Prediction Edge
Republican
Justin McNeal

Overview

Current roleEntrepreneur

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationSouth Dakota

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BackgroundEntrepreneur

EducationHawaii Pacific University — B.S., Nuclear Engineering Technology

Notable personal detailsJustin Shad McNeal is a Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate in South Dakota (2026) and a Rapid City-based businessman and U.S. Navy veteran. He served in the Navy from 2001 to 2007, including more than four years aboard the USS Key West, and later earned a B.S. in Nuclear Engineering Technology and an M.B.A. from Hawaii Pacific University. He founded Dakota BioChar and has also served as a transport mission pilot with the South Dakota Wing of the Civil Air Patrol.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports fiscal restraint, reducing wasteful federal spending, increasing transparency and oversight, and protecting taxpayers from rising debt and inflation. Opposes certain federal tax subsidies (for example, the 45Q carbon capture tax credit) and advocates rolling back taxpayer-funded corporate subsidies and eminent-domain use for private projects. Emphasizes limited government, local control, and pro-growth energy and business policies.

Healthcare

Supports improving VA access and expanding mental-health care in rural areas while opposing federal overreach and favoring reduced federal bureaucracy and local control of health-related decisions. Emphasizes cutting red tape and streamlining programs rather than expanding large federal healthcare programs. No advocacy for Medicare for All or an expanded federal entitlement is stated in available campaign materials.

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Climate & Energy

The candidate is the founder of Dakota BioChar, a company that converts forest residues into biochar and renewable electricity to reduce wildfire risk, improve soil health, and sequester carbon; his campaign emphasizes land stewardship and local control while opposing federal overreach. Public materials describe biochar production and clean power generation at a project level but do not articulate detailed national climate policy positions (e.g., support for Paris Agreement, carbon pricing, or fossil fuel phase-out).

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate expresses strong support for the Second Amendment and says he will protect it from federal overreach, indicating a pro-gun-rights stance that opposes expansive federal restrictions while respecting gun ownership.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 13, 2026

Justin McNeal is in the news mainly because South Dakota has moved ahead with new voting restrictions requiring proof of U.S. citizenship for new voters. The law was signed by Governor Larry Rhoden and is part of a broader Republican push for stricter election rules. Recent coverage also places this issue in the context of similar state-level efforts and a stalled federal SAVE America Act. There is little else reported about McNeal specifically in the provided summaries.

justinmcneal.com+39

Polls

South Dakota Republican Senate nominee?
Polling Average
80%60%40%20%0%
18.2%
65.8%
Justin McNeal
J. McNeal
M. Michael Rounds
M. Rounds
Date (Start - End)SpreadMcNealRounds
Polling Average
Rounds+47.6
18.2%65.8%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyApr 7 - 11
Rounds+47.6
18.2%65.8%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$7.9K
$5.9K
$3.9K
$2.0K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$7.9K
$3.8K
$4.0K
$238.02

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements