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Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
FL-02 House winner?
The selected contract has a verified final result.
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 3:58 AM UTC
Republican
Austin Rogers
Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida
Republican
$13.2K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Saved odds — FL-02 House winner?
Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
92.2%chance to win
$13.2KNOV 7, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleAttorney
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
LocationFlorida
BackgroundAttorney
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Notable personal detailsAustin Rogers is a Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida’s 2nd Congressional District (2026). He is a Panama City native and has worked as general counsel to U.S. Senator Rick Scott. He has an authorized campaign committee, Rogers for Florida, and is listed as qualified for the 2026 general election ballot in Florida.
SourcesShowHide
dos.elections.myflorida.comfec.govrogersforflorida.comen.wikipedia.orgwebforms.fec.govocvote.govsers.fec.govfec.state.fl.uscapitolhillaccess.comelectionsfla.comdocquery.fec.govvotegadsdenfl.govballotready.orgaustintexas.govelections.brazoscountytx.govreddit.comfloridianpress.combaycountycoastal.comcapitaltigerbayclub.orgfoxnews.comnews.wfsu.orgreadthedonation.comquiverquant.comwctv.tvmag.umva.netdos.fl.govaol.comyahoo.comwfmd.comfloridapolitics.comwashingtonreporter.newstallahassee.comballotpedia.orgpolitico.comtallahasseereports.comnbcnews.commiamitimesonline.comflvoicenews.comlocalcandidates.orgfacebook.cominstagram.comx.comstatic.votesmart.orgjustfacts.votesmart.orgvotesmart.org
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports America First, pro‑Trump economic policies focused on boosting American manufacturing and jobs through trade tools, lowering costs for families, and promoting financial innovation with limited regulatory overreach. Emphasizes making everyday goods more affordable and competing with China in technology and AI while protecting digital asset innovation. Does not provide specific tax-rate proposals on the campaign issues page.
Healthcare
The candidate emphasizes promoting healthier lifestyles, greater transparency about food and chemical ingredients, and that parents — not bureaucrats — should make decisions about children’s health care. The campaign page frames health policy in terms of personal/family choice and public-health prevention but does not specify positions on insurance coverage, the ACA, Medicare, Medicaid, or market-based reforms.
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Immigration & Border
Supports stronger border security and enforcement, opposes granting legal status or citizenship to those who entered unlawfully, and favors legislation to preserve recent federal enforcement measures. Positions emphasize securing the border and preventing reversals of tightened immigration policies.
Public Safety & Guns
The candidate states he is a strong and unwavering defender of the Second Amendment and opposes a “radical gun control” agenda. He pledges to protect rights of law‑abiding gun owners and to preserve hunting and recreational firearm traditions while backing law enforcement.
Latest Polls
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$1.0M
$757.7K
$505.1K
$252.6K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$1.0M
$387.0K
$623.2K
$32.8K
Source: FEC
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