Prediction Edge
Republican
Brad Raffensperger

Overview

Current roleFormer State Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationGeorgia

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BackgroundSecretary of State (Georgia)

EducationWestern University (B.E.Sc., Civil Engineering)

Notable personal detailsBradford Jay (Brad) Raffensperger is an American politician, engineer, and business owner who has served as Georgia’s 29th Secretary of State since January 2019, after being elected in 2018 and re-elected in 2022. He previously served on the Johns Creek City Council and represented a district in the Georgia House of Representatives from 2015 to 2019. He is associated with Tendon Systems, LLC and has also operated other engineering and construction-related businesses.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate supports tax relief focused on property taxes: capping annual property-tax growth tied to inflation and implementing exemptions or reductions for seniors while emphasizing making Georgia more affordable and returning dollars to residents. Policy proposals prioritize limiting property tax increases and protecting funding for schools and public safety while reducing tax burdens on homeowners. The position centers on targeted tax cuts rather than broad tax-raising measures.

Healthcare

Supports reducing government involvement and lowering costs for Georgians through tax cuts and regulatory reform rather than expanding government-run health programs. Emphasizes market-oriented approaches and cutting bureaucracy to improve affordability and access. No campaign material on the site endorses Medicaid expansion or single-payer solutions.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border enforcement and state-level measures to address what he calls a border crisis while advocating election-related verification tied to immigration status; has also urged consideration of asylum claims for vulnerable Afghan Christians. His public actions emphasize securing borders and improving systems to verify citizenship for voter registration, alongside selective humanitarian requests for asylum review.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

As a Georgia state legislator, Brad Raffensperger authored a personhood amendment and sponsored legislation aligned with recognizing legal rights at fertilization; he has been described as opposing abortion with no exceptions. His record includes sponsorship of bills promoted by anti-abortion groups and endorsements from anti-abortion organizations.

Public Safety & Guns

Brad Raffensperger expresses support for Second Amendment rights and frames public safety as a priority in his campaign, endorsing stricter school-safety policies while positioning himself as a conservative on related issues. During his time in the Georgia legislature he was connected with discussions of campus-carry measures, and campaign materials have touted pro-gun ratings.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 14, 2026

Brad Raffensperger finished third in Georgia’s Republican gubernatorial primary and was eliminated from the runoff. Preliminary results show Burt Jones and Rick Jackson advancing instead, ending Raffensperger’s bid for the GOP nomination. He had entered the race as a crowded-field candidate and had been trailing in pre-election polling.

sos.ga.gov+58

Polls

Georgia Republican Governor nominee?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
12.8%
28.0%
23.2%
7.2%
Brad Raffensperger
B. Raffensperger
Rick Jackson
R. Jackson
Burt Jones
B. Jones
Chris Carr
C. Carr
Clark Dean
C. Dean
Ken Yasger
K. Yasger
Date (Start - End)SpreadRaffenspergerJacksonJonesCarrDeanYasger
Polling Average
Jackson+15.2
12.8%28.0%23.2%7.2%1.0%0.5%
InsiderAdvantageMay 16 - 17
Jackson+15.0
16.0%31.0%27.0%10.0%1.0%0.0%
Quantus InsightsApr 28 - May 2
Jackson+12.9
14.4%27.3%22.1%8.0%0.8%1.0%
InsiderAdvantageApr 28 - 29
Jackson+10.3
18.1%28.4%24.0%11.0%2.3%0.8%
Remington Research GroupApr 28 - 29
Jackson+15.0
14.0%29.0%28.0%5.0%0.0%
University of Georgia School of Public and International AffairsApr 18 - 26
Jackson+13.2
14.0%27.2%24.8%2.9%0.3%0.0%
yes. every kid.Apr 22 - 24
Jackson+20.0
12.0%32.0%26.0%10.0%1.0%
CygnalApr 22 - 23
Jackson+14.8
12.0%26.8%24.1%6.2%0.6%
InsiderAdvantageApr 22 - 23
Jackson+21.1
11.0%32.1%25.1%6.0%
JMC AnalyticsMar 7 - 8
Jackson+26.0
11.0%37.0%22.0%4.0%0.0%0.0%
Emerson CollegeFeb 28 - Mar 2
Jones+9.6
11.0%20.3%20.6%5.8%0.2%0.5%
Quantus InsightsFeb 17 - 18
Jackson+24.4
8.2%32.6%16.9%4.6%0.3%
co/efficientFeb 8 - 9
Jackson+15.0
9.0%24.0%16.0%3.0%1.0%
CygnalFeb 5 - 6
Jones+12.0
10.0%16.0%22.0%7.0%
InsiderAdvantage/Rosetta StoneDec 18 - 19
Jones+10.3
13.7%24.0%8.6%3.9%
University of Georgia School of Public and International AffairsOct 15 - 23
Jones+6.6
15.1%21.7%7.2%1.0%
Quantus InsightsOct 13 - 14
Jones+17.0
15.0%32.0%12.0%2.0%1.0%
yes. every kid.Jul 22 - 23
Jones+5.0
13.0%18.0%11.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising