Prediction Edge
Republican
Ben Midgley

Ben Midgley

Republican candidate for Governor in Maine

Live Odds — Maine Republican Governor nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$168.1KJUN 10, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports cutting wasteful state spending, reducing government growth and regulation, lowering costs for families and delivering tax relief to working families and seniors. Prioritizes supporting small businesses and attracting investment to create jobs while opposing subsidies that benefit special interests.

Healthcare

The candidate emphasizes reducing state spending, redirecting resources toward law enforcement and addiction treatment, and increasing oversight of Department of Health and Human Services personnel; healthcare proposals focus on cost control and targeted programs rather than expanding government-run coverage. Campaign materials and interviews emphasize fiscal restraint and reallocating existing funds to priority areas such as veterans’ care and addiction treatment. Public statements call for personnel accountability at DHHS and stress limiting spending growth in MaineCare/Maine’s health budget

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger enforcement of immigration laws, opposes sanctuary cities, favors reducing public benefits for undocumented immigrants, and endorses deporting individuals who break the law (including violent criminals).

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports restrictions on abortion, opposing late-term abortion and opposing requiring MaineCare to cover abortion costs, while acknowledging Maine is unlikely to be a fully pro-life state and saying some "guardrails" could be put in place.

Climate & Energy

Ben Midgley’s campaign emphasizes lowering electricity costs and supporting policies to reduce cost of living, but does not present detailed climate or energy policy proposals on the campaign site. Public statements focus on economic impacts of energy prices rather than explicit commitments on emissions targets, renewable development, or fossil-fuel policy. Available materials frame energy as a cost issue within a broader pro-business, ‘common-sense’ platform rather than a specific climate agenda.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate describes himself as a proud defender of the Second Amendment, pledges to protect gun owners’ rights, oppose efforts that would restrict law-abiding Mainers, and says he would veto legislation that targets those rights. He frames his public-safety priorities around supporting law enforcement and protecting residents’ ability to defend themselves.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Ben Midgley is in the news because he is running in Maine’s crowded Republican governor primary, where ranked-choice tabulation is still determining the final outcome. He finished near the top in first-round voting and later formed an alliance with fellow candidate David Jones, with each urging supporters to rank the other second. Midgley also drew attention at the state party convention, where he won a non-scientific straw poll.

mainecampaignfinancedisclosure.com+51

Latest Polls

Maine Republican Governor nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Ben Midgley currently averages 9.0%, ranking 5th in this race, 1.3 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 9.0%Position: 5thMargin: -1.3 ptsLatest poll: 10.0% (May 28 - Jun 3)Polls included: 9

Average recalculated from polls through May 28 - Jun 3.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
9.0%
38.6%
23%
17.2%
10.4%
Ben Midgley
B. Midgley
Robert Charles
R. Charles
Shawn Moody
S. Moody
Jonathan Bush
J. Bush
Garrett Mason
G. Mason
David Jones
D. Jones
Owen McCarthy
O. McCarthy
Robert Wessels
R. Wessels
James Libby
J. Libby
Date (Start - End)SpreadMidgleyCharlesMoodyBushMasonJonesMcCarthyWesselsLibby
Polling Average
Charles+29.5
9.0%38.6%23.0%17.2%10.4%4.2%4.2%3.2%1.0%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3
Charles+24.0
10.0%34.0%17.0%10.0%2.0%7.0%2.0%0.0%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3
Charles+29.0
13.0%42.0%23.0%13.0%9.0%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3
Charles+28.0
16.0%44.0%26.0%14.0%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3
Charles+33.0
18.0%51.0%31.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterMay 21 - 25
Charles+26.0
11.0%37.0%18.0%9.0%7.0%2.0%6.0%
Pan Atlantic ResearchMay 8 - 18
Charles+34.0
2.0%36.0%20.0%13.0%3.0%4.0%1.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesApr 28 - 30
Charles+42.0
5.0%47.0%11.0%11.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterFeb 12 - 16
Charles+22.0
6.0%28.0%5.0%12.0%7.0%1.0%4.0%2.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesAug 23 - 25
Charles+27.7
0.3%28.0%23.0%4.0%1.0%2.0%2.0%3.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

3
Maine Republican Governor nominee?

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising