Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Adrian Smith

Adrian Smith

Overview

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Adrian Smith supports tax cuts and pro‑business, pro‑growth tax policies, including making portions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act permanent and extending business tax provisions. He emphasizes simplifying the tax code, reducing tax burdens for families and small businesses, and opposing Democratic proposals that would raise taxes to expand spending.

Healthcare

Advocates repeal or dismantling of the Affordable Care Act and supports market-oriented reforms such as expanded health savings accounts, direct primary care, and telehealth; focuses on rural health workforce issues and legislation to address problems from ACA-related programs. Positions emphasize reducing ACA’s role in insurance and promoting private-market/HSAs-style approaches.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security and enforcement measures, frequently criticizing the Biden administration’s handling of the southern border and praising Border Patrol. Has authored columns and press releases emphasizing illegal crossings, drug smuggling, and the need to ‘regain control’ of the southern border while opposing perceived ‘open borders’ policies.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports significant restrictions on abortion, including measures to prohibit federal funding for abortion and to expand legal protections for fetuses/newborns; he has co-sponsored and voted for anti-abortion legislation.

Climate & Energy

Supports an "all-of-the-above" energy approach emphasizing domestic resource development and biofuels, opposes expansive federal regulations on energy and EPA greenhouse-gas rulemaking, and voted against major Democratic climate-and-energy legislation such as the Inflation Reduction Act.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports strong Second Amendment protections and opposes new federal gun-control measures while expressing support for law-abiding gun owners. Has a high pro-gun rating from pro-gun organizations and has publicly opposed recent gun-control legislation.

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$2.0M
$1.5M
$998.3K
$499.2K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.7M
$914.5K
$1.9M
$80.9K

Cycle 2024

$2.0M
$928.2K
$2.0M
$82.6K

Cycle 2026

$1.4M
$1.2M
$1.2M
$74.4K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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