Prediction Edge
Republican
Aurelio Arcabascio

Aurelio Arcabascio

Republican candidate for U.S. House in New York

Live Odds — NY-14 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$8.0KJUN 27, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleRetired project manager

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

LocationNew York

BackgroundRetired project manager

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Notable personal detailsAurelio Arcabascio is a Republican candidate who filed with the Federal Election Commission as a challenger for the U.S. House in New York’s 14th Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. He has previously appeared on New York City ballots, including as a Republican candidate for Queens Borough President in 2013. Public references describe him as a retired project manager and a perennial candidate.

SourcesShow
fec.govnyccfb.infoen.wikipedia.orglinkedin.comelections.ny.govthecandidate.comefilingapps.fec.govlegistorm.compostman.comefoservices.fec.govmultistate.usrepmyblock.orgoneidacountynyvotes.govarxiv.orgqns.comresults.elections.ny.govarchives.nysed.govethics.ny.govoxfordtax.sbs.ox.ac.ukchicago.suntimes.compolitifact.comtax.state.ny.ussdcitytimes.comcato.orgtenney.house.govprojects.propublica.orgcabq.govvice.comscribd.comsec.govcreators.spotify.comqgazette.comballotpedia.orglines.compredictionedge.comfacebook.cominstagram.comdocquery.fec.govgovinfo.govcongress.govvotesmart.orgquery.wikidata.orgnews.ballotpedia.orgjustfacts.votesmart.orgdeveloper.ballotpedia.orgdemocrats-energycommerce.house.govlalota.house.govhomeland.house.gov

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lowering the tax burden and offering tax breaks/incentives aimed at middle-class families, seniors, small businesses, and job creation; favors tax incentives such as urban enterprise zones to spur economic development.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

There is little direct news about Aurelio Arcabascio in the provided summaries. The recent items mostly focus on broader 2026 House election trends, including redistricting, outside spending, and turnout efforts, rather than on Arcabascio specifically. Based on these reports, he appears to be part of a crowded and shifting campaign environment, but no concrete new development about his own candidacy is described here.

fec.gov+47
Articles
TBThe Boston Globe4 months ago

Republicans building an advantage in redistricting, but how much?

Neutral
NNPR3 months ago

An AI proxy war could reshape Congress — before Congress reshapes AI

Neutral
FPForeign Policy4 months ago

‘One man, one vote’? Maybe Not in Trump’s America

Neutral
WWTOP4 months ago

Editorial Roundup: United States

Neutral

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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