Prediction Edge
Democrat
Aly Richards

Aly Richards

Democratic candidate for Governor in Vermont

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Aly Richards is trading at 74% to win the Vermont Democratic Governor nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current rolePolitical candidate

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

GenderFemale

LocationVermont

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BackgroundPolitical candidate

Notable personal detailsAly Richards is a Democratic candidate for governor of Vermont in 2026. She previously served as CEO of the child care advocacy organization Let’s Grow Kids and is associated with the passage of Vermont’s 2023 child care law (Act 76). She has worked in Democratic politics and in Gov. Peter Shumlin’s administration, and lives in Montpelier with her husband and twin sons.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Aly Richards has supported using targeted tax revenue to fund expanded child care (including backing Vermont’s 0.44% payroll tax in Act 76) and frames investments in child care and housing as ways to strengthen the state economy rather than broad tax cuts. She campaigns on growing Vermont’s economy while linking public investments to affordability and workforce goals.

Healthcare

Aly Richards has said addressing rising health-care costs will be a campaign priority but has not released detailed health-care proposals; she has indicated she will listen to voters before outlining specifics and said new taxes will not be her default approach. Her public statements emphasize using practical, results-focused strategies similar to those she used on child care.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 7, 2026

Aly Richards is one of the two Democrats competing for Vermont’s gubernatorial nomination, with the Aug. 11 primary set to decide who will challenge Gov. Phil Scott. Recent reports say the race remains open, with many Democratic voters still undecided. Polling also shows Scott still leading Richards in hypothetical general election matchups, though his margins have narrowed.

alyforvt.com+39

Latest Polls

Vermont Democratic Governor nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Aly Richards currently averages 15.5%, ranking second in this race, 7.5 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 15.5%Position: secondMargin: -7.5 ptsLatest poll: 19.0% (Jul 15 - 20)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through Jul 15 - 20.

Polling Average
30%25%20%15%10%5%0%
15.5%
23%
Aly Richards
A. Richards
Amanda Janoo
A. Janoo
Date (Start - End)SpreadRichardsJanoo
Polling Average
Janoo+7.5
15.5%23.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJul 15 - 20
Janoo+7.0
19.0%26.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJun 18 - 23
Janoo+8.0
12.0%20.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Vermont Democratic Governor nominee?

Endorsers of Aly Richards for Vermont Democratic Governor nominee?

Howard Dean

Elected official

Howard Dean endorsed Aly Richards for governor.

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Madeleine Kunin

Elected official

Madeleine Kunin endorsed Aly Richards for governor.

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Howard Dean

Elected official

Howard Dean endorsed Aly Richards for governor.

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Rey Garofano

Elected official

Rey Garofano endorsed Aly Richards for governor.

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Former employees of Let's Grow Kids

Former elected official

Former employees of Let's Grow Kids endorsed Aly Richards for governor.

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Professional Firefighters of Vermont

Public endorsement

Professional Firefighters of Vermont endorsed Aly Richards.

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Vermont Building and Construction Trades Council

Public endorsement

Vermont Building and Construction Trades Council endorsed Aly Richards.

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New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising