Prediction Edge
Democrat
Alani Bankhead

Alani Bankhead

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Montana

Live Odds — Montana Democratic Senate nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

93%chance to win

$26.8KJUN 3, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Air Force veteran

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

GenderFemale

LocationMontana

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BackgroundU.S. Air Force veteran

Notable personal detailsAlani Ines Bankhead is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. Senate in Montana in the 2026 election cycle. She is a U.S. Air Force veteran with more than two decades of service and has described professional experience in child protection and combating online exploitation and trafficking. Her campaign is based in Helena, Montana.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate emphasizes strengthening local economies and creating an economy that works for working families, and describes a pragmatic, accountability-focused approach to governance. Campaign materials and news coverage do not provide specific tax policy proposals or clear positions on tax increases or cuts.

Healthcare

Supports protecting and improving access to healthcare for Montanans, emphasizes keeping rural hospitals open and lowering healthcare costs, and highlights concerns about threats to the Affordable Care Act and ACA-related tax credits. Positions favor expanding access through government-supported programs rather than full privatization or repeal.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 15, 2026

Alani Bankhead is in the news because Montana Democrats are pressuring her to withdraw from the 2026 U.S. Senate race so independent Seth Bodnar can become the main challenger to Republican Kurt Alme. Bankhead says she intends to stay in the race unless forced out, but reports say party leaders are scrambling over ballot rules and deadlines as they try to avoid a split vote. The dispute has drawn public criticism and support, with some Democrats arguing she should step aside and others backing her as the nominee. Earlier coverage also noted that outside support for her campaign has weakened, with one PAC leaving the state after concluding a Democrat may not have a viable path to victory.

fec.gov+47

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Hart Research Associates
50%40%30%20%10%0%
38%
Alani Bankhead
A. Bankhead
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Hart Research AssociatesAug 4, 2026
38.0%
Hart Research AssociatesAug 4, 2026
15.0%
Tavern ResearchJul 27, 2026
24.0%
GQRJul 26, 2026
22.0%
GQRJul 26, 2026
44.0%
GQRJul 26, 2026
40.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$58.8K
$44.1K
$29.4K
$14.7K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$58.8K
$21.5K
$37.0K
$2.1K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements