Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Al Green

Al Green

Incumbent Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Texas

Live Odds — TX-18 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$122.2KMAY 27, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age79 years old (Sep 1, 1947)

GenderMale

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LocationTexas

BackgroundAttorney

EducationFlorida A&M University (attended, 1966–1971)

Notable personal detailsAl Green is an American lawyer and politician who has represented Texas’s 9th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives since 2005. Before Congress, he served as a justice of the peace in Harris County, Texas. He attended Florida A&M University and Tuskegee University, and earned a J.D. from Texas Southern University.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax policies that increase corporate and wealthy taxpayer contributions and opposes cuts to Medicare/Medicaid and other social programs; backs refundable tax credits (EITC/CTC) and voted for the Inflation Reduction Act which includes corporate tax and prescription drug provisions.

Healthcare

Supports preserving and strengthening government programs like Medicaid and Medicare, opposes cuts to those programs, and backs measures to reduce prescription drug costs. Advocates broader access to affordable healthcare through federal policy rather than wholesale privatization or repeal of existing programs.

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Immigration & Border

Supports comprehensive immigration reform, protection of immigrants’ rights (including DACA recipients), family reunification, and abolition or major reform of ICE; opposes policies that enable racial profiling or separate families. Has taken actions to assist constituents facing deportation and to challenge enforcement practices.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports abortion rights and opposes restrictions on abortion; has cosponsored bills to protect access to abortion and to limit state interference with interstate and medication abortion. Consistently votes against measures that would restrict abortion coverage or services.

Climate & Energy

Supports federal climate and clean-energy investments and voted in favor of major climate-related legislation (including the Inflation Reduction Act). Advocates for measures that address climate change while using policy tools like incentives and investments rather than phasing out all fossil-fuel use immediately.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded gun safety measures such as enhanced background checks, closing certain loopholes, incentives for red flag laws, and other bipartisan gun-safety legislation while maintaining a pro-regulation stance rather than a pro-Second-Amendment maximalist stance.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Al Green lost the Democratic runoff in Texas's redrawn 18th Congressional District to Christian Menefee, ending a rare incumbent-on-incumbent race created by redistricting. Menefee is now the Democratic nominee for the Houston-area House seat. The result followed months of delays and legal disputes in the district, and Trump also attacked Green after the loss.

history.house.gov+43

Latest Polls

TX-18 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Al Green currently averages 33.6%, ranking second in this race, 14.6 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 33.6%Position: secondMargin: -14.6 ptsLatest poll: 29.0% (Feb 2 - 8)Polls included: 5

Average recalculated from polls through Feb 2 - 8.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
33.6%
48.2%
9.7%
Al Green
A. Green
Christian Menefee
C. Menefee
Amanda Edwards
A. Edwards
Gretchen Brown
G. Brown
Date (Start - End)SpreadGreenMenefeeEdwardsBrown
Polling Average
Menefee+14.6
33.6%48.2%9.7%0.5%
Lake Research PartnersFeb 2 - 8
Menefee+20.0
29.0%49.0%7.0%0.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public AffairsFeb 3 - 8
Menefee+24.0
28.0%52.0%9.0%1.0%
Lake Research PartnersFeb 2 - 8
Menefee+18.0
34.0%52.0%
Lake Research PartnersDec 15 - 21
Menefee+6.0
35.0%41.0%13.0%
Lake Research PartnersDec 15 - 21
Menefee+5.0
42.0%47.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.7M
$1.3M
$862.9K
$431.4K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$412.6K
$266.4K
$386.0K
$16.1K

Cycle 2024

$392.5K
$219.1K
$439.8K
$18.3K

Cycle 2026

$1.7M
$84.8K
$1.9M
$103.3K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements