Prediction Edge
Republican
Alex Stovall

Alex Stovall

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Arizona

Live Odds — AZ-04 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$36.6KJUL 22, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Army officer (chaplain candidate; former supply sergeant)

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationArizona

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BackgroundU.S. Army officer (chaplain candidate; former supply sergeant)

Notable personal detailsAlex Nicolas Stovall is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Arizona's 4th congressional district in the 2026 election cycle. His campaign biography describes him as an Arizona native who served in the U.S. Army, including deploying as a supply sergeant and later serving as an Army chaplain candidate, retiring at the rank of First Lieutenant. He has previously been a Republican congressional candidate in Arizona.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax reform to attract businesses to Arizona, reducing taxes and regulations to promote job creation and small-business opportunities. Emphasizes fiscal responsibility, balanced budgets, and returning money to taxpayers.

Healthcare

Emphasizes support for veterans (including suicide prevention and mental-health services) and states a belief in access to affordable healthcare, but provides no detailed policy positions on Medicare for All, a public option, the ACA, Medicaid, or market-based insurance reforms.

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Immigration & Border

Supports securing the border and stronger controls on unauthorized entry, favors reform toward merit-based legal immigration, and emphasizes enforcement measures to reduce illegal crossings. Does not advocate expansive pathways or broad regularization in the cited materials.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate states a pro-life position, describing a commitment to "defending life from conception to natural death," indicating opposition to abortion. This language characterizes a position that supports strong restrictions on abortion access.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate identifies as pro–Second Amendment and emphasizes support for veterans and first responders; his campaign materials do not list specific gun-control proposals or support for expanded restrictions. Public statements found describe him as supporting gun rights rather than new firearm regulations.

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

NextGen Polling
5%4%3%2%1%0%
Alex Stovall
A. Stovall
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
NextGen PollingOct 12, 2025
0.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2024

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$152.5K
$114.4K
$76.3K
$38.1K
$0

2022

2024

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$152.5K
$1.7K
$150.8K
$6.3K

Cycle 2024

$840.71
$838.17
$1.8K
$303.61

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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