Prediction Edge
High Impact14d
Alex Pelbath

Alex Pelbath

28%

Alex Pelbath is now at 28% and leads by 19.1 points after trailing earlier.

Republican
Alex Pelbath

Alex Pelbath

Overview

Current roleU.S. Air Force officer (retired; lieutenant colonel)

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

LocationSouth Carolina

BackgroundU.S. Air Force officer (retired; lieutenant colonel)

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EducationUnited States Air Force Academy (graduate)

Notable personal detailsAlex Pelbath is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He is a retired U.S. Air Force lieutenant colonel and combat veteran who has described his campaign as aligned with “America First” and supportive of President Donald Trump. He is a graduate of the U.S. Air Force Academy and holds an MBA in Strategic Leadership. He lives in Mount Pleasant, South Carolina and is the father of two.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Alex Pelbath’s campaign emphasizes lowering costs, bringing jobs home, and defending working-class families but does not present a detailed federal tax plan on his campaign site or in available coverage. Public statements link economic concerns to inflation and immigration, with priorities framed around reducing costs and promoting job repatriation rather than explicit tax-rate proposals. The available sources do not provide clear, specific proposals to increase or cut particular taxes at the federal level.

Immigration & Border

Supports strict enforcement-first immigration policies including securing the border, deporting every illegal immigrant, ending birthright citizenship, and stopping the flow of illegal immigration. Prioritizes stronger border security measures as part of his platform.

Latest Insights

SC-01 Republican nominee?

14dHigh Impact

Alex Pelbath is now at 28% and leads by 19.1 points after trailing earlier.

28%

SC-01 Republican nominee?

13d

Pelbath moved from 17% to 21% while fresh local reporting on the May 28 GOP debate kept him visible; that keeps the race tradable even though Mark Smith remains the clear favorite.

21%4%

SC-01 Republican nominee?

14d

Fresh coverage of the May 28 SC-01 Republican debate shows Alex Pelbath pressing Mark Smith on redistricting and legislative record, reinforcing the recent Pelbath repricing and keeping the nomination market active ahead of the June 9 primary.

28%

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 12, 2026

Alex Pelbath is being mentioned in coverage of Republican redistricting efforts that could reshape several House seats ahead of the next elections. The reports say new maps and recent court rulings are giving Republicans an advantage, with some districts becoming more favorable to them. The broader fight is still unsettled because legal challenges and further redistricting moves are ongoing.

fec.gov+47

Polls

SC-01 Republican nominee?
Polling Average
25%20%15%10%5%0%
6%
20%
7%
6%
Alex Pelbath
A. Pelbath
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
J. Honeycutt
Logan Cunningham
L. Cunningham
Sam McCown
S. McCown
Date (Start - End)SpreadPelbathHoneycuttCunninghamMcCown
Polling Average
Honeycutt+14.0
6.0%20.0%7.0%6.0%
Pulse Decision SicenceMay 16 - 19
Honeycutt+14.0
6.0%20.0%7.0%6.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$365.8K
$274.4K
$182.9K
$91.5K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$365.8K
$194.0K
$171.9K
$11.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements