Florida Democratic Senate nominee?
3hHigh ImpactAlexander Vindman is now the front-runner in the Florida Democratic Senate nominee race, with 96.8% odds and a 90.8-point lead.

Alexander Vindman
Alexander Vindman is now the front-runner in the Florida Democratic Senate nominee race, with 96.8% odds and a 90.8-point lead.

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Florida
Florida Democratic Senate nominee?
Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
1%chance to win
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Army officer (retired)
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyMainstream Democrat
Age51 years old (Jun 6, 1975)
GenderMale
LocationFlorida
BackgroundU.S. Army officer (retired)
EducationState University of New York at Binghamton (BA, History)
Notable personal detailsAlexander Semyon Vindman is a retired U.S. Army lieutenant colonel and former National Security Council official who served as Director for European Affairs. He is a combat veteran of the Iraq War and received a Purple Heart. In 2026, he launched a campaign for the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate in Florida.
Supports protecting and expanding programs that reduce costs for working families and criticizes tax cuts for the billionaire class; emphasizes using public resources to help ordinary Americans facing higher costs. No explicit proposal for major tax-rate overhauls was found in the sourced materials.
The candidate says healthcare costs and premiums are too high and pledges to cut costs for families, but public materials and news coverage for his campaign do not lay out specific policy proposals (for example, public option, Medicare expansion, or market-based reforms).
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Alexander Vindman is now the front-runner in the Florida Democratic Senate nominee race, with 96.8% odds and a 90.8-point lead.
Alexander Vindman is in the news because he is running for the Florida Democratic Senate nomination and is now favored to win the primary against state Rep. Angie Nixon. If he advances, he would face Republican Sen. Ashley Moody in the general election. Recent reports say his campaign has raised more than $16 million, and he has also drawn attention for sharp comments about Trump and Putin.
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2026
LatestCycle 2026
Source: FEC