Prediction Edge

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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

NY-24 House winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • Alissa Ellman

    Will Democratic win the House race for NY-24?

    Selected market

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 4:49 AM UTC

Democrat
Alissa J Ellman

Alissa J Ellman

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in New York

Saved odds — NY-24 House winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

6.4%chance to win

$25.2KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to healthcare and protecting/expanding Medicaid coverage; advocates for policies to ensure affordable, quality care for district residents and backing social safety-net programs. Has described support for universal healthcare as a policy goal and emphasizes preventing cuts that would remove coverage from constituents.

Immigration & Border

Supports inclusive, pro-immigrant language and represents immigrants as part of the district; frames immigration enforcement actions (e.g., ICE raids) as harmful to local communities and workers such as farmhands. Advocates policies that balance humanitarian access and community stability rather than enforcement-first measures.

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Public Safety & Guns

The candidate has described herself as supportive of gun rights and has said Democrats are wrong to over-regulate firearms. Reporting notes she is “pretty pro-gun” and has expressed belief in traditionally conservative positions on guns while running as a Democratic candidate in NY-24.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Alissa Ellman won the Democratic primary in New York’s 24th Congressional District and is now set to face Republican incumbent Claudia Tenney in the general election. Her campaign has been tied in part to concerns about federal job cuts. The district leans Republican, which makes the race a competitive challenge for her.

fec.gov+54

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$193.1K
$144.8K
$96.5K
$48.3K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$193.1K
$12.9K
$180.2K
$10.0K

Source: FEC

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