Prediction Edge
Democrat
Allen Spence

Allen Spence

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Florida

Live Odds — FL-17 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

31%chance to win

$5.2KAUG 25, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleEquities trader

PartyDemocratic

LocationFlorida

BackgroundEquities trader

EducationFlorida Military Heritage Society (FMHS) alumnus

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Notable personal detailsAllen L. Spence Jr. is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Florida’s 17th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He has described himself as a financial expert with over 20 years of experience and a lifelong Floridian, and has highlighted community involvement including serving as a scout leader in Punta Gorda. His campaign has emphasized lowering costs and protecting Social Security.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports direct monthly child tax credits, expanded social supports (universal childcare, teacher retention bonuses), caps on predatory interest, and measures to redirect billionaire and large-corporate burdens toward working families while opposing tariff-driven price increases.

Healthcare

Supports protecting and reforming Medicare to ensure solvency and reducing prescription drug prices as part of a broader affordability agenda; emphasizes lowering healthcare costs for families. No advocacy for single‑payer or Medicare for All is found in campaign materials.

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Immigration & Border

Supports restoring order at the border by processing asylum applications outside the United States (return to Migrant Protection Protocols) while offering a structured, earned process for non-violent immigrants already in the U.S. that includes temporary protected status, work permits, eligibility for permanent residency, and eligibility for citizenship after five years of permanent residency; calls for ICE reforms and pauses additional ICE funding until reforms are in place.

Climate & Energy

The candidate supports market-based approaches to address climate issues and includes policies such as funding flood-resistant homes and other resilience measures in his platform. His campaign emphasizes pragmatic, market-oriented climate solutions rather than opposing climate action or endorsing fossil-fuel expansion.

Endorsements

6
FL-17 Democratic nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$72.5K
$54.4K
$36.3K
$18.1K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$72.5K
$4.8K
$67.8K
$3.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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