Prediction Edge
Republican
Casey DeSantis

Casey DeSantis

Republican candidate for Governor in Florida

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Casey DeSantis is trading at 0% to win the Florida Republican Governor nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleOther

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age46 years old (Jun 26, 1980)

GenderFemale

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LocationFlorida

BackgroundFirst Lady of Florida

EducationCollege of Charleston — B.S. in Economics

Notable personal detailsJill Casey DeSantis is the first lady of Florida (since 2019) and the wife of Governor Ron DeSantis. She is a former television journalist and worked as a producer and on-air host for the PGA Tour. She earned a B.S. in Economics from the College of Charleston and has competed in equestrian sports, including NCAA competition. She has led and promoted initiatives in Florida focused on mental health, substance abuse prevention, and cancer-related programs.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

The candidate emphasizes medical freedom (opposing mRNA vaccine mandates and pushing protections for patients' vaccination status) while promoting targeted state healthcare initiatives such as mental health, substance-abuse programs, cancer research funding, and a private-sector-oriented Hope Florida program aimed at reducing dependence on government aid. The record shows advocacy for limiting federal vaccine recommendations for children and making state protections against mandates permanent.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Casey DeSantis has expressed pro-life views and publicly supported pro-life events and messaging, including comments identifying as "pro-family" and "pro-life." Her public statements align with restricting abortion access and supporting policies that protect unborn life while promoting family-support measures.

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Climate & Energy

Casey DeSantis, as Florida’s First Lady, has promoted water quality, conservation, and state resiliency initiatives and has participated in launches and programs focused on environmental stewardship. Her public activity emphasizes conservation and resilience but does not present clear support for aggressive emissions reductions or broad clean-energy policy goals. Public materials document advocacy for protecting Florida’s natural resources and resiliency projects rather than specific climate or energy-transition policies.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate has publicly promoted expanded gun rights in Florida, including support for open carry and proposals to reduce taxes on firearms and ammunition. Statements and social posts advocate making Florida more permissive on carrying firearms while framing the changes as protecting the Second Amendment and supporting gun owners.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 14, 2026

Casey DeSantis is in the news because she is running in Florida’s crowded Republican governor primary, where recent polling shows her trailing Byron Donalds and suggests Donald Trump’s endorsement has sharply boosted him. The race is now in early voting, and election officials are warning voters about ballot confusion that has led some people to overvote and spoil their governor ballot. Officials say voters who made a mistake can request a replacement ballot.

flgov.com+49

Latest Polls

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Casey DeSantis currently averages 27.1%, ranking second in this race, 2.8 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 27.1%Position: secondMargin: -2.8 ptsLatest poll: 6.7% (Mar 29 - 31)Polls included: 13

Average recalculated from polls through Mar 29 - 31.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
27.1%
29.9%
10.7%
Casey DeSantis
C. DeSantis
Byron Donalds
B. Donalds
Matt Gaetz
M. Gaetz
Jimmy Patronis
J. Patronis
Jay Collins
J. Collins
Wilton Simpson
W. Simpson
Paul Renner
P. Renner
Charles Burkett
C. Burkett
Date (Start - End)SpreadDeSantisDonaldsGaetzPatronisCollinsSimpsonRennerBurkett
Polling Average
Donalds+2.8
27.1%29.9%10.7%4.0%3.1%2.6%2.4%2.2%
Emerson CollegeMar 29 - 31
Donalds+36.8
6.7%43.5%4.3%2.0%0.5%
University of North Florida Public Opinion Research LabFeb 16 - 20
Donalds+4.0
24.0%28.0%3.0%0.0%
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesJan 4 - 6
Donalds+13.0
26.0%39.0%1.0%
St. Pete PollsOct 13 - 15
Donalds+26.2
21.0%47.2%
Targoz Market ResearchSep 16 - 18
DeSantis+3.0
26.0%23.0%2.0%2.0%7.0%
University of North Florida Public Opinion Research LabJul 14 - 22
DeSantis+3.0
32.0%29.0%8.0%1.0%
St. Pete PollsJul 8 - 10
Donalds+7.5
27.4%34.9%3.1%2.2%
Targoz Market ResearchMay 5 - 7
DeSantis+1.0
29.0%28.0%10.0%4.0%3.0%
Targoz Market ResearchApr 15 - 22
DeSantis+3.0
27.0%24.0%8.0%4.0%3.0%
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesFeb 26 - 27
Donalds+4.0
30.0%34.0%3.0%
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet ResearchJun 8 - 9
DeSantis+24.0
43.0%19.0%13.0%5.0%
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet ResearchApr 15 - 17
DeSantis+21.5
37.6%16.1%
University of North Florida Public Opinion Research LabOct 23 - Nov 4
DeSantis+13.0
22.0%9.0%9.0%3.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising