Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Chip Roy

Overview

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age53 years old (Aug 7, 1972)

GenderMale

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LocationTexas

BackgroundAttorney

EducationUniversity of Virginia (B.S.)

Notable personal detailsCharles Eugene “Chip” Roy is an American attorney and Republican politician who has represented Texas’s 21st Congressional District in the U.S. House of Representatives since January 3, 2019. Before Congress, he served in roles including chief of staff to U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz and first assistant attorney general of Texas, and he worked as an assistant U.S. attorney in the Eastern District of Texas. He earned B.S. and M.S. degrees from the University of Virginia and a J.D. from the University of Texas School of Law.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Chip Roy advocates for significant tax cuts, favors making the 2017 tax cuts permanent or pursuing large tax reductions, and prioritizes deep spending cuts and fiscal restraint to avoid raising deficits. He has pushed for tying tax cuts to one-for-one spending reductions and criticized proposals that would extend tax cuts without guaranteed offsets, while supporting reforms that simplify the tax code.

Healthcare

Supports market-based reforms that expand Health Savings Accounts, direct-pay/direct primary care, and patient choice while reducing the federal role in healthcare; has sponsored legislation to expand HSAs and enable direct medical care spending and opposed expanded federal subsidies and broad government-run approaches. Emphasizes lowering costs through consumer-directed care rather than large-scale public coverage expansions.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate advocates enforcement-first border policies focused on detaining, turning away, and returning migrants, strengthening federal and state authority to secure the southern border, and cracking down on sanctuary jurisdictions. He has sponsored and reintroduced legislation to expand border enforcement and to empower authorities to deny entry or detain migrants rather than release them. He supports expanding deportation and stricter asylum/entry controls as primary responses to the border situation.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Opposes abortion and supports policies restricting or defunding abortion providers; describes life as beginning at conception and celebrates the Dobbs decision overturning Roe v. Wade. Advocates blocking public funding to organizations and international programs associated with abortion.

Climate & Energy

Opposes aggressive federal climate regulation and large clean-energy subsidies while emphasizing energy independence and support for traditional energy sources. Has criticized the Inflation Reduction Act’s clean-energy subsidies and urged state and federal actions to protect fossil-fuel and grid interests. Comments express skepticism about strong regulatory approaches to greenhouse gases and prioritize affordable, abundant energy.

Public Safety & Guns

Opposes major federal gun regulations such as expanded universal background checks and red-flag laws, and advocates protecting and expanding Second Amendment rights for law-abiding citizens (including legislation to prevent veterans from losing gun rights for seeking mental-health care). Has supported deregulation efforts related to federal firearm controls.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Chip Roy lost the Texas Republican attorney general runoff to state Sen. Mayes Middleton, and he conceded after the results were announced. The race was shaped by heavy spending, including a large late donation to Roy and outside ads that attacked his loyalty to President Trump. Roy had advanced to the runoff after no candidate won a majority in the primary, but Middleton ultimately secured the GOP nomination for the November election.

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Polls

CWS Research
20%15%10%5%0%
18%
Chip Roy
C. Roy
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
CWS ResearchOct 23, 2022
18.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

TX-21 Republican nominee?

Endorsers of Chip Roy for TX-21 Republican nominee?

Jodey Arrington

Elected official

Jodey Arrington endorsed Chip Roy for Texas attorney general.

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YCT

Elected official

YCT endorsed Chip Roy for Texas attorney general.

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Ted Cruz

Elected official

Ted Cruz endorsed Chip Roy for Texas attorney general.

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Ken Paxton

Elected official

Ken Paxton endorsed Chip Roy for Texas attorney general after Roy entered the race.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$2.9M
$2.2M
$1.4M
$724.9K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$2.3M
$1.2M
$1.6M
$65.0K

Cycle 2024

$2.9M
$2.3M
$1.9M
$78.0K

Cycle 2026

$782.6K
$233.0K
$2.8M
$188.5K

Source: FEC