Change Research
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41%
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Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
TX-10 House winner?
The selected contract has a verified final result.
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 6:41 AM UTC
Democrat
Caitlin Rourk
Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Texas
$10.1K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Saved odds — TX-10 House winner?
Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
7.8%chance to win
$10.1KNOV 7, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Army officer (Military Intelligence Officer)
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyMainstream Democrat
GenderFemale
LocationTexas
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BackgroundU.S. Army officer (Military Intelligence Officer)
EducationUniversity of Chicago — B.A., Political Science
Notable personal detailsCaitlin McClay Rourk is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Texas’s 10th Congressional District. She is a U.S. Army officer and has served in the Texas Army National Guard at Joint Forces Headquarters in Austin and in the U.S. Army Reserve. She has worked in public policy and the private sector, including at Dell Technologies, and holds a B.A. in political science from the University of Chicago and an MBA from the University of Texas at Austin (McCombs).
SourcesShowHide
fec.govcaitlinrourk.comnewtools.cira.state.tx.usdocquery.fec.govapi.open.fec.govrepmyblock.orgburlesoncountytx.govusa.govpostman.combluevoterguide.orgelections.brazoscountytx.goven.wikipedia.orgharrisoncountytexas.govreddit.comcouriertexas.comaustinchronicle.comyahoo.comscam-detector.comscamadviser.comsciencedirect.comfoxbusiness.comtexaspolitics.utexas.edufinance.senate.govamericanactionforum.orgcongress.govclark-public.courseleaf.comcitybuzz.cotexastribune.orglinkedin.comstatesman.comaustinlaborcouncil.orginstagram.comballotpedia.orgthetexan.newsfacebook.comlocalcandidates.orgpredictionedge.comballotready.orgvotesmart.orgjustfacts.votesmart.orgnews.ballotpedia.orggovinfo.govdemocrats-science.house.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports policies that hold corporations accountable to ensure they pay their fair share, expand economic opportunity for working families (living wage, affordable childcare and healthcare), and bring federal investments to the district. Emphasizes support for small businesses and investments in infrastructure and workforce development rather than tax cuts for the wealthy.
Healthcare
Supports strengthening the Affordable Care Act and closing the coverage gap by advocating for Medicaid expansion; aims to lower drug costs, protect coverage for people with pre-existing conditions, end surprise billing, and expand mental health and addiction services while supporting rural and community providers.
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Immigration & Border
Supports stronger border security while also advocating a humane pathway to legal status and policies that address root causes of irregular migration. Emphasizes combining enforcement measures with pathways to legalization and smart, humanitarian policy solutions.
Climate & Energy
The candidate’s campaign mentions support for investing in infrastructure that includes “clean energy” but provides no detailed climate or energy policy proposals or specific targets. Public materials emphasize economic and infrastructure priorities rather than explicit emissions reductions, climate legislation, or fossil-fuel policy positions.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedApr 3, 2026
Caitlin Rourk is in the news in connection with Texas primary elections being held to determine candidates for the November general election. The reporting highlights that the primaries include several competitive races, with some contests potentially heading to runoffs. The coverage does not provide specific details about Rourk’s race or results.
fec.gov+42
Latest Polls
TX-10 House winner?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$244.0K
$183.0K
$122.0K
$61.0K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$244.0K
$55.9K
$188.1K
$12.5K
Source: FEC
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- Endorsements