Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Bill Cassidy

Bill Cassidy

Overview

Current roleU.S. Senator

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age68 years old (Sep 28, 1957)

GenderMale

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LocationLouisiana

BackgroundPhysician (gastroenterologist)

EducationLouisiana State University (B.S., 1979)

Notable personal detailsWilliam Morgan "Bill" Cassidy is an American physician and politician who has served as the senior U.S. senator from Louisiana since 2015. A gastroenterologist, he previously represented Louisiana’s 6th congressional district in the U.S. House (2009–2015) and served in the Louisiana State Senate (2006–2009). He earned a B.S. and an M.D. from Louisiana State University. He has chaired the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee since 2025.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax cuts and lower tax rates for individuals and businesses, including backing the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and opposing new taxes such as a carbon tax.

Healthcare

Opposes single-payer/Medicare for All and supports market-oriented reforms to the health system, including repeal or replacement of large parts of the Affordable Care Act. Focuses on expanding access to digital health and targeted Medicare reforms (cost reductions and access in Medicare/Medicare Advantage) rather than creating a universal government-run program. Uses legislation and bipartisan initiatives to adjust program rules and reduce patient costs while preserving private insurance options.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border enforcement and expanded physical barriers while backing stricter immigration enforcement measures (e.g., detention and removal of certain unauthorized entrants) and reforms to limit executive parole and increase transparency about migrants released at the border. Sponsors and co-sponsors legislation to expand border-wall construction and to tighten parole and detention practices. Advocates faster removals and greater reporting/transparency of catch-and-release data.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports significant limits on abortion access, including bans on mail-order/chemical abortions and restrictions after fetal pain/20 weeks, while promoting informed-consent and conscience protections for medical providers. Advocates federal and state measures to restrict certain abortion methods and require in-person care and ultrasound information prior to abortions.

Climate & Energy

Supports expanded domestic fossil fuel production and offshore leasing, seeks permitting reform to lower energy costs, and opposes carbon taxes and EPA regulations that would force generation shifts away from fossil fuels. Advocates for government actions to boost U.S. energy production and competitiveness while favoring market-oriented measures and targeted clean-energy investments rather than aggressive emissions mandates.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports Second Amendment rights and has sponsored legislation to expand gun purchase options and limit state-level restrictions; opposes broad bans on firearms and certain federal regulations. Has also supported targeted measures with due process—such as incentives for state red‑flag/crisis intervention laws and protections in that legislation.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedMay 25, 2026

Bill Cassidy lost Louisiana’s Republican Senate primary and did not advance to the runoff. He finished third behind Julia Letlow and John Fleming, who will compete for the GOP nomination on June 27. Cassidy said his vote to convict Donald Trump in the former president’s impeachment trial may have hurt his campaign, and he conceded after the result.

cassidy.senate.gov+24

Polls

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
27.5%
29.6%
24.8%
5.5%
Bill Cassidy
B. Cassidy
Julia Letlow
J. Letlow
John Fleming
J. Fleming
Blake Miguez
B. Miguez
Eric Skrmetta
E. Skrmetta
Kathy Seiden
K. Seiden
Date (Start - End)SpreadCassidyLetlowFlemingMiguezSkrmettaSeiden
Polling Average
Letlow+2.1
27.5%29.6%24.8%5.5%2.3%0.0%
Quantus InsightsMay 6 - 7
Letlow+22.0
19.6%41.6%29.6%
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesMay 4 - 5
Letlow+6.0
26.0%32.0%21.0%
BDPCApr 28 - 30
Letlow+12.0
20.5%32.5%21.2%
Emerson CollegeApr 24 - 26
Fleming+7.2
21.1%26.9%28.3%
American Pulse Research & PollingMar 20 - 24
Letlow+10.0
20.5%30.5%24.5%
Harris, DeVille & AssociatesMar 13 - 19
Cassidy+11.0
45.0%34.0%21.0%
BDPCMar 16 - 17
Letlow+9.3
19.7%29.0%23.5%
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesMar 11 - 12
Letlow+1.0
26.0%27.0%19.0%
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesMar 11 - 12
Letlow+12.0
34.0%46.0%
Public Opinion StrategiesMar 7 - 10
Cassidy+11.0
35.0%24.0%21.0%
Cor StrategiesFeb 20 - 24
Cassidy+13.0
30.0%15.0%17.0%
Quantus InsightsFeb 23 - 24
Fleming+14.4
19.8%24.6%34.2%
BDPCFeb 21 - 23
Cassidy+6.2
27.5%21.3%20.8%
JMC AnalyticsFeb 14 - 16
Fleming+4.0
22.0%25.0%26.0%
JMC AnalyticsFeb 14 - 16
Fleming+20.0
28.0%48.0%
Public Opinion StrategiesJan 20 - 22
Cassidy+11.0
32.0%21.0%16.0%9.0%1.0%0.0%
BDPCJan 20 - 22
Letlow+6.0
21.0%27.0%14.0%5.0%
JMC AnalyticsJan 12 - 14
Fleming+1.0
22.0%23.0%
Cor StrategiesNov 17 - 20
Cassidy+7.0
29.0%22.0%
JMC AnalyticsOct 15 - 17
Fleming+11.0
29.0%40.0%
JMC AnalyticsOct 15 - 17
Fleming+2.0
23.0%25.0%
Ragnar Research PartnersApr 14 - 16
Cassidy+27.0
45.0%18.0%
Trafalgar GroupMar 6 - 10
Cassidy+3.8
23.5%19.7%16.8%4.1%
Trafalgar GroupMar 6 - 10
Cassidy+3.5
28.1%24.6%3.3%
Trafalgar GroupMar 6 - 10
Letlow+22.0
33.0%55.0%
Trafalgar GroupMar 6 - 10
Cassidy+3.8
28.3%24.5%
JMC AnalyticsFeb 24 - 26
Fleming+2.0
27.0%29.0%6.0%2.0%
JMC AnalyticsFeb 24 - 26
Fleming+13.0
27.0%40.0%
JMC AnalyticsDec 24 - 26
Fleming+13.0
27.0%40.0%
JMC AnalyticsDec 24 - 26
Fleming+2.0
27.0%29.0%
Trafalgar GroupAug 12 - 14
Cassidy+20.1
36.0%15.9%3.9%
Trafalgar GroupAug 12 - 14
Cassidy+15.1
26.9%11.8%2.2%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$6.7M
$5.0M
$3.4M
$1.7M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$2.5M
$3.2M
$973.9K
$40.6K

Cycle 2024

$4.1M
$6.6M
$681.2K
$28.4K

Cycle 2026

$6.7M
$5.5M
$7.8M
$487.0K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements