

General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Adrian Smith is trading at 99% to win the NE-03 House winner? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age55 years old (Dec 19, 1970)
GenderMale
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LocationNebraska
BackgroundU.S. Representative
EducationGering High School (graduated 1989)
Notable personal detailsAdrian Michael Smith is a U.S. Representative from Nebraska’s 3rd congressional district, serving in Congress since January 3, 2007. A Republican, he previously served on the Gering, Nebraska City Council (1994–1998) and in the Nebraska Legislature (1999–2007). He earned a B.S. from the University of Nebraska–Lincoln in 1993 and also attended Liberty University. He is married to Andrea McDaniel and has two children.
SourcesShowHide
Political Positions
Economy & Taxes
Adrian Smith supports tax cuts and pro‑business, pro‑growth tax policies, including making portions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act permanent and extending business tax provisions. He emphasizes simplifying the tax code, reducing tax burdens for families and small businesses, and opposing Democratic proposals that would raise taxes to expand spending.
Healthcare
Advocates repeal or dismantling of the Affordable Care Act and supports market-oriented reforms such as expanded health savings accounts, direct primary care, and telehealth; focuses on rural health workforce issues and legislation to address problems from ACA-related programs. Positions emphasize reducing ACA’s role in insurance and promoting private-market/HSAs-style approaches.
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Immigration & Border
Supports stronger border security and enforcement measures, frequently criticizing the Biden administration’s handling of the southern border and praising Border Patrol. Has authored columns and press releases emphasizing illegal crossings, drug smuggling, and the need to ‘regain control’ of the southern border while opposing perceived ‘open borders’ policies.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
The candidate supports significant restrictions on abortion, including measures to prohibit federal funding for abortion and to expand legal protections for fetuses/newborns; he has co-sponsored and voted for anti-abortion legislation.
Climate & Energy
Supports an "all-of-the-above" energy approach emphasizing domestic resource development and biofuels, opposes expansive federal regulations on energy and EPA greenhouse-gas rulemaking, and voted against major Democratic climate-and-energy legislation such as the Inflation Reduction Act.
Public Safety & Guns
Supports strong Second Amendment protections and opposes new federal gun-control measures while expressing support for law-abiding gun owners. Has a high pro-gun rating from pro-gun organizations and has publicly opposed recent gun-control legislation.
Endorsements
Endorsers of Adrian Smith for NE-03 Republican nominee?
Ranchers for Adrian
Public endorsement
Ranchers for Adrian endorsed Adrian Smith ahead of the primary election.
Nebraska Farm Bureau Political Action Committee
Political organization
Nebraska Farm Bureau Political Action Committee endorsed Adrian Smith for re-election.
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2022
2024
2026
LatestCycle 2022
Cycle 2024
Cycle 2026
Source: FEC
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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
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