Prediction Edge
Republican
Ariel Rivera-Diaz

Ariel Rivera-Diaz

Republican candidate for U.S. House in New York

Live Odds — NY-14 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$8.0KJUN 27, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleNew York City Board of Elections employee

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyMainstream Republican

LocationNew York

BackgroundNew York City Board of Elections employee

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Notable personal detailsAriel Rivera-Diaz is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in New York’s 14th Congressional District. He has worked for the New York City Board of Elections and has run for local office in New York City, including a City Council race in the Bronx and a State Assembly race. His 2026 congressional candidacy is filed with the Federal Election Commission, with an authorized principal campaign committee.

SourcesShow
fec.govlinkedin.comnorwoodnews.orgcityandstateny.comdocquery.fec.govthecandidate.comelections.ny.govalamedacountyca.govfec.state.fl.usmultistate.uspredictionedge.comdos.elections.myflorida.comvote.nyclegislature.rocklandcountyny.goven.wikipedia.orgefoservices.fec.govthegreenpapers.compublicreporting.elections.ny.govarxiv.orgreddit.combxtimes.comresults.elections.ny.govcitylimits.orgvote-usa.orgopencampaign.comsdcitytimes.comwashingtonpost.comivoterguide.comnyc.govballotpedia.orgfacebook.comwww3.huntingtonbeachca.govleeschools.netlines.comseabrooktx.govfr.wikipedia.orgballotready.orggovinfo.govclerk.house.govjustfacts.votesmart.orgcongress.govhouse.govhistory.house.govnews.ballotpedia.org

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Ariel Rivera-Diaz emphasizes private-sector and individual-led solutions over expanded government programs, advocates improving employer-sponsored benefits, and criticizes inefficient use of tax dollars. He does not provide detailed tax-rate proposals in available campaign materials.

Healthcare

Supports improving access by expanding quality of employer-sponsored health programs and emphasizes individual/community responsibility over government-led solutions; criticizes current Medicaid/Medicare administration and highlights prevention and accessibility issues based on his experience as a community health worker.

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.5K
$1.1K
$762
$381
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.5K
$7.20
$1.5K
$99.63

Source: FEC

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