Prediction Edge
Democrat
Brian Varela

Brian Varela

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in New Jersey

Live Odds — NJ-07 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$25.6KJUN 9, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleEntrepreneur

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

LocationNew Jersey

BackgroundEntrepreneur

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Notable personal detailsBrian Varela is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in New Jersey’s 7th Congressional District. He is an entrepreneur and business owner and has previously led the New Jersey Forward Party. He has also worked in politics, including as a press shop intern for then-Gov. Chris Christie in 2010, and describes himself as a first-generation American raised by Colombian immigrants in New Jersey.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

Supports making healthcare more affordable and accessible by lowering prescription drug prices, expanding access to rural healthcare, protecting reproductive rights, and supporting mental health and addiction treatment services. Emphasizes reducing out-of-pocket costs and increasing access rather than pursuing single-payer solutions.

Immigration & Border

Supports protecting immigrant communities from aggressive ICE operations, opposes expansion of ICE facilities in his district, and calls for rebuilding the immigration system to balance fairness, safety, and humanity. Has publicly criticized Department of Homeland Security leadership and advocated against policies he describes as terrorizing immigrant families.

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Public Safety & Guns

Supports law enforcement and first responders while promoting "common-sense gun safety laws" to keep firearms out of the hands of criminals and strengthen public safety and community policing.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Brian Varela is running in the Democratic primary for New Jersey’s 7th Congressional District, where he is one of the candidates trying to win the nomination to challenge Republican Rep. Tom Kean Jr. The race is being watched closely because the district is considered a toss-up and could help decide control of the House. Recent coverage has focused more on the broader contest and Kean’s prolonged medical absence than on Varela specifically, so his campaign is part of a highly competitive field.

fec.gov+35

Latest Polls

NJ-07 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Brian Varela currently averages 12.4%, ranking third in this race, 3.8 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 12.4%Position: thirdMargin: -3.8 ptsLatest poll: 15.0% (May 31 - Jun 1)Polls included: 5

Average recalculated from polls through May 31 - Jun 1.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
12.4%
28%
16.2%
10.6%
5%
Brian Varela
B. Varela
Rebecca Bennett
R. Bennett
Tina Shah
T. Shah
Michael Roth
M. Roth
Megan O'Rourke
M. O'Rourke
Date (Start - End)SpreadVarelaBennettShahRothO'Rourke
Polling Average
Bennett+15.6
12.4%28.0%16.2%10.6%5.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 31 - Jun 1
Bennett+17.0
15.0%32.0%16.0%12.0%
StimSight ResearchMay 17 - 20
Bennett+16.0
20.0%36.0%19.0%19.0%
Impact ResearchMay 11 - 13
Bennett+23.0
13.0%36.0%15.0%12.0%
GQRMay 3 - 6
Bennett+16.0
10.0%26.0%23.0%7.0%
GQRFeb 22 - 25
Bennett+6.0
4.0%10.0%8.0%3.0%5.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.0M
$1.5M
$993.2K
$496.6K
$0

2022

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$632.7K
$1.4K
$631.3K
$35.1K

Cycle 2026

$2.0M
$2.0M
$111.0K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements