Prediction Edge
Democrat
Amy McGrath

Amy McGrath

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Kentucky

Live Odds — Kentucky Democratic Senate nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1.5%chance to win

$28.9KMAY 20, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Marine Corps officer and aviator

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age51 years old (Jun 3, 1975)

GenderFemale

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LocationKentucky

BackgroundU.S. Marine Corps officer and aviator

EducationUnited States Naval Academy — B.S., Political Science (1997)

Notable personal detailsAmy Melinda McGrath is a Kentucky political candidate and retired U.S. Marine Corps officer who served for about 20 years. She graduated from the U.S. Naval Academy with a B.S. in political science and served as an F/A-18 aviator, including combat deployments in Afghanistan and Iraq. After leaving active-duty service, she ran for Kentucky's 6th Congressional District in 2018 and was the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Kentucky in 2020; she later filed with the FEC as a 2026 U.S. Senate candidate in Kentucky.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate supports addressing rising costs for families, protecting Medicaid and rural hospitals, and investing in infrastructure and jobs; she opposed the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and favors preserving tax relief for the middle class while criticizing large corporate gains and hidden taxes such as tariffs.

Healthcare

Supports preserving and improving the Affordable Care Act, favors a public option and measures to expand access (including allowing older adults to buy into Medicare), and opposes Medicare for All and abolishing private insurance.

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Immigration & Border

Supports comprehensive immigration reform with secure borders enforced humanely; opposes building a full border wall and does not support abolishing ICE. Emphasizes protecting asylum-seekers and humane treatment while backing resources for border enforcement and immigration courts rather than large physical barriers.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports reproductive health care as health care and believes abortion decisions should be made by women and their doctors rather than politicians; defends access to contraception and fertility treatments. Has said she is pro‑choice but opposes late‑term abortions except to protect the life of the mother.

Climate & Energy

Supports investing in clean energy and strengthening Kentucky’s role in energy manufacturing while pursuing an “all-of-the-above” approach that keeps reliable, affordable power during a transition away from coal. Frames climate change as a security and economic issue and rejects the Green New Deal while advocating targeted clean-energy investment and support for coal communities during transition.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports universal/expanded background checks, closing loopholes that allow domestic abusers and violent offenders to access firearms, and investments in mental-health and school-based supports; rejects arming teachers and emphasizes respecting responsible gun ownership. Does not support broadly taking guns from law-abiding citizens and has said she is not in favor of an assault-weapons ban.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Amy McGrath is in the news mainly for a recent speaking appearance at the George M. Ewing Canandaigua Forum, where she was set to discuss her military service and leadership. The other recent items mostly concern Kentucky’s open U.S. Senate race, where Republican Andy Barr won the primary after getting Donald Trump’s endorsement. McGrath is not a central figure in those race updates, and the available reports do not show a new campaign move from her.

fec.gov+55

Latest Polls

Kentucky Democratic Senate nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Amy McGrath currently averages 21.1%, ranking second in this race, 12.6 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 21.1%Position: secondMargin: -12.6 ptsLatest poll: 18.0% (Mar 29 - 31)Polls included: 4

Average recalculated from polls through Mar 29 - 31.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
21.1%
33.8%
Amy McGrath
A. McGrath
Charles Booker
C. Booker
Pamela Stevenson
P. Stevenson
Date (Start - End)SpreadMcGrathBookerStevenson
Polling Average
Booker+12.6
21.1%33.8%3.3%
Emerson CollegeMar 29 - 31
Booker+18.0
18.0%36.0%3.0%
Emerson CollegeMar 29 - 31
Booker+18.2
17.9%36.1%3.1%
Emerson CollegeJan 31 - Feb 2
Booker+11.4
18.7%30.1%4.3%
Public Policy PollingOct 17 - 18
Booker+3.0
30.0%33.0%3.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising