Prediction Edge

Overview

Current roleState Senator

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age64 years old (Jul 26, 1961)

GenderMale

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LocationMaryland

BackgroundPolitician

EducationUniversity of Maryland, College Park — B.S. (chemistry & agriculture), 1983

Notable personal detailsArthur Carr Ellis is a Democratic politician and accountant who has served in the Maryland Senate representing District 28 since January 2019. He is a candidate for the U.S. House in Maryland’s 5th Congressional District in 2026 and has an authorized campaign committee registered with the FEC. He is a University of Maryland, College Park graduate and a U.S. military veteran.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

No clear, comprehensive public position on broad tax policy (e.g., raising rates on high incomes or advocating major tax cuts) was found in campaign materials or legislative testimony. Available evidence shows support for targeted tax measures and securing public funding for local projects (for example, proposing a commuter tax credit and advocating for transportation funding), but not a clear overall stance on taxation levels or redistribution.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to healthcare and addressing health disparities through state-level policy changes, including hospital reporting on disparities and measures to improve maternal health and statewide clinical networks.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports protecting and expanding reproductive rights, including voting to approve a 2023 Senate vote to place a Maryland constitutional amendment recognizing reproductive freedom on the ballot and sponsoring/advancing maternal health and access measures (Medicaid coverage expansions and related supports).

Climate & Energy

Supports state-level climate and environmental actions, has sponsored or amended climate-related legislation (including amendments to the Climate Solutions Now Act) and earned high scores from Maryland environmental groups indicating consistent pro-environment votes. Emphasizes urban greening and community-focused climate measures and has submitted testimony in support of environmental/energy-related bills.

Public Safety & Guns

Arthur Ellis sponsored legislation (SB 245) to significantly limit the role of school resource officers in Maryland schools, including prohibiting routine discipline by SROs, requiring SROs to conceal firearms except in violent emergencies, and to wear civilian clothing; the bill also proposed funding to replace armed SROs with unarmed security and expand mental/behavioral health services. These positions indicate support for police reform in schools and targeted restrictions related to firearms in educational settings while investing in alternative safety measures.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 11, 2026

Arthur Ellis is in the news as a candidate in Maryland’s 5th Congressional District race ahead of the 2026 election. A recent voter guide previews the contest and lists the main issues shaping the race, including affordability, healthcare, jobs, economic growth, and immigration. The Democratic primary is set for June 23, 2026, with the general election on November 3, 2026.

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Polls

Clarity Campaign Labs
5%4%3%2%1%0%
Arthur Ellis
A. Ellis
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Clarity Campaign LabsMay 28, 2026
2.0%
GQRMar 1, 2026
5.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$212.5K
$159.4K
$106.3K
$53.1K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$212.5K
$207.7K
$4.9K
$325.41

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements