Prediction Edge

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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

MT-02 House winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • Brian Miller

    Will Democratic win the House race for MT-02?

    Selected market

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC

Democrat
Brian Miller

Brian Miller

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Montana

Saved odds — MT-02 House winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

2.9%chance to win

$10.9KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleAttorney

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Republican

GenderMale

LocationMontana

Show more

BackgroundAttorney

EducationEmory University (degree in Philosophy)

Notable personal detailsBrian James Miller is a Helena, Montana attorney and a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District. He earned a philosophy degree from Emory University and a J.D. from the University of Montana School of Law. He clerked for the Montana Supreme Court under Justice Patricia Cotter and later entered private practice in Helena, becoming a partner at Morrison, Sherwood, Wilson & Deola.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

Brian D. Miller has focused on oversight of insurers and expressed concern about rising premiums and healthcare costs, supported emergency medical services measures, and highlighted support for veterans and healthcare workers. His campaign materials express appreciation for healthcare professionals but do not articulate clear positions on major structural reforms such as ACA expansion, a public option, or Medicare for All.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Brian Miller is in the news because a major rival in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary, Jonathan Windy Boy, has dropped out after sexual abuse allegations surfaced. That leaves Miller and Sam Lux as the remaining candidates in the June 2 primary. The reports do not include any new direct action or statement from Miller himself.

docquery.fec.gov+44

Latest Polls

MT-02 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Brian Miller currently averages 22.0%, ranking second in this race, 16.5 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 22.0%Position: secondMargin: -16.5 ptsLatest poll: 18.0% (Oct 5 - 21)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through Oct 5 - 21.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
22%
38.5%
Brian Miller
B. Miller
Troy Downing
T. Downing
Date (Start - End)SpreadMillerDowning
Polling Average
Downing+16.5
22.0%38.5%
Montana State University BillingsOct 5 - 21
Downing+11.0
18.0%29.0%
Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest PollingAug 27 - Sep 7
Downing+22.0
26.0%48.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Not available in this saved edition

These sections were unavailable when this edition was saved. No automatic updates.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising