





Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida

General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Austin Rogers is trading at 93% to win the FL-02 House winner? on prediction markets.
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleAttorney
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
LocationFlorida
BackgroundAttorney
Notable personal detailsAustin Rogers is a Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida’s 2nd Congressional District (2026). He is a Panama City native and has worked as general counsel to U.S. Senator Rick Scott. He has an authorized campaign committee, Rogers for Florida, and is listed as qualified for the 2026 general election ballot in Florida.
Supports America First, pro‑Trump economic policies focused on boosting American manufacturing and jobs through trade tools, lowering costs for families, and promoting financial innovation with limited regulatory overreach. Emphasizes making everyday goods more affordable and competing with China in technology and AI while protecting digital asset innovation. Does not provide specific tax-rate proposals on the campaign issues page.
The candidate emphasizes promoting healthier lifestyles, greater transparency about food and chemical ingredients, and that parents — not bureaucrats — should make decisions about children’s health care. The campaign page frames health policy in terms of personal/family choice and public-health prevention but does not specify positions on insurance coverage, the ACA, Medicare, Medicaid, or market-based reforms.
Supports stronger border security and enforcement, opposes granting legal status or citizenship to those who entered unlawfully, and favors legislation to preserve recent federal enforcement measures. Positions emphasize securing the border and preventing reversals of tightened immigration policies.
The candidate states he is a strong and unwavering defender of the Second Amendment and opposes a “radical gun control” agenda. He pledges to protect rights of law‑abiding gun owners and to preserve hunting and recreational firearm traditions while backing law enforcement.
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Austin Rogers currently averages 17.8%, ranking first in this race, 9.5 points ahead of the nearest opponent.
Average recalculated from polls through Aug 10 - 11.





Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2026
LatestCycle 2026
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.