Prediction Edge
Democrat
Amanda Edwards

Amanda Edwards

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Texas

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Amanda Edwards is trading at 1% to win the Who will win the Special Election for TX-18? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer Council Member

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age44 years old (Jan 19, 1982)

GenderFemale

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LocationTexas

BackgroundAttorney

EducationEmory University (B.A., Political Science, 2004)

Notable personal detailsAmanda Kay Edwards is an American attorney and Democratic politician who served on the Houston City Council as the at-large Position 4 member from 2016 to 2020. She previously ran in the 2020 Democratic primary for U.S. Senate in Texas and later ran for Texas’ 18th Congressional District, including the 2025–26 special election. She earned a B.A. from Emory University and a J.D. from Harvard Law School and has worked as a municipal finance attorney.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports policies to expand economic opportunity and worker power, including strengthening the right to unionize, securing a living wage, expanding access to capital for small businesses, and using federal resources and investments to support housing, infrastructure, and affordable health care. Emphasizes protecting Medicare and Social Security and expanding access to the ACA and other federal supports rather than advocating tax cuts or major deregulation.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to the Affordable Care Act, protecting Medicare and Medicaid benefits, lowering prescription drug costs, and strengthening privacy protections for medical/reproductive decisions. Focuses on expanding access and affordability rather than endorsing single-payer Medicare-for-All.

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Immigration & Border

Supports repeal of criminal penalties for unlawful border crossings, expansion of legal pathways including pathways to citizenship for Dreamers and other temporary residents, and policies to end inhumane treatment such as family separation. Has organized and spoken publicly about immigration issues and held constituent immigration town halls.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports codifying Roe v. Wade protections at the federal level and opposes Texas-style bounty abortion bans; advocates for preserving reproductive health privacy and broader abortion access.

Climate & Energy

Supports policies to combat climate change, invest in flood and disaster resilience, pursue environmental justice, and lead an energy transition for Houston that grows clean energy and infrastructure investments while addressing community impacts. Emphasizes federal funding for flood mitigation, disaster recovery, and environmental remediation, and frames energy transition as an economic opportunity for the region.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded background checks, red flag laws, and community-based violence intervention programs while expressing respect for lawful gun ownership. Positions emphasize practical, evidence-based reforms to reduce gun violence rather than broad bans on commonly owned firearms.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedFeb 10, 2026

Amanda Edwards is running in the Democratic primary for Texas’s 18th Congressional District, challenging Rep. Christian Menefee and Al Green. News coverage highlights significant voter confusion and concerns about disenfranchisement in the district due to newly redrawn maps and overlapping election timelines. The March 3 primary will be the first held under the new boundaries, with the potential for a runoff if no candidate wins a majority.

en.wikipedia.org+44

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Amanda Edwards currently averages 36.0%, ranking second in this race, 3.5 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 36.0%Position: secondMargin: -3.5 ptsLatest poll: 30.0% (Dec 8 - 14)Polls included: 3

Average recalculated from polls through Dec 8 - 14.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
36%
39.5%
26%
Amanda Edwards
A. Edwards
Christian Menefee
C. Menefee
Jolanda Jones
J. Jones
Date (Start - End)SpreadEdwardsMenefeeJones
Polling Average
Menefee+3.5
36.0%39.5%26.0%
Lake Research PartnersDec 8 - 14
Menefee+13.0
30.0%43.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/YouGovOct 7 - 11
Menefee+2.0
34.0%36.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/YouGovOct 7 - 11
Edwards+18.0
44.0%26.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.9M
$1.4M
$947.6K
$473.8K
$0

2024

2026

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$1.7M
$1.2K
$1.7M
$70.1K

Cycle 2026

$1.9M
$3.3K
$1.9M
$135.2K

Cycle 2026

$1.9M
$3.3K
$1.9M
$135.2K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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