Prediction Edge
Democrat
Brendan Gill

Brendan Gill

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in New Jersey

Live Odds — NJ-11 special Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$2.3MJAN 1, 2027

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleCounty commissioner

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

LocationNew Jersey

BackgroundCounty commissioner

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EducationSeton Hall University — B.A., Political Science (magna cum laude)

Notable personal detailsBrendan W. Gill is an Essex County, New Jersey commissioner at-large from Montclair and a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District. He attended Montclair Public Schools and earned a B.A. in Political Science from Seton Hall University, graduating magna cum laude. He is married to New Jersey Assemblymember Alixon Collazos-Gill.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports closing corporate tax loopholes and creating a fairer tax system that reduces advantages for large corporations; backs targeted revenue measures for public priorities (including a proposed Corporate Transit Fee on large corporate profits) and increased federal investment in infrastructure and programs to lower costs for working families and small businesses.

Healthcare

Supports restoring Affordable Care Act subsidies and lowering premium costs, and is open to broader reforms including a public option or Medicare for All. Advocates making healthcare more affordable and expanding access through government programs and policy changes.

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Immigration & Border

Supports limiting local participation in federal immigration enforcement, ending county contracts with ICE detention services, expanding legal and humanitarian protections for asylum seekers and refugees, funding pro bono legal aid for detainees, and pursuing pathways to citizenship for Dreamers.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports reproductive autonomy, has condemned the U.S. Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe v. Wade, and advocates for a constitutional amendment to codify a person’s right to make their own healthcare decisions regarding abortion.

Climate & Energy

Supports building a clean-energy economy and climate-resilient infrastructure, including electric buses and modern rail, and prioritizes investments to protect communities from severe storms and flooding while creating green jobs. Endorsed by state environmental groups and has championed local conservation and greenway projects.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports stronger gun-safety measures including vendor accountability, expanded background checks for private sales, and limits on armor-piercing rounds and large-capacity magazines; has chaired an Anti-Gun Violence Committee and backed state legislation limiting concealed-carry expansion. Positions emphasize reducing gun violence while enforcing regulations on sales and dangerous munitions.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Brendan Gill is in the news because he was one of the candidates in New Jersey’s 11th District Democratic primary, where Analilia Mejia emerged as the winner. The race has since moved on to the special election, which Mejia also won, making the primary result part of a broader shift in the district. Recent coverage has focused more on the district’s election outcomes and House control than on Gill specifically, and there is little new reporting about his own campaign.

fec.gov+35

Latest Polls

NJ-11 special Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

GQR
40%30%20%10%0%
12%
28%
5%
5%
Brendan Gill
B. Gill
Tom Malinowski
T. Malinowski
Analilia Mejia
A. Mejia
Tahesha Way
T. Way
John Bartlett
J. Bartlett
Zach Beecher
Z. Beecher
Date (Start - End)SpreadGillMalinowskiMejiaWayBartlettBeecher
GQRNov 19 - 23
Malinowski+16.0
12.0%28.0%5.0%5.0%2.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.1M
$850.7K
$567.1K
$283.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.1M
$9.9K
$1.1M
$62.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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