+29.7
0.7%30.3%13.0%4.7%2.0%
1892 PollingMay 4 - 7
Alvarado+37.0
1.0%38.0%15.0%8.0%3.0%
1892 PollingApr 6 - 8
Alvarado+32.0
0.0%32.0%11.0%6.0%1.0%
1892 PollingFeb 10 - 12
Alvarado+20.0
1.0%21.0%13.0%0.0%2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$5.0M
$3.7M
$2.5M
$1.2M
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$5.0M
$0.00
$1.7M
$98.4K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Positions
  • Endorsements