Prediction Edge

Live Odds — FL-09 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$163.3KAUG 25, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleDairy farmer

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

GenderMale

LocationFlorida

BackgroundDairy farmer

Show more

Notable personal detailsBen Butler is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Florida’s 9th Congressional District in the 2026 election. He is a dairy farmer and cattle rancher from Lorida, Florida, and serves as an at-large Governing Board member of the South Florida Water Management District. He filed for FL-09 on 2026-06-08 and qualified for the ballot on 2026-06-10.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Ben Butler emphasizes affordability, economic growth, and support for farmers, workers, small businesses, and entrepreneurs. He says government should help create an environment where those people can succeed and describes his campaign as focused on supporting the economy and conservative values.

Immigration & Border

Ben Butler’s campaign messaging emphasizes securing the border and opposing open-border policy. The available public materials do not spell out a detailed immigration plan, but the language is clearly enforcement-oriented and aligned with a tougher border posture.

Show more

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Ben Butler’s campaign website and ballot profile present him as pro-life and supportive of protecting the unborn. His stated position emphasizes protecting life and the conscience rights of Floridians rather than expanding abortion access.

Climate & Energy

The candidate emphasizes clean water and protecting Florida agriculture, while also backing American energy and putting money back in families’ pockets. The available materials frame energy policy in terms of conservative priorities rather than aggressive climate regulation.

Public Safety & Guns

Ben Butler supports protecting Second Amendment rights and opposes new gun regulations such as gun grabs and government registries. He also emphasizes backing law enforcement and a tough-on-crime posture.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 30, 2026

Ben Butler is in the news as one of the Republican candidates competing for Florida’s 9th Congressional District seat. The race is focused on the party primary ahead of the general election, where the nominee will challenge incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. Coverage highlights the candidates’ positions on affordability, housing, taxes, utilities, education, immigration, and environmental issues.

dos.elections.myflorida.com+48

Latest Polls

FL-09 Republican nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Victory Insights
20%15%10%5%0%
13.8%
14.2%
13.8%
11.6%
Ben Butler
B. Butler
Jorge Martinez
J. Martinez
Thomas Chalifoux
T. Chalifoux
Dan Green
D. Green
Justin Story
J. Story
Marcus Carter
M. Carter
Steve Rance
S. Rance
Date (Start - End)SpreadButlerMartinezChalifouxGreenStoryCarterRance
Victory InsightsAug 4 - 6
Martinez+0.4
13.8%14.2%13.8%11.6%2.5%1.8%1.4%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

16
FL-09 Republican nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$386.7K
$290.0K
$193.3K
$96.7K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$386.7K
$112.3K
$274.4K
$14.4K

Source: FEC