Prediction Edge
High Impact3h
Alexander Vindman

Alexander Vindman

97%

Alexander Vindman is now the front-runner in the Florida Democratic Senate nominee race, with 96.8% odds and a 90.8-point lead.

Democrat
Alexander Vindman

Alexander Vindman

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Florida

Live Odds — Florida Democratic Senate nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$217.7KAUG 19, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Army officer (retired)

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

Age51 years old (Jun 6, 1975)

GenderMale

Show more

LocationFlorida

BackgroundU.S. Army officer (retired)

EducationState University of New York at Binghamton (BA, History)

Notable personal detailsAlexander Semyon Vindman is a retired U.S. Army lieutenant colonel and former National Security Council official who served as Director for European Affairs. He is a combat veteran of the Iraq War and received a Purple Heart. In 2026, he launched a campaign for the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate in Florida.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports protecting and expanding programs that reduce costs for working families and criticizes tax cuts for the billionaire class; emphasizes using public resources to help ordinary Americans facing higher costs. No explicit proposal for major tax-rate overhauls was found in the sourced materials.

Healthcare

The candidate says healthcare costs and premiums are too high and pledges to cut costs for families, but public materials and news coverage for his campaign do not lay out specific policy proposals (for example, public option, Medicare expansion, or market-based reforms).

Latest Candidate Updates

Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.

Florida Democratic Senate nominee?

3hHigh Impact

Alexander Vindman is now the front-runner in the Florida Democratic Senate nominee race, with 96.8% odds and a 90.8-point lead.

97%

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 18, 2026

Alexander Vindman is in the news because he is running for the Florida Democratic Senate nomination and is now favored to win the primary against state Rep. Angie Nixon. If he advances, he would face Republican Sen. Ashley Moody in the general election. Recent reports say his campaign has raised more than $16 million, and he has also drawn attention for sharp comments about Trump and Putin.

docquery.fec.gov+52

Latest Polls

Florida Democratic Senate nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Change Research
40%30%20%10%0%
34%
Alexander Vindman
A. Vindman
Date (Start - End)SpreadVindman
Change ResearchJul 9 - 11
34.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

15
Florida Democratic Senate nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$16.3M
$12.2M
$8.1M
$4.1M
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$16.3M
$7.3M
$9.0M
$474.7K

Source: FEC