Prediction Edge
Republican
Carey Baker

Carey Baker

Overview

Current roleFormer State Senator

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age63 years old (Mar 16, 1963)

GenderMale

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LocationFlorida

BackgroundPolitician

EducationTavares High School

Notable personal detailsCarey Baker is a Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida's 11th Congressional District in 2026. He previously served in the Florida House of Representatives (2000–2004) and Florida Senate (2004–2010), and later was the Lake County, Florida property appraiser (2013–2025). He is an Army National Guard veteran and has worked in the family firearms business, A.W. Peterson Gun Shop.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports low taxes, tax cuts, reduced government spending, and deregulation. Advocates policies intended to cut taxes for individuals and businesses and to reduce government waste.

Immigration & Border

The candidate has a legislative record of sponsoring immigration-enforcement measures that expand verification and reporting requirements and restrict certain benefits and local policies for undocumented immigrants. His bills have included E‑Verify/private and public employment verification and requirements for reporting suspected undocumented felony arrestees to federal immigration authorities. These actions indicate an enforcement-first, restrictionist approach to immigration policy.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Carey Baker has sponsored or supported legislation restricting abortion access in Florida and has backed measures such as ultrasound requirements; he has characterized abortion as wrong and supported bills that limit abortion providers or procedures. His public record from his time in the Florida Legislature shows sponsorship or association with abortion-restricting bills.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports permitless/constitutional carry and reducing regulatory constraints on firearms, has promoted state-level protections for gun owners and sponsored legislation limiting certain firearm regulations. Holds pro–Second Amendment positions and has owned/operated a gun shop while advocating for visible carry as a crime deterrent.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 18, 2026

Carey Baker is in the news as part of a broader report on competitive 2026 House races. The report says Democrats outraised Republican incumbents in many battleground districts, including several in Florida, which could make the race environment tougher for Republicans. It also notes that fundraising, polling, and possible redistricting changes are shaping the outlook for these contests.

dos.elections.myflorida.com+46

Endorsements

FL-11 Republican nominee?

Endorsers of Carey Baker for FL-11 Republican nominee?

Former state senate leaders

Public endorsement

Eight former state Senate presidents and presidents pro tempore endorsed Carey Baker for Congress.

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Anthony Sabatini

Public figure

Anthony Sabatini endorsed Carey Baker in the CD 11 race.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$167.6K
$125.7K
$83.8K
$41.9K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$167.6K
$105.2K
$62.4K
$3.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls