Prediction Edge
Republican
Austin Rogers

Austin Rogers

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Austin Rogers is trading at 93% to win the FL-02 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleAttorney

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

LocationFlorida

BackgroundAttorney

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Notable personal detailsAustin Rogers is a Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida’s 2nd Congressional District (2026). He is a Panama City native and has worked as general counsel to U.S. Senator Rick Scott. He has an authorized campaign committee, Rogers for Florida, and is listed as qualified for the 2026 general election ballot in Florida.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports America First, pro‑Trump economic policies focused on boosting American manufacturing and jobs through trade tools, lowering costs for families, and promoting financial innovation with limited regulatory overreach. Emphasizes making everyday goods more affordable and competing with China in technology and AI while protecting digital asset innovation. Does not provide specific tax-rate proposals on the campaign issues page.

Healthcare

The candidate emphasizes promoting healthier lifestyles, greater transparency about food and chemical ingredients, and that parents — not bureaucrats — should make decisions about children’s health care. The campaign page frames health policy in terms of personal/family choice and public-health prevention but does not specify positions on insurance coverage, the ACA, Medicare, Medicaid, or market-based reforms.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security and enforcement, opposes granting legal status or citizenship to those who entered unlawfully, and favors legislation to preserve recent federal enforcement measures. Positions emphasize securing the border and preventing reversals of tightened immigration policies.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate states he is a strong and unwavering defender of the Second Amendment and opposes a “radical gun control” agenda. He pledges to protect rights of law‑abiding gun owners and to preserve hunting and recreational firearm traditions while backing law enforcement.

Latest Polls

FL-02 Republican nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Austin Rogers currently averages 17.8%, ranking first in this race, 9.5 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 17.8%Position: firstMargin: +9.5 ptsLatest poll: 25.0% (Aug 10 - 11)Polls included: 7

Average recalculated from polls through Aug 10 - 11.

Polling Average
20%15%10%5%0%
17.8%
8.3%
5.8%
Austin Rogers
A. Rogers
Jim Norton
J. Norton
Luke Murphy
L. Murphy
Audie Rowell
A. Rowell
Nick Lewis
N. Lewis
Date (Start - End)SpreadRogersNortonMurphyRowellLewis
Polling Average
Rogers+9.5
17.8%8.3%5.8%2.3%1.0%
co/efficientAug 10 - 11
Rogers+12.0
25.0%8.0%13.0%4.0%
Victory InsightsAug 4 - 6
Rogers+11.5
21.4%9.9%7.9%1.0%
CygnalAug 3 - 3
Rogers+17.0
28.0%11.0%7.0%4.0%2.0%
Guidant Polling and StrategyJul 29 - 31
Rogers+13.0
21.0%8.0%5.0%2.0%0.0%
co/efficientJul 14 - 16
Rogers+12.0
19.0%7.0%4.0%2.0%1.0%
co/efficientJun 23 - 24
Rogers+2.0
7.0%5.0%3.0%2.0%1.0%
Guidant Polling and StrategyMar 9 - 11
Norton+6.0
3.0%9.0%1.0%1.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.0M
$757.7K
$505.1K
$252.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.0M
$387.0K
$623.2K
$32.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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