Prediction Edge
Republican
Caroleene Dobson

Caroleene Dobson

Republican candidate for Secretary of State in Alabama

Live Odds — Alabama Secretary of State winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

NOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleAttorney

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderFemale

LocationAlabama

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BackgroundAttorney

EducationHarvard College — B.A., History & Literature (2009)

Notable personal detailsCaroleene Hardee Dobson is an Alabama attorney and Republican candidate for Alabama Secretary of State in 2026. She previously ran for U.S. House in Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District in 2024. Dobson is a shareholder at Maynard Nexsen in Montgomery, with work focused on commercial finance, real estate, and natural resources.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate supports reducing fees for Alabama businesses and streamlining government services to make the state more pro-business; she emphasizes lowering business costs and cutting fees rather than proposing tax increases. Her platform frames improving business incorporation and reducing bureaucratic burdens as priorities for the Secretary of State office.

Healthcare

No comprehensive plan for expanding government coverage is publicly articulated; she emphasizes job creation and private insurance as primary solutions and links rising healthcare costs to inflation. She said state legislatures should decide abortion policy and supports exemptions for rape, incest, and the life of the mother. She has said state officials should “examine” Medicaid expansion rather than committing to expansion federally.

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Immigration & Border

Caroleene Dobson has advocated for tightening control over federal migrant relocation practices and has pledged to require federal notification to state and local officials when migrants or non-citizens are placed in communities. She has criticized the Biden administration’s parole program for migrants and emphasized curbing immigration as a campaign priority. Her public statements focus on increased transparency and restrictions on federal migrant placement rather than proposing broad legalization or expanded asylum access.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate describes herself as pro‑life, supports leaving abortion policy to the states, and endorses exemptions for rape, incest, and to protect the pregnant person’s health. She does not advocate for unfettered access and aligns with restricting abortion while allowing specified exceptions.

Climate & Energy

The candidate emphasizes energy independence and support for rural electric cooperatives and has framed high energy costs as a problem for farmers and national security. Her public materials and endorsements focus on reliable, affordable energy and her background includes natural resources and energy law. No evidence was found of support for aggressive emissions targets, Green New Deal–style policies, or international climate agreements in the cited sources.

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Remington Research Group
15%10%5%0%
13%
Caroleene Dobson
C. Dobson
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Remington Research GroupMay 13, 2025
–13.0%
Remington Research GroupMay 13, 2025
–9.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$3.9M
$2.9M
$1.9M
$964.5K
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$3.9M
$2.9K
$3.9M
$160.6K

Cycle 2026

$8.7K
$0.00
$11.6K
$643.61

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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