Prediction Edge
Republican
Chad Bianco

Chad Bianco

Republican candidate for Governor in California

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Chad Bianco is trading at 0% to win the California Governor primary: 1st place on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleSheriff

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age58 years old (Oct 9, 1967)

GenderMale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundLaw enforcement officer

EducationSan Bernardino Sheriff's Academy (1993)

Notable personal detailsJohnny Chad Bianco is an American law enforcement officer who has served as Sheriff (and Sheriff-Coroner and Public Administrator) of Riverside County, California since 2019. He joined the Riverside County Sheriff’s Department in 1993 after attending the San Bernardino Sheriff’s Academy and has held patrol, narcotics, supervisory, and administrative assignments. He was elected in 2018 and re-elected in 2022. Bianco ran as a Republican candidate for Governor of California in the 2026 election cycle.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate supports major tax cuts including abolishing California’s state income tax and cutting taxes for working families and businesses, and favors reducing regulation on the economy to promote job growth and lower energy costs.

Healthcare

Supports limiting public provision of healthcare to undocumented immigrants and emphasizes personal choice over government vaccine mandates; favors using treatment and mental-health responses for homelessness but frames these as targeted interventions rather than expansion of universal coverage. Positions emphasize reducing government-imposed public-health requirements and restoring market/individual decision-making in health matters.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate calls for securing the border, ending sanctuary policies, prioritizing deportation of violent criminals, and combating drug and human trafficking, while also supporting guest worker programs and a federal path to citizenship for law‑abiding residents. Public statements and actions also show enforcement-focused measures (opposition to California sanctuary policies and cooperation with federal removal of criminal noncitizens) alongside limited pathways for lawful workers.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate opposes policies expanding abortion access and has publicly criticized abortion-rights protests and legislation he described as allowing infanticide, framing such measures as unacceptable. His public remarks emphasize Christian values and law enforcement responses in the context of abortion-related events.

Climate & Energy

Supports market-driven energy solutions and grid modernization, prioritizes keeping Diablo Canyon nuclear plant operational, and emphasizes lowering energy costs and holding regulators accountable. Has criticized state renewable policies such as installing solar on productive farmland and questioned links between climate change and California wildfires. Focuses on protecting agriculture and preferring energy options like nuclear, hydrogen, geothermal, and hydro over aggressive regulatory approaches to emissions.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports strong Second Amendment rights and opposes new firearm restrictions while defending law enforcement funding and tougher criminal penalties. Criticizes recent California gun-control proposals as anti–gun ownership and frames his public-safety agenda around resourcing police and prioritizing victims over criminals.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 31, 2026

Chad Bianco is in the news because he is running in California’s crowded 2026 governor’s race, where the top-two primary will decide who advances to November. Recent results and polling show him trailing the leaders, with Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra ahead and Bianco around 10% to 11%. The latest reporting suggests the runoff spots are still being sorted out, but Bianco is not among the front-runners.

riversidesheriff.org+67

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Chad Bianco currently averages 12.5%, ranking third in this race, 0.8 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 12.5%Position: thirdMargin: -0.8 ptsLatest poll: 11.0% (May 28 - 31)Polls included: 76

Average recalculated from polls through May 28 - 31.

Polling Average
20%15%10%5%0%
12.5%
17.1%
13.2%
11.3%
11.1%
10.6%
5.1%
Chad Bianco
C. Bianco
Steve Hilton
S. Hilton
Tom Steyer
T. Steyer
Katie Porter
K. Porter
Eric Swalwell
E. Swalwell
Xavier Becerra
X. Becerra
Matt Mahan
M. Mahan
Antonio Villaraigosa
A. Villaraigosa
Date (Start - End)SpreadBiancoHiltonSteyerPorterSwalwellBecerraMahanVillaraigosa
Polling Average
Hilton+4.6
12.5%17.1%13.2%11.3%11.1%10.6%5.1%3.6%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - 31
Steyer+9.0
11.0%20.0%20.0%7.0%17.0%6.0%4.0%
Emerson CollegeMay 27 - 28
Becerra+16.6
11.8%22.5%22.6%5.2%28.4%4.9%2.7%
Public Policy PollingMay 27 - 28
Steyer+7.0
14.0%20.0%21.0%7.0%18.0%7.0%2.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesMay 26 - 28
Steyer+15.0
10.0%25.0%25.0%7.0%19.0%6.0%
Kreate StrategiesMay 27 - 27
Becerra+18.0
9.0%26.0%20.0%5.0%27.0%4.0%1.0%
David Binder ResearchMay 26 - 27
Hilton+18.0
9.0%27.0%22.0%8.0%26.0%4.0%
University of Southern California/California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy/Cal Poly PomonaMay 23 - 26
Becerra+18.0
11.0%23.0%18.0%8.0%29.0%4.0%3.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesMay 19 - 24
Becerra+14.0
11.0%21.0%19.0%7.0%25.0%4.0%1.0%
Echelon InsightsMay 18 - 21
Hilton+13.0
12.0%25.0%18.0%7.0%15.0%7.0%1.0%
Global Strategy GroupMay 18 - 21
Hilton+10.0
12.0%22.0%19.0%8.0%19.0%8.0%2.0%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaMay 14 - 18
Becerra+10.0
13.0%20.0%15.0%12.0%23.0%7.0%5.0%
EvitarusMay 14 - 16
Hilton+12.0
10.0%22.0%15.0%7.0%0.0%21.0%4.0%1.0%
EvitarusMay 14 - 16
Hilton+11.0
11.0%22.0%15.0%6.0%22.0%4.0%1.0%
David Binder ResearchMay 5 - 11
Hilton+10.0
13.0%23.0%15.0%12.0%22.0%7.0%2.0%
Emerson CollegeMay 9 - 10
Becerra+8.3
12.0%17.7%18.9%13.1%20.3%9.3%5.1%
Kreate StrategiesMay 5 - 9
Hilton+9.0
13.0%22.0%14.0%9.0%20.0%9.0%1.0%
Mellman GroupMay 3 - 6
Becerra+6.0
14.0%20.0%12.0%9.0%20.0%10.0%
Impact ResearchApr 28 - May 3
Becerra+12.0
11.0%23.0%14.0%9.0%23.0%10.0%1.0%
EvitarusApr 30 - May 2
Hilton+4.0
14.0%18.0%12.0%8.0%1.0%18.0%7.0%2.0%
SurveyUSAApr 28 - May 1
Hilton+8.0
12.0%20.0%18.0%8.0%10.0%7.0%5.0%
Gudelunas StrategiesApr 23 - 27
Becerra+11.0
13.0%23.0%15.0%10.0%0.0%24.0%6.0%2.0%
YouGovApr 23 - 27
Hilton+6.0
10.0%16.0%15.0%9.0%13.0%4.0%4.0%
EMC ResearchApr 21 - 26
Becerra+6.0
15.0%20.0%17.0%8.0%21.0%8.0%3.0%
Independent Voter ProjectApr 14 - 20
Becerra+6.4
16.7%19.7%13.9%11.4%23.0%4.3%1.0%
Gudelunas StrategiesApr 14 - 18
Hilton+6.0
14.0%20.0%15.0%13.0%0.0%15.0%6.0%3.0%
Kreate StrategiesApr 12 - 18
Hilton+4.0
14.0%18.0%16.0%8.0%3.0%10.0%4.0%1.0%
Kreate StrategiesApr 12 - 18
Hilton+4.0
14.0%18.0%16.0%10.0%10.0%4.0%1.0%
EvitarusApr 15 - 17
Hilton+2.0
14.0%16.0%13.0%10.0%1.0%13.0%5.0%2.0%
Emerson CollegeApr 14 - 15
Hilton+2.2
14.4%16.6%14.1%10.3%10.4%5.4%2.5%
SurveyUSAApr 8 - 10
Steyer+13.0
8.0%18.0%21.0%8.0%9.0%4.0%4.0%5.0%
David Binder ResearchApr 1 - 6
Hilton+9.0
13.0%22.0%12.0%11.0%18.0%4.0%5.0%2.0%
Gudelunas StrategiesApr 1 - 6
Hilton+9.0
13.0%22.0%12.0%11.0%18.0%4.0%5.0%2.0%
EvitarusMar 31 - Apr 5
Bianco+0.0
14.0%14.0%11.0%7.0%12.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaMar 26 - Apr 3
Swalwell+4.0
14.0%17.0%14.0%10.0%18.0%5.0%5.0%5.0%
Kreate StrategiesMar 23 - 29
Hilton+9.0
10.0%19.0%13.0%8.0%13.0%2.0%4.0%2.0%
Echelon InsightsMar 12 - 17
Hilton+6.0
14.0%20.0%13.0%10.0%15.0%3.0%4.0%3.0%
EvitarusMar 12 - 17
Hilton+2.0
14.0%16.0%10.0%10.0%10.0%3.0%3.0%3.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesMar 9 - 15
Hilton+1.0
16.0%17.0%10.0%13.0%13.0%5.0%4.0%4.0%
Emerson CollegeMar 7 - 9
Swalwell+5.9
11.4%13.3%10.9%8.4%17.3%3.0%3.2%3.2%
University of California Berkeley Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research/TrueDotFeb 25 - Mar 3
Hilton+8.0
11.0%19.0%13.0%11.0%11.0%5.0%3.0%4.0%
Global Strategy GroupFeb 27 - Mar 2
Hilton+5.0
15.0%20.0%16.0%13.0%11.0%5.0%3.0%2.0%
Independent Voter ProjectFeb 13 - 20
Bianco+5.4
23.3%14.9%8.0%12.4%17.9%3.4%2.1%2.8%
Emerson CollegeFeb 13 - 14
Hilton+3.6
13.5%17.1%8.8%9.8%14.1%3.5%3.4%2.8%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaFeb 3 - 11
Hilton+2.0
12.0%14.0%10.0%13.0%11.0%5.0%3.0%5.0%
Tavern ResearchFeb 2 - 5
Bianco+8.0
20.0%12.0%9.0%9.0%10.0%6.0%2.0%3.0%
EMC ResearchJan 29 - Feb 4
Bianco+3.0
21.0%17.0%9.0%12.0%18.0%6.0%5.0%3.0%
Global Strategy GroupJan 29 - Feb 3
Bianco+0.0
18.0%18.0%10.0%12.0%14.0%4.0%3.0%3.0%
J. Wallin Opinion ResearchJan 29 - Feb 1
Hilton+3.0
11.0%14.0%12.0%8.0%9.0%6.0%4.0%7.0%
RBI Strategies & ResearchJan 25 - 29
Hilton+1.0
15.0%16.0%8.0%13.0%14.0%3.0%
Tulchin ResearchJan 22 - 28
Hilton+0.0
15.0%15.0%10.0%13.0%14.0%5.0%7.0%
Public Policy PollingJan 20 - 21
Bianco+1.0
18.0%17.0%8.0%14.0%11.0%6.0%5.0%2.0%
David Binder ResearchJan 17 - 20
Bianco+3.0
17.0%14.0%8.0%11.0%11.0%5.0%3.0%
FM3 ResearchNov 30 - Dec 7
Hilton+1.0
17.0%18.0%6.0%13.0%17.0%3.0%3.0%
Emerson CollegeDec 1 - 2
Bianco+1.8
13.3%11.5%4.3%11.0%11.5%3.5%5.0%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaNov 13 - 19
Porter+11.0
10.0%14.0%21.0%14.0%8.0%
Tavern ResearchOct 27 - 30
Bianco+1.0
16.0%12.0%15.0%9.0%5.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesOct 20 - 27
Bianco+2.0
13.0%8.0%1.0%11.0%8.0%5.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesOct 20 - 27
Bianco+4.0
13.0%8.0%1.0%9.0%5.0%3.0%
EMC ResearchOct 22 - 26
Hilton+6.0
14.0%20.0%3.0%16.0%11.0%9.0%5.0%
Bold DecisionOct 16 - 21
Bianco+1.0
14.0%13.0%7.0%12.0%8.0%7.0%
Bold DecisionOct 16 - 21
Hilton+0.0
14.0%14.0%14.0%5.0%6.0%
Bold DecisionOct 16 - 21
Hilton+3.0
13.0%16.0%14.0%9.0%11.0%
Emerson CollegeOct 20 - 21
Hilton+5.0
10.7%15.7%14.7%5.0%5.2%
Emerson CollegeSep 15 - 16
Porter+8.0
7.5%9.8%15.5%3.4%3.9%
Emerson CollegeSep 15 - 16
Porter+7.9
7.9%9.9%15.8%4.8%3.8%
John Zogby StrategiesSep 7 - 9
Porter+13.9
10.9%14.1%24.8%9.4%11.1%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesAug 11 - 17
Porter+7.0
10.0%6.0%17.0%9.0%4.0%
University of California Berkeley Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research/Possibility Lab/TrueDotJul 31 - Aug 12
Porter+6.0
15.0%10.0%21.0%9.0%9.0%
Emerson CollegeAug 4 - 5
Porter+10.5
7.1%11.8%17.6%2.7%4.6%
University of California Irvine School of Social Ecology/TruedotMay 29 - Jun 4
Porter+2.0
4.0%6.0%2.0%4.0%
Emerson CollegeApr 12 - 14
Porter+8.1
4.3%12.4%3.0%4.9%
Emerson CollegeApr 12 - 14
Porter+3.5
4.2%7.7%1.8%1.9%
Breakthrough CampaignsNov 22 - 26
Porter+10.0
14.0%24.0%6.0%3.0%
Breakthrough CampaignsNov 22 - 26
Porter+15.0
6.0%21.0%2.0%3.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesOct 22 - 29
Porter+2.0
8.0%3.0%10.0%3.0%4.0%
University of Southern California/California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy/Cal Poly PomonaSep 12 - 25
Porter+9.3
4.7%4.0%14.0%2.9%2.6%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising