KS-02 Republican nominee?
20dChad Young's odds are down 36.0 points and are now at 8% in "KS-02 Republican nominee?" over a 3-day streak.


Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Current roleNonprofit founder
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyLibertarian Republican
GenderMale
LocationKansas
BackgroundNonprofit founder
Notable personal detailsChad Young is a Republican who ran for U.S. House in Kansas' 2nd Congressional District in 2024. He has described himself as a limited-government constitutionalist and was a first-time candidate in that race. He has been described in Kansas media as originally from Arkansas and as the founder of a nonprofit focused on assisting troubled youth, and as living in Lawrence, Kansas during the campaign.
The candidate advocates eliminating federal taxes and significantly reducing or abolishing large federal agencies, and supports sharply limited government spending and intervention in the economy.
The candidate supports drastically shrinking or eliminating federal government roles and taxes, expresses opposition to ‘big pharma’ and to government-mandated medical interventions, and advocates for abolishing taxpayer-funded programs. These positions indicate a preference for minimal government involvement in healthcare and privatization of health services.
Chad Young favors strong border security and stricter controls on illegal immigration, calling for an "iron-clad barrier" at the border. He emphasizes enforcement-focused measures rather than expanding legal pathways or asylum protections.
The candidate opposes elective abortion in all circumstances and supports federal steps to prohibit abortion. The candidate also disagrees with taxpayer funding for abortion providers such as Planned Parenthood and indicated no exceptions ("No abortion ever").
The candidate advocates using military veterans as school security guards rather than pursuing sweeping new gun-control measures, and emphasizes addressing violent individuals rather than altering firearms policy. No public record was found of support for major gun restrictions such as assault-weapons bans or universal background checks.
Chad Young's odds are down 36.0 points and are now at 8% in "KS-02 Republican nominee?" over a 3-day streak.
Chad Young’s chances to win the Kansas GOP primary for the 2nd District have dropped sharply again, while Derek Schmidt has firmed as the clear favorite. That keeps the market pointed toward Schmidt unless a new catalyst reverses the move.
The Republican nominee market in KS-02 moved sharply in the last hour, with Chad Young dropping from 0.44 to 0.11 while Derek Schmidt rose from 0.55 to 0.81. That kind of repricing is tradable even without a clear public catalyst, because it materially shifts the probability split in a thin primary market.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.