Prediction Edge
Republican
Adam Perez Arquette

Adam Perez Arquette

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Kentucky

Live Odds — KY-06 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$17.3KMAY 20, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current rolePolitical candidate

PartyRepublican

LocationKentucky

BackgroundPolitical candidate

Notable personal detailsAdam Perez Arquette is a Republican who filed as a candidate for the U.S. House in Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He formed a principal campaign committee, “ADAM PEREZ ARQUETTE FOR CONGRESS,” registered with the FEC on October 28, 2025. During the 2026 primary campaign, he announced he was withdrawing from the race and endorsing fellow Republican candidate Ralph Alvarado.

SourcesShow

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Adam Perez Arquette is in the news as a candidate tied to the current wave of 2026 primary elections and the broader fight over party nominations. Recent coverage focuses on competitive Republican and Democratic contests in several states, including Senate and House races that will shape the general election field. The reporting does not give a clear, specific update on Arquette himself, so the picture is still limited.

fec.gov+33

Latest Polls

KY-06 Republican nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Adam Perez Arquette currently averages 0.7%, ranking 5th in this race, 1.3 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 0.7%Position: 5thMargin: -1.3 ptsLatest poll: 1.0% (May 4 - 7)Polls included: 3

Average recalculated from polls through May 4 - 7.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
30.3%
13%
Adam Perez Arquette
A. Arquette
Ralph Alvarado
R. Alvarado
Ryan Dotson
R. Dotson
Greg Plucinski
G. Plucinski
Steve Shannon
S. Shannon
Date (Start - End)SpreadArquetteAlvaradoDotsonPlucinskiShannon
Polling Average
Alvarado+29.7
0.7%30.3%13.0%4.7%2.0%
1892 PollingMay 4 - 7
Alvarado+37.0
1.0%38.0%15.0%8.0%3.0%
1892 PollingApr 6 - 8
Alvarado+32.0
0.0%32.0%11.0%6.0%1.0%
1892 PollingFeb 10 - 12
Alvarado+20.0
1.0%21.0%13.0%0.0%2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$5.0M
$3.7M
$2.5M
$1.2M
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$5.0M
$0.00
$1.7M
$98.4K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Positions
  • Endorsements