FL-11 Republican nominee?
3dCarey Baker is now leading with 30% and has a 12.0-point edge in the FL-11 Republican nominee race.
30%
Republican
Carey Baker
Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida
$64.4K
AUG 25, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Live Odds — FL-11 Republican nominee?
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
31%chance to win
$64.4KAUG 25, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleFormer State Senator
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age63 years old (Mar 16, 1963)
GenderMale
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LocationFlorida
BackgroundPolitician
EducationTavares High School
Notable personal detailsCarey Baker is a Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida's 11th Congressional District in 2026. He previously served in the Florida House of Representatives (2000–2004) and Florida Senate (2004–2010), and later was the Lake County, Florida property appraiser (2013–2025). He is an Army National Guard veteran and has worked in the family firearms business, A.W. Peterson Gun Shop.
SourcesShowHide
dos.elections.myflorida.comdocquery.fec.govcareybaker.comoppaga.fl.goven.wikipedia.orgfec.govapi.open.fec.govsers.fec.govdeveloper.ballotpedia.orgelectionsfla.comballotclarity.orgusvotefoundation.orgfec.delvedc.comfec.state.fl.usleg.state.fl.usarxiv.orgflsenate.govflimen.orghealth.wusf.usf.edueqfl.orgwesh.comammoland.comnraila.orgbreitbart.comvoteforsean.comdos.fl.govelectrepublicans.orgpolitics1.comcltampa.comfloridadaily.comfloridapolitics.comvillages-news.comfacebook.comorlandosentinel.comflvoicenews.comballotpedia.orgfuturesearch.aipredictionedge.comivoterguide.comballotready.orgcarey.house.govhistory.house.govcongress.govvotesmart.orgjustfacts.votesmart.orgapi.votesmart.org
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports low taxes, tax cuts, reduced government spending, and deregulation. Advocates policies intended to cut taxes for individuals and businesses and to reduce government waste.
Immigration & Border
The candidate has a legislative record of sponsoring immigration-enforcement measures that expand verification and reporting requirements and restrict certain benefits and local policies for undocumented immigrants. His bills have included E‑Verify/private and public employment verification and requirements for reporting suspected undocumented felony arrestees to federal immigration authorities. These actions indicate an enforcement-first, restrictionist approach to immigration policy.
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Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Carey Baker has sponsored or supported legislation restricting abortion access in Florida and has backed measures such as ultrasound requirements; he has characterized abortion as wrong and supported bills that limit abortion providers or procedures. His public record from his time in the Florida Legislature shows sponsorship or association with abortion-restricting bills.
Public Safety & Guns
Supports permitless/constitutional carry and reducing regulatory constraints on firearms, has promoted state-level protections for gun owners and sponsored legislation limiting certain firearm regulations. Holds pro–Second Amendment positions and has owned/operated a gun shop while advocating for visible carry as a crime deterrent.
Latest Candidate Updates
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 18, 2026
Carey Baker is in the news as part of a broader report on competitive 2026 House races. The report says Democrats outraised Republican incumbents in many battleground districts, including several in Florida, which could make the race environment tougher for Republicans. It also notes that fundraising, polling, and possible redistricting changes are shaping the outlook for these contests.
dos.elections.myflorida.com+45
Endorsements
4FL-11 Republican nominee?
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$303.6K
$227.7K
$151.8K
$75.9K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$303.6K
$21.5K
$282.1K
$14.8K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Polls