MO-02 House winner?
2dAnn Wagner is now at 79%, with a 58.0-point lead after trailing earlier.
79%
Republican
Trump Endorsed
Trump Endorsed
Ann Wagner
Republican candidate for U.S. House in Missouri
RepublicanTrump Endorsed
Trump Endorsed
$6.6K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Ann Wagner is trading at 79% to win the MO-02 House winner? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age63 years old (Sep 13, 1962)
GenderFemale
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LocationMissouri
BackgroundPolitician
EducationUniversity of Missouri–Columbia (B.S.B.A.)
Notable personal detailsAnn Louise Wagner is a Republican member of the U.S. House representing Missouri's 2nd Congressional District, first elected in 2012 and serving since January 3, 2013. She previously served as U.S. Ambassador to Luxembourg (2005–2009) and held leadership roles in the Missouri Republican Party and the Republican National Committee. She earned a B.S.B.A. from the University of Missouri–Columbia and worked in management roles in the private sector before elected office. She is married to Ray Wagner and they have three children.
SourcesShowHide
history.house.govwagner.house.goven.wikipedia.orgwikidata.orgdocquery.fec.govfec.govannwagner.comefoservices.fec.govsos.mo.govclerk.house.govfilpac.comfec-dev-api.app.cloud.govvote-usa.orgnecanet.orggovinfo.govwagner.edufr.wikipedia.orgde.wikipedia.orgstlpr.orgntu.orgcongress.govaflcio.orgmcclain.house.govsbaprolife.orglcv.orgontheissues.orgdccc.orgopenwatchdog.comjustfacts.votesmart.orgthehousemajoritypac.comstltoday.comthemissouritimes.commaggieslist.orglogcabin.orgreuters.comvotevets.orgstlmag.comlabortribune.comnationalpolice.orgkomu.comkansascity.comksdk.comlocalcandidates.orgfacebook.compredictionedge.commyleaderpaper.comfinancialservices.house.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports lower taxes and opposes tax increases on individuals and businesses; has voted in line with pro-taxpayer/tax-cut positions and opposed new or higher taxes such as proposals that would raise rates or impose energy-related taxes. Advocates pro-business, pro-growth tax policy consistent with Republican fiscal positions.
Healthcare
Ann Wagner has supported Republican efforts to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act and has voted in favor of the 2017 American Health Care Act; as a member of Congress she has also sponsored or supported legislation focused on telehealth and rural health access. Her congressional voting record and sponsored measures indicate a preference for conservative, market-oriented reforms rather than expansion of government-run universal coverage.
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Immigration & Border
Ann Wagner emphasizes stronger border security and enforcement measures, supporting policies that deter illegal immigration and hold foreign governments accountable for cooperation with U.S. removal efforts. She has backed measures to maintain Title 42-era expulsions and introduced legislation to increase visa fees for nationals of countries deemed uncooperative with deportations and trafficking countermeasures.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
The candidate opposes abortion except in cases of rape, incest, and to save the life of the mother, and has sponsored and supported legislation that restricts abortion-related practices (for example, introducing the Born-Alive Abortion Survivors Protection Act). She has received endorsements from pro-life organizations and voted with GOP-led, pro-restriction measures.
Climate & Energy
Supports an "all-of-the-above" energy approach that includes fossil fuels, nuclear, and renewables and opposes aggressive federal regulation of greenhouse gases and some DOE clean-energy programs. Voting record and outside-scorecards show consistent votes against major climate regulations and clean-energy incentives and support for increased domestic fossil-fuel development.
Public Safety & Guns
Opposes additional federal gun laws and identifies as a supporter of the Second Amendment; favors enforcing existing laws, prosecuting criminals, and strengthening law enforcement. Supports standalone measures on mental health and school safety rather than new broad gun restrictions.
Latest Candidate Updates
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
MO-02 House winner?
3dAnn Wagner's odds in "MO-02 House winner?" fell to 12%, below the prior low of 81%.
12%69%
MO-02 House winner?
3dAnn Wagner has raised $3,528,094.52 this cycle, while Fred Wellman holds the lead in the latest odds for "MO-02 House winner?"
12%
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026
Ann Wagner is in the news because Missouri is moving ahead with its 2026 House primary under a newly drawn congressional map, even though the map’s legal status is still being challenged. The dispute could affect which districts are used to nominate candidates in August and which ones are used in the November election. The situation leaves her race tied to an unresolved court and referendum fight over the state’s congressional boundaries.
history.house.gov+46
Endorsements
8MO-02 Republican nominee?
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$4.9M
$3.7M
$2.4M
$1.2M
$0
2022
2024
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2022
$4.9M
$1.5M
$3.5M
$147.5K
Cycle 2024
$4.3M
$3.1M
$2.7M
$111.4K
Cycle 2026
$3.5M
$4.2M
$2.4M
$126.9K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Polls