Prediction Edge
Republican
Brian Shortsleeve

Brian Shortsleeve

Republican candidate for Governor in Massachusetts

Live Odds — Massachusetts Republican Governor nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

5.4%chance to win

$46.6KSEP 16, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFounder, M33 Growth

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationMassachusetts

Show more

BackgroundFounder, M33 Growth

EducationHarvard College

Notable personal detailsBrian Shortsleeve is a Republican candidate for Governor of Massachusetts in 2026 and the founder of M33 Growth. He previously served in senior leadership roles at the Massachusetts Bay Transportation Authority, including Chief Administrator and Acting General Manager during the Charlie Baker administration. He is a U.S. Marine Corps officer veteran and is a Massachusetts native.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate advocates for significant tax cuts (including a phased income-tax reduction and lower sales tax), opposes any new taxes, supports spending caps and protections for Prop 2½, and emphasizes reducing government spending and regulation to restore affordability and competitiveness.

Healthcare

The candidate supports reducing state government healthcare spending and exploring cuts to the state Medicaid program while opposing new taxes or surcharges on prescription drugs. He emphasizes fiscal restraint across state programs and prioritizes veterans’ access to mental health care and services. Overall his stated approach favors spending reductions and limiting new healthcare-related taxes or fees rather than expanded public coverage.

Show more

Immigration & Border

The candidate supports stricter enforcement and cooperation with federal immigration authorities, opposes sanctuary-state policies, and favors restricting state shelter programs for migrants while endorsing deportation of serious offenders. He frames the current situation as a migrant crisis driven by permissive state policies and calls for reforms to reduce migrant intake and increase cooperation with ICE.

Climate & Energy

Supports an all-of-the-above energy strategy prioritizing affordability and reliability, opposes what he calls costly climate mandates and surcharges, and advocates building natural gas pipeline infrastructure to lower consumer energy costs.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate emphasizes support for lawful gun owners and responsible gun ownership while opposing new registries, broad restrictions, and measures he views as infringing on the Second Amendment. He calls for enforcing existing gun laws, faster prosecution of gun-related crimes, due-process protections in licensing, and stronger public-safety measures that back law enforcement.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 10, 2026

Brian Shortsleeve is in the middle of a tense Massachusetts Republican governor primary against Mike Minogue. He has faced backlash from party leaders over a statewide attack ad, while Minogue has recently launched an affordability-focused ad campaign and appears to have the fundraising and polling edge. Shortsleeve has also boosted his own campaign with $600,000 of personal money and remains on the ballot after pressure to drop out. He has named Shawn Oliver as his running mate for the race.

brianshortsleeve.com+38

Latest Polls

Massachusetts Republican Governor nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Brian Shortsleeve currently averages 18.3%, ranking third in this race, 3.2 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 18.3%Position: thirdMargin: -3.2 ptsLatest poll: 15.0% (Jun 18 - 23)Polls included: 6

Average recalculated from polls through Jun 18 - 23.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
18.3%
27.9%
21.5%
Brian Shortsleeve
B. Shortsleeve
Michael Minogue
M. Minogue
Mike Kennealy
M. Kennealy
Date (Start - End)SpreadShortsleeveMinogueKennealy
Polling Average
Minogue+9.6
18.3%27.9%21.5%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJun 18 - 23
Minogue+31.0
15.0%46.0%
Suffolk UniversityMay 25 - 28
Minogue+31.8
13.1%45.0%
Pulse Decision ScienceFeb 23 - 24
Minogue+13.0
16.0%29.0%7.0%
Suffolk UniversityNov 19 - 23
Shortsleeve+8.6
21.5%6.5%12.9%
University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGovOct 21 - 29
Kennealy+31.0
13.0%13.0%44.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterSep 17 - 23
Shortsleeve+9.0
31.0%22.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising