FL-09 Republican nominee?
1hBen Butler's odds are down 26.0 points and are now at 23% over a 3-day streak.
23%26%
$67.3K
AUG 25, 2026
Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Live Odds — FL-09 Republican nominee?
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
25%chance to win
$67.3KAUG 25, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleDairy farmer
Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican
GenderMale
LocationFlorida
BackgroundDairy farmer
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Notable personal detailsBen Butler is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Florida’s 9th Congressional District in the 2026 election. He is a dairy farmer and cattle rancher from Lorida, Florida, and serves as an at-large Governing Board member of the South Florida Water Management District. He filed for FL-09 on 2026-06-08 and qualified for the ballot on 2026-06-10.
SourcesShowHide
dos.elections.myflorida.comsfwmd.govthegreenpapers.comfec.govelectionhistory.easthaddam.orgbluevoterguide.orgamericanelectionhq.combutlercountypa.govbutlercountygop.orgedr.state.fl.usbutlereagle.comwgcu.orgwikizero.orgflsenate.govcms2.revize.comin.govwww2.co.butler.pa.usarxiv.orgen.wikipedia.orgfloridapolitics.combutlerforflorida.comfloridianpress.comballotready.orgitep.orgmartinezforcongress.comnpr.orgwaysandmeans.house.govwesh.comeverycrsreport.comfcpa.alabamavotes.govpolitifact.comcongress.govkgou.orgflorida.gopgovinfo.govufdcimages.uflib.ufl.eduhome.csulb.eduflvoicenews.comfox35orlando.comorlandosentinel.comfloridaphoenix.comfacebook.comx.comhistory.house.govdocquery.fec.govwikidata.orgcdn.ballotpedia.orgstatic.votesmart.orglegislation.ballotpedia.orgjustfacts.votesmart.org
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Ben Butler emphasizes affordability, economic growth, and support for farmers, workers, small businesses, and entrepreneurs. He says government should help create an environment where those people can succeed and describes his campaign as focused on supporting the economy and conservative values.
Immigration & Border
Ben Butler’s campaign messaging emphasizes securing the border and opposing open-border policy. The available public materials do not spell out a detailed immigration plan, but the language is clearly enforcement-oriented and aligned with a tougher border posture.
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Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Ben Butler’s campaign website and ballot profile present him as pro-life and supportive of protecting the unborn. His stated position emphasizes protecting life and the conscience rights of Floridians rather than expanding abortion access.
Climate & Energy
The candidate emphasizes clean water and protecting Florida agriculture, while also backing American energy and putting money back in families’ pockets. The available materials frame energy policy in terms of conservative priorities rather than aggressive climate regulation.
Public Safety & Guns
Ben Butler supports protecting Second Amendment rights and opposes new gun regulations such as gun grabs and government registries. He also emphasizes backing law enforcement and a tough-on-crime posture.
Latest Candidate Updates
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
FL-09 Republican nominee?
1dBen Butler's odds fell below the prior low of 38%, setting a fresh floor for the FL-09 Republican nominee race.
25%13%
FL-09 Republican nominee?
2dButler’s FL-09 Republican nominee odds fell from 47% to 26% in the last hour, extending a sharp pullback after his Luna-driven spike and suggesting traders should reassess whether he still has the momentum edge.
26%21%
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 30, 2026
Ben Butler is in the news as one of the Republican candidates competing for Florida’s 9th Congressional District seat. The race is focused on the party primary ahead of the general election, where the nominee will challenge incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. Coverage highlights the candidates’ positions on affordability, housing, taxes, utilities, education, immigration, and environmental issues.
dos.elections.myflorida.com+49
Latest Polls
FL-09 Republican nominee?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Victory Insights
20%15%10%5%0%
13.8%
14.2%
13.8%
11.6%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Endorsements
16FL-09 Republican nominee?
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$386.7K
$290.0K
$193.3K
$96.7K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$386.7K
$112.3K
$274.4K
$14.4K
Source: FEC